Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 22, 2009

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $269.6000 (0.96%) ($264.9600 - $270.3200) on Fri. May. 22, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.63% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $269.6000(0.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 3.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(66%)    OIH(60%)    EEM(40%)    VWO(40%)    SPY(37%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.815% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-9%)    LQD(0%)    TIP(6%)    IGOV(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.815% (StdDev 3.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $266.32(1.23%)
10 Day Moving Average   $262.06(2.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $251.33(7.27%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   44.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 5.98% (three month std-dev: 3.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090622

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_22_2009	235.83	251.33	262.06	266.32			269.6(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	8	57	1	62%	0.15	76.9	3.63%	0	1.2	69	0
2	May_21_2009	235.48	249.4	261.02	262.48			267.04(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	3	55	1.26	62%	0.01	67.3	3.66%	0	1.1	72	0
3	May_20_2009	235.46	247.22	259.52	260.91			270.96(3.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	21	-10000	6	66	1.96	62%	0.13	59.5	3.68%	0	1.5	79	0
4	May_19_2009	235.16	244.61	257.51	258.22			262.32(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	18	-10000	1	70	1.25	64%	0.07	50.9	3.66%	0	1.1	77	0
5	May_18_2009	235	242.45	255.49	257.97			261.68(4.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	21	-10000	1	82	1.52	64%	0.12	45.9	3.73%	0	1.2	79	0

6	May_15_2009	234.71	240.27	253.8	257.3			250.4(-3.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	19	-10000	-4	89	1.69	57%	0.07	41	3.86%	0	0.7	73	0
7	May_14_2009	234.54	239.48	252.66	259.2			259.2(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	29	-10000	3	105	1.51	57%	0.12	42.7	3.86%	0	1.3	72	0
8	May_13_2009	234.26	238.14	249.79	257.74			257.52(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	28	-10000	2	106	2.33	57%	0.08	41.8	3.89%	0	1.4	76	0
9	May_12_2009	234.08	236.89	246.99	256.53			261.04(1.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	35	-10000	8	114	1.36	57%	0.07	42.8	3.89%	0	1.8	80	0
10	May_11_2009	233.91	235.39	243.22	252.56			258.32(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	-10000	6	104	1.33	57%	-0.03	35	3.89%	0	1.9	80	0

11	May_8_2009	233.98	234.19	239.84	249.79			259.92(3.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	33	-10000	10	102	1.52	57%	-0.01	27	3.91%	0	2.3	82	0
12	May_7_2009	234	233.26	236.79	245.2			251.92(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	-10000	10	84	2.1	57%	-0.12	16.8	3.92%	0	1.8	58	0
13	May_6_2009	234.27	232.34	233.84	240.62			251.44(4.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	23	-10000	10	61	2.06	57%	-0.18	8.3	3.95%	0	2.1	59	0
14	May_5_2009	234.69	231.23	230.5	236.03			241.2(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	8	34	1.3	55%	-0.24	-6.9	3.93%	0	1.2	54	0
15	May_4_2009	235.25	231.15	228.22	232.35			244.48(3.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	10	-10000	9	12	1.74	55%	-0.27	-12.8	3.93%	0	1.6	57	0

16	May_1_2009	235.88	231.14	225.44	228.38			236.96(3.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-2	-10000	3	-17	1.92	55%	-0.32	-24.8	3.88%	0	0.7	48	0
17	Apr_30_2009	236.63	231.56	225.06	227.23			229.04(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-10000	3	-28	1.43	55%	-0.25	-30.7	3.89%	0	-0.3	35	0
18	Apr_29_2009	237.23	231.58	225.45	226.03			228.48(2.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-10000	4	-34	1.47	55%	-0.21	-44.8	3.89%	0	-0.3	45	0
19	Apr_28_2009	237.72	231.79	225.92	224.08			222.8(-0.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-9	-10000	2	-41	1.28	55%	-0.29	-60.8	3.88%	0	-1	45	0
20	Apr_27_2009	238.41	232.2	226.98	223.25			224.64(-2.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	-10000	3	-49	2.15	51%	-0.21	-77.6	3.88%	0	-0.9	39	0

21	Apr_24_2009	238.92	233.24	228.19	221.87			231.2(3.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-17	-10000	-2	-61	2.01	51%	-0.23	-80.4	3.97%	0	-0.2	39	0
22	Apr_23_2009	239.46	234.39	229.42	222.75			223.04(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-19	-10000	-5	-61	1.42	54%	-0.35	-63.8	3.97%	0	-1.1	32	0
23	Apr_22_2009	240.31	235.71	230.73	225.01			218.72(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10000	-7	-50	2.1	54%	-0.39	-52.8	4.09%	0	-1.6	47	0
24	Apr_21_2009	241.24	237.43	232.16	228.16			218.64(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-15	-10000	-6	-40	2.82	58%	-0.43	-38.6	4.11%	0	-1.8	45	0
25	Apr_20_2009	242.29	239.24	234.55	231.17			217.76(-7.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-12	-10000	-8	-24	3.29	58%		-19.8	4.24%	0	-2.2	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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