Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 20, 2007

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $618.7200 (3.83%) ($600.3200 - $620.0000) on Tue. Nov. 20, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.77% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $618.7200(3.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(66%)    OIH(62%)    VWO(41%)    EEM(40%)    EWI(38%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.885% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(3%)    LQD(3%)    PCY(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.885% (StdDev 1.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $593.01(4.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $590.34(4.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $583.74(5.99%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   47.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 3.51% (three month std-dev: 1.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_20_2007	489.99	583.74	590.34	593.01			618.72(3.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	20	-10000	20	19	0.39	79%	0.4	69.8	1.77%	0	1.7	60	0
2	Nov_19_2007	488.06	579.23	588.27	582.75			595.92(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-10000	5	4	0.34	78%	0.36	52.3	1.74%	0	0.8	64	0
3	Nov_16_2007	486.32	576.19	587.43	580			591.2(2.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-3	-10000	-3	-4	0.43	74%	0.36	47.9	1.74%	0	0.7	54	0
4	Nov_15_2007	484.59	573.59	587.68	581.39			578.4(-0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-10000	-6	13	0.43	74%	0.34	54.7	1.77%	0	0.2	54	0
5	Nov_14_2007	482.94	572.05	587.8	584.24			580.8(2.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	-10000	-6	31	0.32	74%	0.36	62.8	1.77%	0	0.4	57	0

6	Nov_13_2007	481.21	569.8	588.44	587.25			567.44(-2.53%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	5	-10000	-14	62	0.63	73%	0.32	71.4	1.76%	0	-0.1	60	0
7	Nov_12_2007	479.67	568.4	587.9	594.3			582.16(-2.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	27	-10000	-2	112	0.47	76%	0.35	84.8	1.72%	0	0.5	68	0
8	Nov_9_2007	477.99	565.77	587.82	595.54			598.16(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	-10000	1	151	0.47	79%	0.39	88	1.68%	0	1.2	70	0
9	Nov_8_2007	476.11	561.54	584.99	594.86			592.64(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	48	-10000	6	175	0.36	79%	0.38	87.8	1.68%	0	1.1	67	0
10	Nov_7_2007	474.29	557.42	581.95	591.81			595.84(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	47	-10000	4	177	0.67	79%	0.38	83.2	1.68%	0	1.3	64	0

11	Nov_6_2007	472.49	552.65	576.94	589.87			602.72(2.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	62	-10000	19	189	0.36	75%	0.4	80.6	1.67%	0	1.6	69	0
12	Nov_5_2007	470.61	547.09	569.5	580.59			588.32(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	-10000	3	141	0.3	74%	0.38	71.9	1.74%	0	1.3	66	0
13	Nov_2_2007	468.83	542.04	564.01	578.93			594.8(3.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	-10000	10	144	0.34	71%	0.4	71.1	1.76%	0	1.7	70	0
14	Nov_1_2007	466.96	537.11	558.11	573.84			577.36(-1.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	-10000	7	146	0.63	70%	0.38	70.6	1.73%	0	1.4	71	0
15	Oct_31_2007	465.17	533.23	554.78	570.56			586.16(5.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	54	-10000	17	164	0.8	71%	0.41	67.8	1.73%	0	1.8	74	0

16	Oct_30_2007	463.25	528.33	549.28	562.1			556.32(-4.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	51	-10000	13	166	0.52	68%	0.34	63.5	1.62%	0	1	72	0
17	Oct_29_2007	461.66	525.17	547.27	556.16			580(1.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	65	-10000	23	190	0.42	73%	0.41	58.8	1.53%	0	2	84	0
18	Oct_26_2007	459.77	520.64	541.76	546.62			569.36(1.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	56	-10000	15	179	0.36	71%	0.36	54.6	1.54%	0	2	84	0
19	Oct_25_2007	458.11	517	535.97	540.18			560.96(3.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	45	-10000	7	159	0.4	73%	0.35	54.3	1.57%	0	2	74	0
20	Oct_24_2007	456.51	514.11	530.71	537.06			543.84(3.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	42	-10000	5	153	0.31	69%	0.32	57.7	1.6%	0	1.5	68	0

21	Oct_23_2007	455.06	511.52	526.38	534.9			526.64(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	35	-10000	-4	152	0.29	67%	0.28	57	1.59%	0	0.8	68	0
22	Oct_22_2007	453.81	509.64	523.17	536.74			532.32(-0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	43	-10000	2	166	0.63	67%	0.31	59.2	1.59%	0	1.2	69	0
23	Oct_19_2007	452.43	507.69	518.78	535.7			537.12(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	51	-10000	12	167	0.68	67%	0.33	62.7	1.58%	0	1.7	72	0
24	Oct_18_2007	450.96	505.57	514.85	530.67			545.36(2.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	51	-10000	18	151	0.32	68%	0.36	65.2	1.57%	0	2.4	70	0
25	Oct_17_2007	449.35	503.14	510.14	523.34			533.04(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	42	-10000	17	118	0.75	67%		69.7	1.56%	0	2.2	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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