Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Dec. 8, 2009

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $294.8000 (-1.71%) ($294.0800 - $297.7600) on Tue. Dec. 8, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.08% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $294.8000(-1.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(60%)    VWO(39%)    EEM(38%)    SPY(36%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.04% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-9%)    LQD(0%)    TIP(6%)    IGOV(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.04% (StdDev 2.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

Resistance Level   $313.45
5 Day Moving Average   $304.05(-3.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $308.01(-4.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $313.45(-5.95%)
To recent high   -11.1%
To recent low   8.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 2.52% (three month std-dev: 2.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_8_2009	302.29	313.45	308.01	304.05			294.8(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-30	-10000	-14	-76	1.53	45%	0.05	-64.3	2.08%	0	-2.4	28	0
2	Dec_7_2009	302.13	314.97	310.13	308.48			299.92(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-20	-10000	-8	-57	1.71	45%	0.09	-54.6	2.16%	0	-2.2	33	0
3	Dec_4_2009	301.87	315.93	311.75	311.14			306.64(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-10000	-1	-40	1.99	46%	0.13	-49.7	2.16%	0	-1.6	47	0
4	Dec_3_2009	301.48	316.92	312.83	311.41			308.16(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-5	-39	1.34	46%	0.14	-49.5	2.16%	0	-1.5	47	0
5	Dec_2_2009	301.07	317.9	314.48	312.98			310.72(-1.97%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-6	-10000	1	-28	1.6	46%	0.18	-33.7	2.16%	0	-1.2	41	0

6	Dec_1_2009	300.53	318.62	315.75	312.56			316.96(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-7	-10000	1	-31	1.36	46%	0.2	-35.9	2.14%	0	-0.3	45	0
7	Nov_30_2009	299.94	318.77	316.21	312.18			313.2(1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	-10000	-1	-34	1.95	43%	0.18	-39.3	2.21%	0	-1	42	0
8	Nov_27_2009	299.4	318.89	316.26	312.61			308(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-13	-10000	-5	-38	1.15	43%	0.28	-48.1	2.2%	0	-1.9	44	0
9	Nov_25_2009	298.55	319.87	317	314.46			316(2.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-14	-10000	-5	-40	1.49	43%	0.15	-46.2	2.18%	0	-0.7	42	0
10	Nov_24_2009	298.1	319.91	317.79	316.34			308.64(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-16	-10000	-9	-36	1.91	41%	0.1	-49.1	2.19%	0	-2.1	35	0

11	Nov_23_2009	297.79	320.75	319.31	319.38			315.04(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-9	-10000	-4	-22	1.68	41%	0.06	-37.2	2.17%	0	-1.2	42	0
12	Nov_20_2009	297.61	321.08	320.21	320.83			315.36(-0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.1	-2	-10000	1	-10	1.36	41%	0.09	-33.8	2.18%	0	-1.2	48	0
13	Nov_19_2009	297.34	321.68	320.52	320.35			317.28(-2.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-1	-10000	2	-9	1.65	44%	0.06	-32.1	2.19%	0	-0.9	54	0
14	Nov_18_2009	297.16	322.38	321.42	319.73			325.36(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-3	-10000	1	-13	1.68	49%	0.07	-24.1	2.2%	0	0.6	48	0
15	Nov_17_2009	296.94	322.58	321.56	319.54			323.84(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-2	-10000	0	-6	1.27	49%	0.05	-6.8	2.24%	0	0.2	56	0

16	Nov_16_2009	296.79	322.54	321.61	319.42			322.32(2.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-2	-10000	-1	-6	1.98	49%	0.07	8	2.25%	0	-0	49	0
17	Nov_13_2009	296.57	322.71	321.37	319.76			312.96(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-4	-10000	-3	-6	1.5	43%	0.03	31.5	2.3%	0	-1.9	47	0
18	Nov_12_2009	296.48	323.3	321.7	320.69			314.16(-3.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-9	-10000	-7	-13	1.8	43%	0.06	64.4	2.31%	0	-1.9	43	0
19	Nov_11_2009	296.31	323.63	323.04	323.14			324.4(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-3	-10000	-2	-4	1.11	45%	0.09	94	2.28%	0	0.1	45	0
20	Nov_10_2009	296.05	322.92	322.23	323.84			323.28(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-10000	-1	-11	1.28	45%	0.11	96.1	2.29%	0	0.1	45	0

21	Nov_9_2009	295.72	322.11	322.33	324.18			324(2.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-1	-10000	2	-8	1.15	45%	0.07	89.8	2.29%	0	0.2	51	0
22	Nov_6_2009	295.51	321.08	322.03	323.33			317.6(-2.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-2	-10000	2	-15	2.06	45%	0.02	80.3	2.29%	0	-0.4	46	0
23	Nov_5_2009	295.44	320.21	323	322.72			326.4(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-4	-10000	-0	-17	0.95	47%	0.06	72.6	2.27%	0	0.6	52	0
24	Nov_4_2009	295.27	318.66	323.4	322.88			327.92(0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-10000	7	-4	1.88	47%	0.07	65.2	2.26%	0	0.7	56	0
25	Nov_3_2009	295.07	316.75	323.55	320.43			324.96(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-1	-10000	0	-2	1.61	50%		56.2	2.26%	0	0.6	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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