Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 7, 2009

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $251.9200 (0.19%) ($248.4800 - $261.4400) on Thu. May. 7, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.92% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $251.9200(0.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 5.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(66%)    OIH(61%)    EEM(40%)    VWO(40%)    SPY(37%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.96% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-9%)    LQD(0%)    TIP(6%)    IGOV(8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.96% (StdDev 3.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $245.2(2.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $236.79(6.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $233.26(8%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   37.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 4.35% (three month std-dev: 3.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090607

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_7_2009	234	233.26	236.79	245.2			251.92(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	-10000	10	84	2.1	57%	-0.12	16.8	3.92%	0	1.8	58	0
2	May_6_2009	234.27	232.34	233.84	240.62			251.44(4.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	23	-10000	10	61	2.06	57%	-0.18	8.3	3.95%	0	2.1	59	0
3	May_5_2009	234.69	231.23	230.5	236.03			241.2(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	8	34	1.3	55%	-0.24	-6.9	3.93%	0	1.2	54	0
4	May_4_2009	235.25	231.15	228.22	232.35			244.48(3.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	10	-10000	9	12	1.74	55%	-0.27	-12.8	3.93%	0	1.6	57	0
5	May_1_2009	235.88	231.14	225.44	228.38			236.96(3.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-2	-10000	3	-17	1.92	55%	-0.32	-24.8	3.88%	0	0.7	48	0

6	Apr_30_2009	236.63	231.56	225.06	227.23			229.04(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-10000	3	-28	1.43	55%	-0.25	-30.7	3.89%	0	-0.3	35	0
7	Apr_29_2009	237.23	231.58	225.45	226.03			228.48(2.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-10000	4	-34	1.47	55%	-0.21	-44.8	3.89%	0	-0.3	45	0
8	Apr_28_2009	237.72	231.79	225.92	224.08			222.8(-0.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-9	-10000	2	-41	1.28	55%	-0.29	-60.8	3.88%	0	-1	45	0
9	Apr_27_2009	238.41	232.2	226.98	223.25			224.64(-2.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	-10000	3	-49	2.15	51%	-0.21	-77.6	3.88%	0	-0.9	39	0
10	Apr_24_2009	238.92	233.24	228.19	221.87			231.2(3.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-17	-10000	-2	-61	2.01	51%	-0.23	-80.4	3.97%	0	-0.2	39	0

11	Apr_23_2009	239.46	234.39	229.42	222.75			223.04(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-19	-10000	-5	-61	1.42	54%	-0.35	-63.8	3.97%	0	-1.1	32	0
12	Apr_22_2009	240.31	235.71	230.73	225.01			218.72(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-10000	-7	-50	2.1	54%	-0.39	-52.8	4.09%	0	-1.6	47	0
13	Apr_21_2009	241.24	237.43	232.16	228.16			218.64(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-15	-10000	-6	-40	2.82	58%	-0.43	-38.6	4.11%	0	-1.8	45	0
14	Apr_20_2009	242.29	239.24	234.55	231.17			217.76(-7.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-12	-10000	-8	-24	3.29	58%	-0.51	-19.8	4.24%	0	-2.2	47	0
15	Apr_17_2009	243.53	240.75	237.6	235.1			235.6(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	-10000	-4	-9	1.7	62%	-0.03	2.8	4.16%	0	-0.6	45	0

16	Apr_16_2009	243.61	241.13	238.75	237.09			234.32(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-2	-10000	-1	-5	1.43	62%	-0.52	18.7	4.2%	0	-0.8	39	0
17	Apr_15_2009	244.89	241.32	238.34	237.41			234.48(0.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-3	-10000	1	-15	2.15	62%	-0.41	34.9	4.2%	0	-0.8	44	0
18	Apr_14_2009	245.91	241.45	238.24	236.82			233.68(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-10000	-3	-29	1.5	62%	-0.51	40.6	4.22%	0	-0.9	42	0
19	Apr_13_2009	247.17	241.19	237.97	238.45			237.44(-3.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-10000	-4	-38	2.16	62%	-0.67	42.3	4.22%	0	-0.4	42	0
20	Apr_9_2009	248.83	240.5	238.75	240.45			245.52(4.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-9	-10000	-1	-31	1.49	59%	-0.42	41.9	4.25%	0	0.5	50	0

21	Apr_8_2009	249.88	239.56	239.56	240.91			235.92(1.9%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-3	-10000	3	-21	2.5	59%	-0.51	42.9	4.23%	0	-0.3	48	0
22	Apr_7_2009	251.15	238.46	240.89	239.46			231.52(-4.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-5	-10000	-0	-21	1.32	54%	-0.53	34.2	4.22%	0	-0.6	50	0
23	Apr_6_2009	252.5	238.14	243.02	239.63			241.84(-2.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	-10000	5	-9	2.21	56%	-0.52	42.4	4.4%	0	0.3	56	0
24	Apr_3_2009	253.83	237.53	244.17	237.18			247.44(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	-10000	1	-5	1.96	56%	-0.59	48.8	4.4%	0	0.8	64	0
25	Apr_2_2009	255.34	236.36	243.98	236.9			247.84(8.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	-1	-10000	-3	5	3.29	58%		48.7	4.43%	0	0.9	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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