Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 19, 2007

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $577.2000 (1.46%) ($570.4000 - $582.8000) on Wed. Dec. 19, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.05% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $577.2000(1.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(66%)    OIH(62%)    VWO(42%)    EEM(40%)    SPY(39%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.025% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(3%)    LQD(3%)    PCY(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.025% (StdDev 2.05%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $576.93(0.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $571.99(0.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $575.65(0.27%)
To recent high   -6.7%
To recent low   18.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 3.3% (three month std-dev: 2.05%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_19_2007	516.09	575.65	571.99	576.93			577.2(1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	7	-10000	-5	42	0.29	68%	0.21	-19.4	2.05%	0	0.1	51	0
2	Dec_18_2007	514.99	577.5	569.37	579.73			568.88(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	12	-10000	2	42	0.35	69%	0.21	-3.3	2.04%	0	-0.4	48	0
3	Dec_17_2007	513.89	578.82	568.14	578.37			575.12(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	11	-10000	7	22	0.25	70%	0.22	-2.2	2.05%	0	-0.2	42	0
4	Dec_14_2007	512.75	579.58	567.12	574.32			578.08(-1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	4	-10000	8	-9	0.27	70%	0.25	-8.9	2.05%	0	-0.1	38	0
5	Dec_13_2007	511.45	579.62	565.17	569.79			585.36(-0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-8	-10000	6	-49	0.55	70%	0.25	-17.5	2.05%	0	0.3	39	0

6	Dec_12_2007	510.18	579.37	563.61	566.35			591.2(5.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-7	-10000	15	-74	0.67	71%	0.3	-25.3	2.04%	0	0.6	41	0
7	Dec_11_2007	508.66	578.18	561.49	558.02			562.08(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-30	-10000	3	-128	0.4	69%	0.22	-43.3	1.96%	0	-0.7	27	0
8	Dec_10_2007	507.54	579.27	564.39	556.64			554.88(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-10000	-4	-138	0.44	69%	0.2	-47.4	1.95%	0	-1.2	37	0
9	Dec_7_2007	506.54	581.48	569.58	558.78			555.44(-2.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-10000	-1	-123	0.43	69%	0.2	-45.6	1.96%	0	-1.3	39	0
10	Dec_6_2007	505.55	583.44	575.2	559.55			568.16(3.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-29	-10000	-2	-109	0.52	71%	0.23	-43.5	1.93%	0	-0.8	48	0

11	Dec_5_2007	504.38	584.86	579.28	560.54			549.52(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-10000	-9	-98	0.65	70%	0.21	-40.8	1.9%	0	-1.8	41	0
12	Dec_4_2007	503.32	587.63	586.21	565.52			555.2(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-10000	-14	-63	0.35	71%	0.22	-25.9	1.89%	0	-1.8	49	0
13	Dec_3_2007	502.22	589.48	590.59	573.36			565.6(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10000	-16	-35	0.62	71%	0.24	-13.6	1.88%	0	-1.4	46	0
14	Nov_30_2007	501	591.05	593.47	582.24			559.28(-2.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-19	-10000	-20	-14	0.73	71%	0.25	8.7	1.88%	0	-2	39	0
15	Nov_29_2007	499.77	592.21	595.96	593.2			573.12(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-7	-10000	-14	15	0.51	74%	0.27	36.8	1.84%	0	-1.3	45	0

16	Nov_28_2007	498.4	593.01	597.16	600.88			574.4(-3.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-5	-10000	-16	30	0.65	74%	0.28	69.4	1.87%	0	-1.4	44	0
17	Nov_27_2007	497.02	592.4	597.03	609.74			594.4(-2.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	12	-10000	-1	49	0.52	78%	0.32	88.3	1.81%	0	0.1	47	0
18	Nov_26_2007	495.41	591.73	595.97	610.05			610(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	18	-10000	7	52	0.3	81%	0.35	103.4	1.77%	0	1.2	58	0
19	Nov_23_2007	493.66	589.7	594.57	606.29			614.08(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	13	45	0.08	81%	0.37	106.8	1.77%	0	1.6	56	0
20	Nov_21_2007	491.84	587.05	592.19	599.15			611.52(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	12	30	0.48	79%	0.38	87	1.76%	0	1.4	62	0

21	Nov_20_2007	489.99	583.74	590.34	593.01			618.72(3.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	20	-10000	20	19	0.39	79%	0.4	69.8	1.77%	0	1.7	60	0
22	Nov_19_2007	488.06	579.23	588.27	582.75			595.92(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-10000	5	4	0.34	78%	0.36	52.3	1.74%	0	0.8	64	0
23	Nov_16_2007	486.32	576.19	587.43	580			591.2(2.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-3	-10000	-3	-4	0.43	74%	0.36	47.9	1.74%	0	0.7	54	0
24	Nov_15_2007	484.59	573.59	587.68	581.39			578.4(-0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-10000	-6	13	0.43	74%	0.34	54.7	1.77%	0	0.2	54	0
25	Nov_14_2007	482.94	572.05	587.8	584.24			580.8(2.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-10000	-6	31	0.32	74%		62.8	1.77%	0	0.4	57	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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