Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 21, 2008

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $755.0400 (0.63%) ($741.5200 - $755.0400) on Mon. Apr. 21, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.94% (three month average)
RSI   94
Latest Price   $755.0400(0.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 5.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(66%)    OIH(62%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(41%)    SPY(39%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.97% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-26%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(3%)    LQD(3%)    PCY(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.97% (StdDev 1.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $742.61(1.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $726.38(3.95%)
20 Day Moving Average   $699.71(7.91%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   36.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 4.81% (three month std-dev: 1.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2008	625.27	699.71	726.38	742.61			755.04(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	49	-10000	11	161	0.59	68%	0.33	65.3	1.94%	0	1.6	94	0
2	Apr_18_2008	623.24	694.03	720.36	735.02			750.32(1.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	50	-10000	12	163	1.15	68%	0.3	55.7	1.96%	0	1.8	92	0
3	Apr_17_2008	621.39	688.91	713.25	726.53			738.96(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	45	-10000	10	148	0.6	68%	0.28	44	1.95%	0	1.7	72	0
4	Apr_16_2008	619.68	684.73	706.38	719.82			737.2(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	37	-10000	7	126	0.99	68%	0.24	34.4	1.96%	0	1.9	65	0
5	Apr_15_2008	618.19	681.86	699.64	714.62			731.52(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	-10000	10	113	0.63	68%	0.21	31.9	1.97%	0	2	66	0

6	Apr_14_2008	616.92	678.38	691.43	707.82			717.12(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	-10000	6	96	0.54	67%	0.17	23.6	1.98%	0	1.7	71	0
7	Apr_11_2008	615.85	676.82	684.87	703.49			707.84(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10000	8	92	0.48	67%	0.16	24.7	1.99%	0	1.5	72	0
8	Apr_10_2008	614.88	676.02	681.37	697.73			705.44(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	-10000	11	90	0.8	67%	0.16	23.7	2%	0	1.5	67	0
9	Apr_9_2008	613.89	675.24	679.05	690.48			711.2(1.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	30	-10000	12	85	1.03	67%	0.16	20.7	2.01%	0	1.8	65	0
10	Apr_8_2008	612.92	673.92	675.38	682.29			697.52(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	-10000	15	64	0.44	67%	0.17	23.8	2%	0	1.3	51	0

11	Apr_7_2008	611.85	673.1	670.76	672.48			695.44(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	18	-10000	13	33	0.53	64%	0.18	18.1	2%	0	1.3	57	0
12	Apr_4_2008	610.75	671.71	665.4	663.57			679.04(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-10000	1	-14	0.55	63%	0.17	11.2	2.01%	0	0.4	46	0
13	Apr_3_2008	609.69	671.28	662.51	662.75			669.2(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-13	-10000	-5	-38	0.68	63%	0.15	15.3	2.01%	0	-0.1	43	0
14	Apr_2_2008	608.76	671.19	661.38	666.08			670.24(3.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-13	-10000	-2	-44	0.77	65%	0.18	30.5	2.01%	0	-0.1	43	0
15	Apr_1_2008	607.68	669.63	662.64	667.73			648.48(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-11	-10000	-1	-42	0.67	63%	0.12	28.9	2.02%	0	-1.1	39	0

16	Mar_31_2008	606.98	669.96	664.56	668.38			650.88(-3.57%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1	-9	-10000	3	-46	0.98	63%	0.09	35.6	2.03%	0	-1	42	0
17	Mar_28_2008	606.43	669.84	668.58	666.62			674.96(-1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	-10000	7	-42	0.61	67%	0.14	36.2	1.98%	0	0.3	52	0
18	Mar_27_2008	605.56	668.74	670.49	661.71			685.84(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-4	-10000	9	-44	0.59	67%	0.16	36.6	1.97%	0	0.9	55	0
19	Mar_26_2008	604.61	666.11	671.02	656.21			678.48(4.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-15	-10000	-2	-52	0.77	69%	0.13	26.5	1.96%	0	0.6	55	0
20	Mar_25_2008	603.82	664.29	671.98	657.79			651.76(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-10000	-5	-29	0.59	66%	0.11	30.6	1.92%	0	-0.6	59	0

21	Mar_24_2008	603.15	663.44	675.44	660.72			642.08(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14	-10000	-15	-11	0.53	66%	0.13	38	1.93%	0	-1	51	0
22	Mar_20_2008	602.39	663.08	678.7	670.72			650.4(-1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-10000	-14	26	1.47	68%	0.11	51.5	1.93%	0	-0.5	55	0
23	Mar_19_2008	601.72	661.78	681.2	680.18			658.32(-4.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	7	-10000	-11	62	1.37	68%	0.18	66.9	1.92%	0	-0.1	54	0
24	Mar_18_2008	600.65	660.74	682.43	687.58			686.4(3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	26	-10000	-1	107	1.08	73%	0.18	82.8	1.84%	0	1	68	0
25	Mar_17_2008	599.55	657.94	677.73	688.45			666.4(-3.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	23	-10000	-6	110	1.46	71%		91.9	1.82%	0	0.3	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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