Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Aug. 19, 2008

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $741.9200 (1.62%) ($718.6400 - $754.0000) on Tue. Aug. 19, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.55% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $741.9200(1.62%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(66%)    OIH(62%)    VWO(43%)    EEM(42%)    SPY(41%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-13%)    TIP(2%)    LQD(3%)    PCY(14%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.275% (StdDev 2.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

Resistance Level   $768.88
5 Day Moving Average   $739.66(0.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $744.12(-0.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $768.88(-3.51%)
To recent high   -21.1%
To recent low   1.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 4.05% (three month std-dev: 2.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080919

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_19_2008	807.96	768.88	744.12	739.66			741.92(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-18	-10000	2	-79	1.76	44%	0.11	-81.5	2.55%	0	-0.9	27	0
2	Aug_18_2008	807.04	772.98	746.24	737.66			730.08(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-2	-91	1.26	44%	0.07	-84.4	2.54%	0	-1.2	37	0
3	Aug_15_2008	806.48	779	751.12	739.66			734.4(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-1	-94	1.77	45%	0.06	-93.3	2.55%	0	-1.3	34	0
4	Aug_14_2008	805.99	784.04	758.17	741.07			741.92(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-28	-10000	-6	-92	1.24	45%	0.08	-104	2.55%	0	-1.2	38	0
5	Aug_13_2008	805.35	789.1	763.77	746.99			750(2.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-24	-10000	-3	-85	2.06	45%	0.12	-101.2	2.55%	0	-1	36	0

6	Aug_12_2008	804.36	795.11	770.15	749.66			731.92(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-7	-80	1.69	44%	0.11	-90.1	2.54%	0	-1.5	35	0
7	Aug_11_2008	803.45	803.31	775.75	756.22			740.08(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-26	-10000	-8	-81	1.61	44%	-0.08	-74.5	2.55%	0	-1.3	32	0
8	Aug_8_2008	804.1	812.98	782.35	764.24			741.44(-3.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-31	-10000	-13	-83	1.33	44%	0.12	-64	2.56%	0	-1.3	29	0
9	Aug_7_2008	803.17	822.64	788.03	777.62			771.52(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-10000	-6	-72	1.41	46%	0.14	-57.4	2.51%	0	-1	37	0
10	Aug_6_2008	802.01	829.65	792.02	783.3			763.36(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-10000	-11	-75	2.06	46%	0.1	-57.6	2.52%	0	-1.3	34	0

11	Aug_5_2008	801.23	835.51	795.99	794.03			764.72(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-22	-10000	-4	-75	1.49	49%	0.13	-58	2.52%	0	-1.4	30	0
12	Aug_4_2008	800.22	841.45	802.26	797.95			780.16(-3.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-26	-10000	-5	-87	1.95	49%	0.11	-59.4	2.55%	0	-1.2	29	0
13	Aug_1_2008	799.32	848.4	809.35	802.78			808.32(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-23	-10000	3	-99	1.55	51%	0.14	-58.1	2.54%	0	-0.8	27	0
14	Jul_31_2008	798.2	854.52	811.83	799.95			799.92(-2.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-34	-10000	-2	-131	1.72	51%	0.13	-55.4	2.56%	0	-1.1	25	0
15	Jul_30_2008	797.13	861.19	816.11	802.3			817.04(4.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-34	-10000	3	-144	2.49	51%	0.16	-48.4	2.56%	0	-0.8	33	0

16	Jul_29_2008	795.84	866.17	821.24	798.93			784.32(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-46	-10000	-8	-159	1.88	47%	0.13	-48.4	2.51%	0	-1.6	36	0
17	Jul_28_2008	794.83	872.7	832.44	807.38			804.32(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-44	-10000	-10	-144	1.21	47%	0.17	-45.5	2.52%	0	-1.4	38	0
18	Jul_25_2008	793.45	878.22	845.31	817.18			794.16(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-10000	-8	-126	1.78	49%	0.16	-39.3	2.51%	0	-1.8	31	0
19	Jul_24_2008	792.2	884.13	859.55	825.46			811.68(1.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-33	-10000	-6	-113	1.51	48%	0.19	-33.5	2.52%	0	-1.7	31	0
20	Jul_23_2008	790.72	887.48	869.95	831.97			800.16(-3.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-39	-10000	-14	-112	2.24	48%	0.21	-34.2	2.53%	0	-2.2	28	0

21	Jul_22_2008	789.03	892.37	878.48	846.74			826.56(-3.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-35	-10000	-13	-102	1.7	49%	0.23	-26.1	2.49%	0	-1.9	36	0
22	Jul_21_2008	787.24	895.83	884.42	861.25			853.36(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-10000	-16	-92	1.19	51%	0.27	-14	2.46%	0	-1.4	41	0
23	Jul_18_2008	785.09	897.19	891.1	878.54			835.52(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-31	-10000	-19	-68	1.73	51%	0.24	1.5	2.45%	0	-2.1	37	0
24	Jul_17_2008	783.22	898.76	901.27	899.26			844.24(-3.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-17	-10000	-13	-28	2.78	51%	0.28	16.9	2.45%	0	-2	40	0
25	Jul_16_2008	781.05	901.28	910.7	913.36			874(-2.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.6	3	-10000	-1	14	2.63	53%		35	2.4%	0	-1.1	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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