Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Dec. 10, 2009

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $285.8400 (-0.39%) ($282.9600 - $289.0400) on Thu. Dec. 10, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.1% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $285.8400(-0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(60%)    VWO(39%)    EEM(38%)    SPY(36%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.05% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-9%)    LQD(0%)    TIP(6%)    IGOV(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.05% (StdDev 2.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

Resistance Level   $309.55
5 Day Moving Average   $294.83(-3.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $302.54(-5.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $309.55(-7.66%)
To recent high   -13.8%
To recent low   5.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 3.45% (three month std-dev: 2.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100110

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_10_2009	302.44	309.55	302.54	294.83			285.84(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-36	-10000	-14	-100	1.95	38%	0.02	-67.2	2.1%	0	-2.2	27	0
2	Dec_9_2009	302.37	311.55	305.64	299.3			286.96(-2.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-33	-10000	-15	-86	2.75	38%	0.03	-65.4	2.11%	0	-2.6	24	0
3	Dec_8_2009	302.29	313.45	308.01	304.05			294.8(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-30	-10000	-14	-76	1.53	45%	0.05	-64.3	2.08%	0	-2.4	28	0
4	Dec_7_2009	302.13	314.97	310.13	308.48			299.92(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-20	-10000	-8	-57	1.71	45%	0.09	-54.6	2.16%	0	-2.2	33	0
5	Dec_4_2009	301.87	315.93	311.75	311.14			306.64(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-10000	-1	-40	1.99	46%	0.13	-49.7	2.16%	0	-1.6	47	0

6	Dec_3_2009	301.48	316.92	312.83	311.41			308.16(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-5	-39	1.34	46%	0.14	-49.5	2.16%	0	-1.5	47	0
7	Dec_2_2009	301.07	317.9	314.48	312.98			310.72(-1.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-6	-10000	1	-28	1.6	46%	0.18	-33.7	2.16%	0	-1.2	41	0
8	Dec_1_2009	300.53	318.62	315.75	312.56			316.96(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	-10000	1	-31	1.36	46%	0.2	-35.9	2.14%	0	-0.3	45	0
9	Nov_30_2009	299.94	318.77	316.21	312.18			313.2(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	-10000	-1	-34	1.95	43%	0.18	-39.3	2.21%	0	-1	42	0
10	Nov_27_2009	299.4	318.89	316.26	312.61			308(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-13	-10000	-5	-38	1.15	43%	0.28	-48.1	2.2%	0	-1.9	44	0

11	Nov_25_2009	298.55	319.87	317	314.46			316(2.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-14	-10000	-5	-40	1.49	43%	0.15	-46.2	2.18%	0	-0.7	42	0
12	Nov_24_2009	298.1	319.91	317.79	316.34			308.64(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-16	-10000	-9	-36	1.91	41%	0.1	-49.1	2.19%	0	-2.1	35	0
13	Nov_23_2009	297.79	320.75	319.31	319.38			315.04(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-9	-10000	-4	-22	1.68	41%	0.06	-37.2	2.17%	0	-1.2	42	0
14	Nov_20_2009	297.61	321.08	320.21	320.83			315.36(-0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.1	-2	-10000	1	-10	1.36	41%	0.09	-33.8	2.18%	0	-1.2	48	0
15	Nov_19_2009	297.34	321.68	320.52	320.35			317.28(-2.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-1	-10000	2	-9	1.65	44%	0.06	-32.1	2.19%	0	-0.9	54	0

16	Nov_18_2009	297.16	322.38	321.42	319.73			325.36(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-3	-10000	1	-13	1.68	49%	0.07	-24.1	2.2%	0	0.6	48	0
17	Nov_17_2009	296.94	322.58	321.56	319.54			323.84(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-2	-10000	0	-6	1.27	49%	0.05	-6.8	2.24%	0	0.2	56	0
18	Nov_16_2009	296.79	322.54	321.61	319.42			322.32(2.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-2	-10000	-1	-6	1.98	49%	0.07	8	2.25%	0	-0	49	0
19	Nov_13_2009	296.57	322.71	321.37	319.76			312.96(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-4	-10000	-3	-6	1.5	43%	0.03	31.5	2.3%	0	-1.9	47	0
20	Nov_12_2009	296.48	323.3	321.7	320.69			314.16(-3.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-9	-10000	-7	-13	1.8	43%	0.06	64.4	2.31%	0	-1.9	43	0

21	Nov_11_2009	296.31	323.63	323.04	323.14			324.4(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-3	-10000	-2	-4	1.11	45%	0.09	94	2.28%	0	0.1	45	0
22	Nov_10_2009	296.05	322.92	322.23	323.84			323.28(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-10000	-1	-11	1.28	45%	0.11	96.1	2.29%	0	0.1	45	0
23	Nov_9_2009	295.72	322.11	322.33	324.18			324(2.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-1	-10000	2	-8	1.15	45%	0.07	89.8	2.29%	0	0.2	51	0
24	Nov_6_2009	295.51	321.08	322.03	323.33			317.6(-2.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-2	-10000	2	-15	2.06	45%	0.02	80.3	2.29%	0	-0.4	46	0
25	Nov_5_2009	295.44	320.21	323	322.72			326.4(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-4	-10000	-0	-17	0.95	47%		72.6	2.27%	0	0.6	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.