Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 27, 2009

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $301.7600 (2.08%) ($289.2800 - $301.7600) on Thu. Aug. 27, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.46% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $301.7600(2.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   USO advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(60%)    EEM(39%)    VWO(39%)    SPY(37%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.23% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-9%)    LQD(0%)    TIP(6%)    IGOV(7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.23% (StdDev 2.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $301.39(0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $298.3(1.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $299.61(0.72%)
To recent high   -4.9%
To recent low   17.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 2.24% (three month std-dev: 2.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090927

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_27_2009	276.8	299.61	298.3	301.39			301.76(2.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	2	-10000	0	9	1.37	51%	0.25	63.4	2.46%	0	0.3	50	0
2	Aug_26_2009	276.12	298.79	298.28	301.31			295.6(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-10000	-5	4	1.56	51%	0.24	44.3	2.45%	0	-0.3	44	0
3	Aug_25_2009	275.47	297.58	298.62	303.18			297.36(-2.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	3	-10000	1	10	1.74	51%	0.21	44	2.45%	0	-0	45	0
4	Aug_24_2009	274.9	297.07	298.42	302.69			306.4(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	12	6	1.18	53%	0.22	45.6	2.44%	0	1	51	0
5	Aug_21_2009	274.3	296.26	297.82	298.24			305.84(1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	-10000	10	-17	1.57	53%	0.22	39.5	2.44%	0	1	51	0

6	Aug_20_2009	273.71	295.43	297.22	294.72			301.36(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-9	-10000	-1	-33	1.58	53%	0.27	37.3	2.45%	0	0.6	56	0
7	Aug_19_2009	272.97	294.69	297.56	294.93			304.96(3.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-2	-10000	3	-15	2.26	53%	0.27	44.8	2.47%	0	1	65	0
8	Aug_18_2009	272.23	293.39	297.46	294.93			294.88(3.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	2	-10000	0	6	1.6	54%	0.25	46.1	2.44%	0	0.1	70	0
9	Aug_17_2009	271.56	292.68	298.32	293.7			284.16(-1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	-10000	-10	16	1.36	51%	0.14	54.9	2.46%	0	-0.8	52	0
10	Aug_14_2009	271.17	292.53	300.37	297.2			288.24(-4.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	6	-10000	-7	43	1.62	51%	0.12	70.4	2.49%	0	-0.4	51	0

11	Aug_13_2009	270.84	291.93	301.21	299.79			302.4(1.2%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	14	-10000	-2	63	1.17	55%	0.2	77.5	2.41%	0	0.9	58	0
12	Aug_12_2009	270.31	290.29	299.52	300.54			298.8(1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10000	-4	66	1.32	55%	0.17	78.9	2.42%	0	0.7	59	0
13	Aug_11_2009	269.84	288.8	296.73	301.9			294.88(-2.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	13	-10000	-5	66	1.23	55%	0.16	76.9	2.42%	0	0.4	62	0
14	Aug_10_2009	269.42	287.02	295.97	303.68			301.68(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-10000	-1	84	0.85	55%	0.21	71.8	2.4%	0	1	65	0
15	Aug_7_2009	268.86	284.94	294.83	304.02			301.2(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	28	-10000	4	99	1.3	55%	0.22	65.3	2.43%	0	1	65	0

16	Aug_6_2009	268.26	282.86	293.65	302.67			306.16(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	-10000	12	111	1.68	58%	0.27	54.4	2.41%	0	1.5	71	0
17	Aug_5_2009	267.55	280.63	291.58	298.22			305.6(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	-10000	21	108	1.59	58%	0.27	36.4	2.46%	0	1.6	73	0
18	Aug_4_2009	266.84	278.33	288.81	290.66			303.76(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	27	-10000	10	77	0.94	58%	0.3	10.3	2.47%	0	1.8	73	0
19	Aug_3_2009	266.05	276.55	286.29	287.12			303.36(3.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	25	-10000	7	78	1.86	58%	0.32	-10	2.49%	0	2.1	77	0
20	Jul_31_2009	265.21	275.09	283.68	284.56			294.48(3.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	-10000	3	82	1.83	56%	0.27	-26	2.49%	0	1.7	72	0

21	Jul_30_2009	264.5	274.6	281.59	283.62			283.92(6.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	22	-10000	-1	90	2.18	53%	0.28	-36.4	2.49%	0	0.9	69	0
22	Jul_29_2009	263.75	275.2	280.15	284.1			267.76(-6.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	21	-10000	-6	103	2.3	48%	0.17	-31.1	2.38%	0	-0.6	58	0
23	Jul_28_2009	263.29	276.88	280.42	286.24			286.08(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	37	-10000	4	136	1.15	54%	0.22	-22.6	2.24%	0	0.7	78	0
24	Jul_27_2009	262.71	277.82	277.65	284.93			290.56(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	-10000	8	122	1.23	54%	0.26	-17.3	2.23%	0	0.8	66	0
25	Jul_24_2009	262.03	278.1	274.5	282.55			289.77(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	-10000	10	93	1	54%		-22.1	2.27%	0	0.7	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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