Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Feb. 2, 2009

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $227.2000 (-2.81%) ($225.1200 - $236.0000) on Mon. Feb. 2, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.06% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $227.2000(-2.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -2.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(66%)    OIH(61%)    EEM(41%)    VWO(41%)    SPY(38%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -2.53% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-10%)    IGOV(-3%)    LQD(-1%)    TIP(4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.53% (StdDev 5.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $250.02
5 Day Moving Average   $233.74(-2.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $239.96(-5.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $250.02(-9.13%)
To recent high   -50.5%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 7.74% (three month std-dev: 5.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090302

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_2_2009	390.94	250.02	239.96	233.74			227.2(-2.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-16	-10000	-10	-35	3.51	43%	-1.11	-29.1	5.06%	0	-1.2	44	0
2	Jan_30_2009	395.32	252.87	241.3	239.73			233.76(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-13	-10000	-8	-28	3.31	43%	-1.08	-8.9	5.08%	0	-1	41	0
3	Jan_29_2009	399.63	254.48	242.16	244.7			233.76(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	-10000	-2	-23	4.32	45%	-1.1	3.6	5.08%	0	-1	39	0
4	Jan_28_2009	404.06	255.07	243.79	245.98			238(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-10000	-3	-27	6.74	46%	-1.06	4.9	5.13%	0	-0.9	40	0
5	Jan_27_2009	408.4	255.68	245.42	248.03			236(-8.21%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-8	-10000	2	-37	5.8	45%	-1.13	4	5.17%	0	-1	31	0

6	Jan_26_2009	413.06	255.77	246.46	246.69			257.12(-0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	-10000	6	-61	4.43	47%	-1.06	-4.8	5.1%	0	0.1	35	0
7	Jan_23_2009	417.5	254.64	246.39	243.04			258.64(7.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-16	-10000	6	-80	5.47	46%	-1.07	-20.3	5.15%	0	0.2	41	0
8	Jan_22_2009	422.01	253.76	246.75	239.6			240.16(-3.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-26	-10000	-3	-95	5.28	42%	-1.13	-35.5	5.06%	0	-0.7	44	0
9	Jan_21_2009	426.83	254.13	249.25	241.54			248.24(8.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-22	-10000	-2	-81	3.99	41%	-1.11	-42.8	5.1%	0	-0.3	55	0
10	Jan_20_2009	431.63	254.93	253.77	242.83			229.28(-4.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-10000	-5	-62	5.21	40%	-1.21	-49.3	4.99%	0	-1.2	48	0

11	Jan_16_2009	436.92	256.67	260.56	246.02			238.88(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-10000	-6	-29	4.84	40%	-1.19	-58.8	4.98%	0	-0.9	56	0
12	Jan_15_2009	442.16	258.63	265.22	250.03			241.44(-3.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	-10000	-8	1	6.88	39%	-1.21	-57.1	4.98%	0	-0.9	58	0
13	Jan_14_2009	447.56	261.07	267.87	254.86			249.84(-1.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	3	-10000	-5	25	5.51	38%	-1.14	-47.4	5.02%	0	-0.6	57	0
14	Jan_13_2009	452.73	263.2	267.54	258.13			254.72(3.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-10000	-13	30	4.97	38%	-1.11	-39.8	5.04%	0	-0.4	56	0
15	Jan_12_2009	457.79	265.54	267.17	266.78			245.2(-5.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	0	-10000	-15	46	4.1	38%	-1.1	-21.2	5.01%	0	-0.9	46	0

16	Jan_9_2009	462.89	268.62	266.53	277.42			258.96(-2.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	12	-10000	-7	68	4.41	37%	-1.16	-2.5	5%	0	-0.4	51	0
17	Jan_8_2009	468.32	269.97	264.27	282.64			265.6(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	17	-10000	0	66	4.6	37%	-1.06	0.2	5.01%	0	-0.2	47	0
18	Jan_7_2009	473.33	270.47	261.91	282.48			266.16(-10.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	17	-10000	7	47	5.46	37%	-1.03	-5.8	5.01%	0	-0.2	43	0
19	Jan_6_2009	478.24	271.54	259.89	277.57			298(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	16	17	3.96	38%	-0.92	-16.6	4.87%	0	1.1	49	0
20	Jan_5_2009	482.69	270.18	256	267.44			298.4(4.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	10	-10000	21	-24	4.36	38%	-0.92	-38.9	4.89%	0	1.2	46	0

21	Jan_2_2009	487.19	269.2	251.75	254.32			285.04(7.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-6	-10000	18	-79	4.65	38%	-1.48	-67.5	4.84%	0	0.7	40	0
22	Dec_31_2008	494.53	269.9	250.43	243.75			264.8(9.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-22	-10000	9	-115	6.1	35%	-0.96	-81.5	4.73%	0	-0.2	43	0
23	Dec_30_2008	499.3	271.9	252.53	238.79			241.6(-2.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-34	-10000	-1	-132	2.71	34%	-1.01	-89.6	4.53%	0	-1.2	39	0
24	Dec_29_2008	504.38	275.72	257.58	239.48			247.36(6.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-37	-10000	-6	-128	3.02	33%	-0.99	-88.7	4.63%	0	-1.1	37	0
25	Dec_26_2008	509.42	280.05	263	242.9			232.8(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-10000	-10	-109	2.63	31%		-77.6	4.67%	0	-1.7	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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