Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 24, 2009

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $308.6400 (-2.03%) ($306.6400 - $314.5900) on Tue. Nov. 24, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.19% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $308.6400(-2.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(60%)    VWO(39%)    EEM(38%)    SPY(36%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.095% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-9%)    LQD(0%)    TIP(6%)    IGOV(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.095% (StdDev 2.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

Resistance Level   $319.91
5 Day Moving Average   $316.34(-2.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $317.79(-2.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $319.91(-3.52%)
To recent high   -7%
To recent low   13.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 1.69% (three month std-dev: 2.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091224

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_24_2009	298.1	319.91	317.79	316.34			308.64(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-16	-10000	-9	-36	1.91	41%	0.1	-49.1	2.19%	0	-2.1	35	0
2	Nov_23_2009	297.79	320.75	319.31	319.38			315.04(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-9	-10000	-4	-22	1.68	41%	0.06	-37.2	2.17%	0	-1.2	42	0
3	Nov_20_2009	297.61	321.08	320.21	320.83			315.36(-0.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.1	-2	-10000	1	-10	1.36	41%	0.09	-33.8	2.18%	0	-1.2	48	0
4	Nov_19_2009	297.34	321.68	320.52	320.35			317.28(-2.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-1	-10000	2	-9	1.65	44%	0.06	-32.1	2.19%	0	-0.9	54	0
5	Nov_18_2009	297.16	322.38	321.42	319.73			325.36(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-3	-10000	1	-13	1.68	49%	0.07	-24.1	2.2%	0	0.6	48	0

6	Nov_17_2009	296.94	322.58	321.56	319.54			323.84(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-2	-10000	0	-6	1.27	49%	0.05	-6.8	2.24%	0	0.2	56	0
7	Nov_16_2009	296.79	322.54	321.61	319.42			322.32(2.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-2	-10000	-1	-6	1.98	49%	0.07	8	2.25%	0	-0	49	0
8	Nov_13_2009	296.57	322.71	321.37	319.76			312.96(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-4	-10000	-3	-6	1.5	43%	0.03	31.5	2.3%	0	-1.9	47	0
9	Nov_12_2009	296.48	323.3	321.7	320.69			314.16(-3.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-9	-10000	-7	-13	1.8	43%	0.06	64.4	2.31%	0	-1.9	43	0
10	Nov_11_2009	296.31	323.63	323.04	323.14			324.4(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-3	-10000	-2	-4	1.11	45%	0.09	94	2.28%	0	0.1	45	0

11	Nov_10_2009	296.05	322.92	322.23	323.84			323.28(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-10000	-1	-11	1.28	45%	0.11	96.1	2.29%	0	0.1	45	0
12	Nov_9_2009	295.72	322.11	322.33	324.18			324(2.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-1	-10000	2	-8	1.15	45%	0.07	89.8	2.29%	0	0.2	51	0
13	Nov_6_2009	295.51	321.08	322.03	323.33			317.6(-2.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-2	-10000	2	-15	2.06	45%	0.02	80.3	2.29%	0	-0.4	46	0
14	Nov_5_2009	295.44	320.21	323	322.72			326.4(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-4	-10000	-0	-17	0.95	47%	0.06	72.6	2.27%	0	0.6	52	0
15	Nov_4_2009	295.27	318.66	323.4	322.88			327.92(0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-10000	7	-4	1.88	47%	0.07	65.2	2.26%	0	0.7	56	0

16	Nov_3_2009	295.07	316.75	323.55	320.43			324.96(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-1	-10000	0	-2	1.61	50%	0.06	56.2	2.26%	0	0.6	61	0
17	Nov_2_2009	294.9	315.2	323.36	320.38			319.76(1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	2	-10000	-1	10	1.43	50%	0.01	59.2	2.28%	0	0.3	62	0
18	Oct_30_2009	294.86	313.78	324.01	320.64			314.56(-3.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	-7	27	1.62	56%	-0.01	60.7	2.32%	0	0.1	62	0
19	Oct_29_2009	294.89	312.53	325.04	323.18			327.2(3.65%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	14	-10000	-2	60	1.52	54%	0.05	68	2.37%	0	0.9	73	0
20	Oct_28_2009	294.73	310.69	324.28	324.1			315.68(-2.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-10000	-7	79	1.94	52%	0.03	75.5	2.48%	0	0.3	71	0

21	Oct_27_2009	294.63	309.45	323.86	327.09			324.72(1.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	29	-10000	1	114	1.63	54%	0.08	77.3	2.46%	0	0.9	82	0
22	Oct_26_2009	294.38	307.02	322.07	326.77			321.04(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	29	-10000	-3	124	1.73	54%	0.07	68.9	2.46%	0	0.8	74	0
23	Oct_23_2009	294.16	304.84	320.33	327.78			327.28(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	38	-10000	2	145	1.37	56%	0.09	65.5	2.44%	0	1.2	81	0
24	Oct_22_2009	293.9	302.11	317.46	327.04			331.76(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	43	-10000	6	155	1.46	56%	0.14	58.2	2.46%	0	1.5	87	0
25	Oct_21_2009	293.48	299.08	313.68	324.54			330.64(2.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	47	-10000	11	153	2.31	56%		50.7	2.46%	0	1.7	82	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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