Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Aug. 22, 2008

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $740.3200 (-5.77%) ($738.0000 - $774.6400) on Fri. Aug. 22, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.64% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $740.3200(-5.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(66%)    OIH(62%)    VWO(43%)    EEM(42%)    SPY(41%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.32% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(2%)    LQD(3%)    PCY(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.32% (StdDev 2.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.4%

Resistance Level   $762.91
5 Day Moving Average   $749.97(-1.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $745.24(-0.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $762.91(-2.96%)
To recent high   -21.2%
To recent low   1.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 3.59% (three month std-dev: 2.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080922

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_22_2008	810.88	762.91	745.24	749.97			740.32(-5.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-4	-10000	1	-17	2.1	41%	0.09	-57.7	2.64%	0	-0.8	40	0
2	Aug_21_2008	810.17	765.58	745.44	748.78			785.68(4.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-2	-10000	9	-36	2.19	47%	0.14	-63.2	2.56%	0	0.7	41	0
3	Aug_20_2008	809	766.54	743.27	740.03			751.84(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-16	-10000	0	-64	1.83	44%	0.13	-75.5	2.54%	0	-0.5	34	0
4	Aug_19_2008	807.96	768.88	744.12	739.66			741.92(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-18	-10000	2	-79	1.76	44%	0.11	-81.5	2.55%	0	-0.9	27	0
5	Aug_18_2008	807.04	772.98	746.24	737.66			730.08(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-2	-91	1.26	44%	0.07	-84.4	2.54%	0	-1.2	37	0

6	Aug_15_2008	806.48	779	751.12	739.66			734.4(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-1	-94	1.77	45%	0.06	-93.3	2.55%	0	-1.3	34	0
7	Aug_14_2008	805.99	784.04	758.17	741.07			741.92(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-28	-10000	-6	-92	1.24	45%	0.08	-104	2.55%	0	-1.2	38	0
8	Aug_13_2008	805.35	789.1	763.77	746.99			750(2.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-24	-10000	-3	-85	2.06	45%	0.12	-101.2	2.55%	0	-1	36	0
9	Aug_12_2008	804.36	795.11	770.15	749.66			731.92(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-7	-80	1.69	44%	0.11	-90.1	2.54%	0	-1.5	35	0
10	Aug_11_2008	803.45	803.31	775.75	756.22			740.08(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-10000	-8	-81	1.61	44%	-0.08	-74.5	2.55%	0	-1.3	32	0

11	Aug_8_2008	804.1	812.98	782.35	764.24			741.44(-3.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-10000	-13	-83	1.33	44%	0.12	-64	2.56%	0	-1.3	29	0
12	Aug_7_2008	803.17	822.64	788.03	777.62			771.52(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-10000	-6	-72	1.41	46%	0.14	-57.4	2.51%	0	-1	37	0
13	Aug_6_2008	802.01	829.65	792.02	783.3			763.36(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-10000	-11	-75	2.06	46%	0.1	-57.6	2.52%	0	-1.3	34	0
14	Aug_5_2008	801.23	835.51	795.99	794.03			764.72(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-10000	-4	-75	1.49	49%	0.13	-58	2.52%	0	-1.4	30	0
15	Aug_4_2008	800.22	841.45	802.26	797.95			780.16(-3.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-26	-10000	-5	-87	1.95	49%	0.11	-59.4	2.55%	0	-1.2	29	0

16	Aug_1_2008	799.32	848.4	809.35	802.78			808.32(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	-10000	3	-99	1.55	51%	0.14	-58.1	2.54%	0	-0.8	27	0
17	Jul_31_2008	798.2	854.52	811.83	799.95			799.92(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-34	-10000	-2	-131	1.72	51%	0.13	-55.4	2.56%	0	-1.1	25	0
18	Jul_30_2008	797.13	861.19	816.11	802.3			817.04(4.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-34	-10000	3	-144	2.49	51%	0.16	-48.4	2.56%	0	-0.8	33	0
19	Jul_29_2008	795.84	866.17	821.24	798.93			784.32(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-46	-10000	-8	-159	1.88	47%	0.13	-48.4	2.51%	0	-1.6	36	0
20	Jul_28_2008	794.83	872.7	832.44	807.38			804.32(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	-10000	-10	-144	1.21	47%	0.17	-45.5	2.52%	0	-1.4	38	0

21	Jul_25_2008	793.45	878.22	845.31	817.18			794.16(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-10000	-8	-126	1.78	49%	0.16	-39.3	2.51%	0	-1.8	31	0
22	Jul_24_2008	792.2	884.13	859.55	825.46			811.68(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-10000	-6	-113	1.51	48%	0.19	-33.5	2.52%	0	-1.7	31	0
23	Jul_23_2008	790.72	887.48	869.95	831.97			800.16(-3.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-39	-10000	-14	-112	2.24	48%	0.21	-34.2	2.53%	0	-2.2	28	0
24	Jul_22_2008	789.03	892.37	878.48	846.74			826.56(-3.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-10000	-13	-102	1.7	49%	0.23	-26.1	2.49%	0	-1.9	36	0
25	Jul_21_2008	787.24	895.83	884.42	861.25			853.36(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-10000	-16	-92	1.19	51%		-14	2.46%	0	-1.4	41	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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