Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 19, 2008

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $822.4000 (0.52%) ($810.0800 - $824.0000) on Mon. May. 19, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.93% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $822.4000(0.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(66%)    OIH(62%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(41%)    SPY(39%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.965% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(3%)    LQD(4%)    PCY(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.965% (StdDev 1.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $811.54(1.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $807.07(1.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $781.19(5.28%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   32.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 3.78% (three month std-dev: 1.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080619

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_19_2008	666.49	781.19	807.07	811.54			822.4(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	-10000	5	129	0.96	62%	0.33	60.8	1.93%	0	1.4	72	0
2	May_16_2008	664.27	777.7	802.35	807.23			818.16(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	-10000	0	121	2.21	62%	0.32	65.8	1.97%	0	1.4	63	0
3	May_15_2008	662.12	774.2	795.6	806.99			801.68(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	29	-10000	-1	117	2.03	60%	0.3	75.4	1.98%	0	1	60	0
4	May_14_2008	660.12	771.08	788.36	807.71			801.76(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	30	-10000	1	115	1.14	62%	0.22	82.5	1.98%	0	1.1	65	0
5	May_13_2008	658.64	767.84	782.47	807.04			813.68(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	-10000	7	111	1.5	62%	0.35	87.3	1.98%	0	1.7	62	0

6	May_12_2008	656.33	763.64	775.45	801.71			800.88(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	-10000	7	96	1.26	62%	0.33	89.9	1.97%	0	1.4	60	0
7	May_9_2008	654.14	759.47	771.67	796.32			816.96(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	-10000	18	94	1.53	65%	0.39	86.9	1.96%	0	2.1	66	0
8	May_8_2008	651.63	753.93	765.98	782.37			805.28(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	34	-10000	22	71	1.23	67%	0.37	82.8	1.97%	0	2	65	0
9	May_7_2008	649.26	748.88	759.72	765.92			798.4(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	20	-10000	15	33	1.69	67%	0.37	76.8	2.03%	0	2	66	0
10	May_6_2008	646.87	744.42	755.52	754.24			787.04(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	12	-10000	11	15	0.95	67%	0.34	74.4	2.03%	0	1.8	65	0

11	May_5_2008	644.66	739.93	752.45	745.62			773.92(3.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	2	-10000	2	3	0.92	67%	0.32	75.7	2.04%	0	1.5	64	0
12	May_2_2008	642.62	736.04	750.28	743.94			747.2(3.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-10000	-5	11	0.86	65%	0.26	78.3	2.01%	0	0.5	63	0
13	May_1_2008	640.93	732.85	750.64	747.55			723.04(-2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	4	-10000	-6	35	0.98	61%	0.21	74.7	1.99%	0	-0.4	60	0
14	Apr_30_2008	639.56	730.54	752.69	752.06			740(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	10	-10000	-6	59	1.19	63%	0.29	70.8	1.99%	0	0.3	69	0
15	Apr_29_2008	637.71	727.29	752.71	756.35			743.92(-2.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-10000	-4	81	0.95	63%	0.31	66	1.99%	0	0.5	67	0

16	Apr_28_2008	635.74	722.82	751.78	759.7			765.52(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	30	-10000	3	109	0.61	66%	0.35	64.1	1.95%	0	1.1	82	0
17	Apr_25_2008	633.55	717.19	747.11	757.6			765.28(2.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	32	-10000	4	116	1.13	66%	0.32	65.4	1.94%	0	1.3	82	0
18	Apr_24_2008	631.5	712.59	741.51	754.61			745.6(-2.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	33	-10000	2	124	1.39	66%	0.33	69.8	1.93%	0	0.9	83	0
19	Apr_23_2008	629.45	709.53	737.78	753.28			761.44(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	41	-10000	7	143	1.06	68%	0.34	74	1.91%	0	1.5	94	0
20	Apr_22_2008	627.31	705.22	732.71	748.43			760.64(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	44	-10000	8	150	0.9	68%	0.33	70.6	1.93%	0	1.6	93	0

21	Apr_21_2008	625.27	699.71	726.38	742.61			755.04(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	49	-10000	11	161	0.59	68%	0.33	65.3	1.94%	0	1.6	94	0
22	Apr_18_2008	623.24	694.03	720.36	735.02			750.32(1.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	50	-10000	12	163	1.15	68%	0.3	55.7	1.96%	0	1.8	92	0
23	Apr_17_2008	621.39	688.91	713.25	726.53			738.96(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	-10000	10	148	0.6	68%	0.28	44	1.95%	0	1.7	72	0
24	Apr_16_2008	619.68	684.73	706.38	719.82			737.2(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	-10000	7	126	0.99	68%	0.24	34.4	1.96%	0	1.9	65	0
25	Apr_15_2008	618.19	681.86	699.64	714.62			731.52(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	-10000	10	113	0.63	68%		31.9	1.97%	0	2	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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