Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 17, 2009

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $235.5200 (4.21%) ($227.6000 - $239.1200) on Tue. Mar. 17, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.75% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $235.5200(4.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 3.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(66%)    OIH(61%)    VWO(41%)    EEM(40%)    SPY(38%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -2.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-10%)    LQD(0%)    TIP(6%)    IGOV(8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.375% (StdDev 4.75%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $223.76(5.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $223(5.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $211.96(11.12%)
To recent high   -21.1%
To recent low   28.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 7.25% (three month std-dev: 4.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2009	277.18	211.96	223	223.76			235.52(4.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	5	47	3.7	58%	-0.64	33.5	4.75%	0	1.5	61	0
2	Mar_16_2009	278.96	209.55	219.8	221.19			226(2.24%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	10	-10000	-1	41	3.63	58%	-0.73	18.4	4.75%	0	1.1	63	0
3	Mar_13_2009	281.02	208.42	216.94	221.83			221.04(-2.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-10000	-1	51	3.4	58%	-0.85	13.8	4.71%	0	0.9	65	0
4	Mar_12_2009	283.44	207.73	216.43	222.4			225.85(7.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	5	69	4.37	58%	-0.78	8.3	4.75%	0	1.3	62	0
5	Mar_11_2009	285.66	206.75	215.49	219.73			210.4(-5.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	15	-10000	-4	73	4.06	58%	-0.94	-3	4.64%	0	0.3	59	0

6	Mar_10_2009	288.37	206.93	215.38	221.82			222.64(-2.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10000	8	101	2.94	60%	-0.97	-3.9	4.72%	0	1.2	68	0
7	Mar_9_2009	291.2	206.9	212.77	217.92			229.2(2.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	-10000	13	96	4.51	58%	-0.87	-12.3	4.74%	0	1.7	67	0
8	Mar_6_2009	293.76	206.49	208.56	211.25			223.92(5.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	17	-10000	3	59	3.08	60%	-0.88	-29.4	4.78%	0	1.3	57	0
9	Mar_5_2009	296.37	206.59	205.58	209.74			212.48(-3.8%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	10	-10000	-2	45	3.04	58%	-0.95	-32.6	4.76%	0	0.4	52	0
10	Mar_4_2009	299.22	207.14	203.78	210.82			220.88(8.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	5	45	5.84	56%	-1.03	-33.2	4.75%	0	1	54	0

11	Mar_3_2009	302.34	207.44	199.97	208.24			203.12(3.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	-10000	3	17	3.63	53%	-1.15	-38.2	4.68%	0	-0.3	45	0
12	Mar_2_2009	305.87	208.57	198.5	206.72			195.84(-9.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	1	-10000	4	-10	3.97	53%	-1.13	-48.1	4.65%	0	-0.8	38	0
13	Feb_27_2009	309.37	210.42	199.35	204.86			216.4(-0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	-10000	9	-27	3.86	52%	-1.13	-56.3	4.53%	0	0.4	44	0
14	Feb_26_2009	312.92	211.14	198.3	200.54			217.84(4.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-5	-10000	11	-54	6.01	55%	-1.18	-62.7	4.56%	0	0.4	42	0
15	Feb_25_2009	316.67	211.97	197.04	195.82			208(6.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-12	-10000	11	-80	5.81	51%	-1.21	-69.2	4.64%	0	-0.2	40	0

16	Feb_24_2009	320.54	213.28	197.46	190.8			195.52(4.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-24	-10000	4	-109	3.35	52%	-1.21	-72.7	4.6%	0	-1	30	0
17	Feb_23_2009	324.47	216.25	200.26	189.23			186.56(-4.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	-10000	-8	-118	4.62	50%	-1.32	-65.7	4.67%	0	-1.5	26	0
18	Feb_20_2009	328.8	219.81	204.1	192.88			194.8(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	-10000	-6	-110	5.26	47%	-1.29	-56.6	4.68%	0	-1.2	27	0
19	Feb_19_2009	333.09	222.13	207.53	195.73			194.24(6.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-10000	-6	-102	6.3	47%	-1.37	-57.1	4.79%	0	-1.4	26	0
20	Feb_18_2009	337.7	224.87	210.72	198.61			182.88(-2.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-36	-10000	-13	-104	5.32	45%	-1.44	-56.8	4.71%	0	-2.2	13	0

21	Feb_17_2009	342.63	227.42	215.69	205.09			187.68(-8.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-33	-10000	-15	-88	4.88	45%	-2.28	-60.7	4.71%	0	-2.4	16	0
22	Feb_13_2009	350.63	230.16	219.88	212.75			204.8(-2.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-26	-10000	-8	-79	4.57	48%	-1.42	-65.1	4.61%	0	-1.8	15	0
23	Feb_12_2009	355.67	232.09	222.83	216.91			209.04(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-25	-10000	-8	-77	5.3	47%	-1.34	-71.1	4.72%	0	-1.8	16	0
24	Feb_11_2009	360.51	234.18	225.37	221.2			208.64(-3.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-22	-10000	-7	-68	4.93	45%	-1.36	-72.5	4.75%	0	-2.1	35	0
25	Feb_10_2009	365.47	236.53	228.4	224.7			215.28(-4.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-10000	-6	-63	5.94	45%		-86.3	4.79%	0	-1.9	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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