Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 5, 2009

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $289.4400 (0.86%) ($280.0000 - $291.8400) on Mon. Oct. 5, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.56% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $289.4400(0.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(60%)    EEM(39%)    VWO(39%)    SPY(37%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.28% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-9%)    LQD(0%)    TIP(6%)    IGOV(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.28% (StdDev 2.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $286.05(1.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $282.83(2.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $288.02(0.49%)
To recent high   -5.5%
To recent low   12.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 3.09% (three month std-dev: 2.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20091105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_5_2009	289.81	288.02	282.83	286.05			289.44(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	-10000	7	-29	2.18	50%	0.14	6.5	2.56%	0	0.2	47	0
2	Oct_2_2009	289.41	287.63	282.45	283.38			286.96(-0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	-10000	8	-41	1.86	48%	0.1	-11.8	2.58%	0	-0.1	52	0
3	Oct_1_2009	289.12	287.44	283.25	280.38			289.84(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-4	-10000	10	-46	2.92	48%	0.11	-30.3	2.62%	0	0.3	52	0
4	Sep_30_2009	288.79	287.04	284.02	276.77			289.52(5.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-12	-10000	5	-63	3.11	48%	0.1	-47.7	2.62%	0	0.3	45	0
5	Sep_29_2009	288.5	286.69	284.8	275.07			274.48(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-10000	-12	-78	1.59	46%	0.06	-59.8	2.54%	0	-1.3	38	0

6	Sep_28_2009	288.34	287.45	286.76	279.34			276.08(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-10000	-6	-59	1.68	46%	0.06	-59.5	2.57%	0	-1.3	39	0
7	Sep_25_2009	288.17	288.7	287.88	281.49			272(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-23	-10000	-14	-51	2.07	46%	0.07	-55.4	2.56%	0	-1.9	48	0
8	Sep_24_2009	287.97	290.22	289.55	286.48			271.76(-3.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-18	-10000	-15	-27	3	46%	0.07	-42.8	2.59%	0	-2.2	47	0
9	Sep_23_2009	287.76	291.49	292.39	292.11			281.04(-5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-4	-10000	-10	13	2.96	50%	0.14	-34.3	2.56%	0	-1.4	53	0
10	Sep_22_2009	287.36	292.34	293.95	295.79			295.84(3.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	12	-10000	1	45	1.02	50%	0.18	-20.1	2.51%	0	0.5	61	0

11	Sep_21_2009	286.83	292.77	293.88	295.34			286.8(-3.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.1	13	-10000	1	49	1.65	48%	0.18	-7.3	2.54%	0	-0.8	50	0
12	Sep_18_2009	286.32	293.69	293.51	295.12			296.96(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	6	36	0.89	50%	0.24	1.8	2.52%	0	0.4	46	0
13	Sep_17_2009	285.63	293.85	292.14	293.04			299.92(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	3	-10000	0	11	1.14	50%	0.26	-5.8	2.52%	0	0.7	47	0
14	Sep_16_2009	284.9	294.01	290.29	292.85			299.44(1.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	-10000	2	0	1.48	50%	0.27	-3.2	2.52%	0	0.6	52	0
15	Sep_15_2009	284.12	293.75	288.53	292.06			293.6(2.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-10000	-1	-16	1.6	50%	0.25	-5.7	2.51%	0	-0	47	0

16	Sep_14_2009	283.41	293.33	287.95	292.45			285.68(-0.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.8	-4	-10000	3	-26	1.09	49%	0.19	-13.3	2.5%	0	-0.9	35	0
17	Sep_11_2009	282.86	293.53	289.4	291.52			286.56(-4.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-7	-10000	2	-35	1.86	49%	0.23	-23.5	2.5%	0	-0.8	36	0
18	Sep_10_2009	282.21	294.32	290.83	290.72			298.96(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-2	-10000	10	-36	1.07	51%	0.29	-28.4	2.46%	0	0.5	47	0
19	Sep_9_2009	281.39	294.27	290.35	287.22			295.52(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-9	-10000	8	-60	0.99	51%	0.28	-43.3	2.47%	0	0.1	42	0
20	Sep_8_2009	280.61	294.23	290.4	284.54			295.52(5.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-15	-10000	4	-73	1.49	51%	0.44	-56.7	2.48%	0	0.2	51	0

21	Sep_4_2009	279.37	294.49	291.28	283.12			281.04(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-10000	-12	-74	1.03	50%	0.17	-62.4	2.38%	0	-1.6	51	0
22	Sep_3_2009	278.9	295.54	293.75	287.17			282.56(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-19	-10000	-11	-42	0.87	48%	0.18	-48.7	2.43%	0	-1.6	49	0
23	Sep_2_2009	278.41	296.75	295.7	291.01			281.44(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-12	-10000	-8	-24	1.48	48%	0.17	-25.6	2.47%	0	-1.9	39	0
24	Sep_1_2009	277.93	298	298.14	293.84			282.16(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-8	-10000	-8	-7	1.59	48%	0.16	5.8	2.47%	0	-2.2	43	0
25	Aug_31_2009	277.48	299.14	299.65	296.88			288.4(-4.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-6	-10000	-10	6	1.43	48%		33.8	2.48%	0	-1.7	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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