Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 4, 2009

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $327.9200 (0.91%) ($325.1200 - $331.5200) on Wed. Nov. 4, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.26% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $327.9200(0.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(60%)    EEM(39%)    VWO(39%)    SPY(37%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.13% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-9%)    LQD(0%)    TIP(6%)    IGOV(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.13% (StdDev 2.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $322.88(1.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $323.4(1.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $318.66(2.91%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   20.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 3.94% (three month std-dev: 2.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091204

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_4_2009	295.27	318.66	323.4	322.88			327.92(0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-10000	7	-4	1.88	47%	0.07	65.2	2.26%	0	0.7	56	0
2	Nov_3_2009	295.07	316.75	323.55	320.43			324.96(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-1	-10000	0	-2	1.61	50%	0.06	56.2	2.26%	0	0.6	61	0
3	Nov_2_2009	294.9	315.2	323.36	320.38			319.76(1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	2	-10000	-1	10	1.43	50%	0.01	59.2	2.28%	0	0.3	62	0
4	Oct_30_2009	294.86	313.78	324.01	320.64			314.56(-3.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10000	-7	27	1.62	56%	-0.01	60.7	2.32%	0	0.1	62	0
5	Oct_29_2009	294.89	312.53	325.04	323.18			327.2(3.65%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	14	-10000	-2	60	1.52	54%	0.05	68	2.37%	0	0.9	73	0

6	Oct_28_2009	294.73	310.69	324.28	324.1			315.68(-2.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-10000	-7	79	1.94	52%	0.03	75.5	2.48%	0	0.3	71	0
7	Oct_27_2009	294.63	309.45	323.86	327.09			324.72(1.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	29	-10000	1	114	1.63	54%	0.08	77.3	2.46%	0	0.9	82	0
8	Oct_26_2009	294.38	307.02	322.07	326.77			321.04(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	29	-10000	-3	124	1.73	54%	0.07	68.9	2.46%	0	0.8	74	0
9	Oct_23_2009	294.16	304.84	320.33	327.78			327.28(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	38	-10000	2	145	1.37	56%	0.09	65.5	2.44%	0	1.2	81	0
10	Oct_22_2009	293.9	302.11	317.46	327.04			331.76(0.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	43	-10000	6	155	1.46	56%	0.14	58.2	2.46%	0	1.5	87	0

11	Oct_21_2009	293.48	299.08	313.68	324.54			330.64(2.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	47	-10000	11	153	2.31	56%	0.1	50.7	2.46%	0	1.7	82	0
12	Oct_20_2009	293.18	296.5	309.42	320.19			323.12(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	41	-10000	9	136	2.06	56%	0.08	43.1	2.44%	0	1.6	80	0
13	Oct_19_2009	292.94	294.98	306.32	316.61			326.08(0.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	44	-10000	13	138	1.57	56%	0.12	40.6	2.45%	0	2	88	0
14	Oct_16_2009	292.59	292.87	302.57	311.7			323.6(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	43	-10000	14	129	1.96	56%	0.14	36.4	2.46%	0	2.2	85	0
15	Oct_15_2009	292.18	291.33	298.79	306.43			319.28(3.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	40	-10000	14	119	2.67	58%	0.15	33.4	2.45%	0	2.3	85	0

16	Oct_14_2009	291.75	290.15	295.67	301.26			308.88(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	37	-10000	12	110	1.38	56%	0.13	25.2	2.47%	0	1.8	83	0
17	Oct_13_2009	291.38	289.51	293.63	297.02			305.2(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	-10000	7	96	1.6	56%	0.05	16.7	2.47%	0	1.6	68	0
18	Oct_12_2009	291.24	288.82	290.6	294.45			301.52(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	-10000	7	70	1.24	56%	0.11	9.1	2.47%	0	1.4	52	0
19	Oct_9_2009	290.92	287.97	288.06	292.03			297.28(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	6	51	1.52	56%	0.11	4.1	2.47%	0	1.1	56	0
20	Oct_8_2009	290.61	287.39	285.57	289.97			293.44(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10000	2	21	1.87	54%	0.08	-0.7	2.47%	0	0.7	47	0

21	Oct_7_2009	290.38	287.57	283.44	289.25			287.68(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2	-10000	-1	-5	1.99	52%	0.09	6	2.5%	0	0	42	0
22	Oct_6_2009	290.12	287.92	282.74	289.62			292.32(1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	4	-10000	10	-13	1.84	50%	0.11	14.1	2.52%	0	0.5	44	0
23	Oct_5_2009	289.81	288.02	282.83	286.05			289.44(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	7	-29	2.18	50%	0.14	6.5	2.56%	0	0.2	47	0
24	Oct_2_2009	289.41	287.63	282.45	283.38			286.96(-0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-10000	8	-41	1.86	48%	0.1	-11.8	2.58%	0	-0.1	52	0
25	Oct_1_2009	289.12	287.44	283.25	280.38			289.84(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-4	-10000	10	-46	2.92	48%		-30.3	2.62%	0	0.3	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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