Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 10, 2007

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $437.7600 (0.68%) ($433.4400 - $440.0000) on Tue. Jul. 10, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $437.7600(0.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(61%)    VWO(41%)    EEM(39%)    SPY(38%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(3%)    LQD(3%)    GLD(18%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $434.3(0.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $427.32(2.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $419.45(4.37%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   14%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 2.7% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070810

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_10_2007	404.77	419.45	427.32	434.3			437.76(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	32	-10000	6	110	0.22	55%	0.08	79.3	1.36%	0	1.6	70	0
2	Jul_9_2007	404.43	417.5	425.08	432.4			434.8(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	7	100	0.29	50%	0.1	74	1.36%	0	1.5	68	0
3	Jul_6_2007	404.02	415.41	423.09	430.24			437.44(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	-10000	12	91	0.17	50%	0.13	65.7	1.42%	0	1.9	75	0
4	Jul_5_2007	403.5	413.71	420.54	426.7			433.2(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	-10000	12	76	0.28	50%	0.14	69.4	1.43%	0	1.8	75	0
5	Jul_3_2007	402.95	412.12	418.38	423.07			428.32(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	27	-10000	13	69	0.09	48%	0.11	72.7	1.41%	0	1.7	78	0

6	Jul_2_2007	402.52	410.67	417.13	419.2			428.24(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	22	-10000	8	64	0.19	48%	0.07	73.1	1.43%	0	1.9	80	0
7	Jun_29_2007	402.24	409.33	415.88	416.69			424(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	-10000	6	68	0.42	51%	0.07	73.9	1.42%	0	1.7	74	0
8	Jun_28_2007	401.97	407.9	414.64	414.91			419.76(1.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	23	-10000	5	75	0.48	51%	0.08	71.4	1.47%	0	1.4	76	0
9	Jun_27_2007	401.63	406.51	413.53	413.52			415.04(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	2	71	0.6	51%	0.05	58.4	1.47%	0	0.9	58	0
10	Jun_26_2007	401.41	405.09	412.21	412.99			408.96(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	13	-10000	-5	66	0.5	50%	0.04	48.3	1.46%	0	0.4	56	0

11	Jun_25_2007	401.24	404.07	411.16	414.59			415.68(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	18	-10000	-1	76	0.57	52%	0.05	43.2	1.45%	0	1.2	64	0
12	Jun_22_2007	401.03	403.06	409.52	414.88			415.12(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	21	-10000	2	76	0.25	55%	0.08	43.6	1.46%	0	1.3	60	0
13	Jun_21_2007	400.7	401.86	407.35	414.3			412.8(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	20	-10000	3	70	0.31	55%	0.07	38.2	1.5%	0	1.2	64	0
14	Jun_20_2007	400.42	401.22	406.53	413.5			412.4(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	-10000	8	82	0.53	55%	0.08	44.6	1.5%	0	1.2	67	0
15	Jun_19_2007	400.08	400.51	405.5	411.17			416.96(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	-10000	14	89	0.25	55%	0.15	43.5	1.49%	0	1.9	74	0

16	Jun_18_2007	399.5	399.86	403.73	407.07			417.12(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	29	-10000	12	78	0.28	55%	0.12	43.6	1.49%	0	2.2	72	0
17	Jun_15_2007	399.02	398.93	402.14	403.39			412.24(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	26	-10000	13	66	0.46	55%	0.13	44	1.49%	0	2	60	0
18	Jun_14_2007	398.51	398.29	400.42	399.44			408.8(2.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	13	-10000	2	44	0.59	55%	0.1	43.7	1.49%	0	1.7	62	0
19	Jun_13_2007	398.1	397.26	398.69	398.72			400.72(1.07%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	7	-10000	-1	31	0.39	53%	0.09	44.6	1.47%	0	0.6	49	0
20	Jun_12_2007	397.74	396.82	397.29	399.07			396.48(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-10000	-3	21	0.15	53%	0.12	49	1.47%	0	-0.1	48	0

21	Jun_11_2007	397.27	396.47	396.47	399.81			398.72(1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-3	7	0.33	53%	0.11	53.2	1.48%	0	0.4	44	0
22	Jun_8_2007	396.83	395.99	396.17	400.63			392.48(-3.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	1	-10000	-2	8	0.43	48%	0.12	57.8	1.49%	0	-0.5	45	0
23	Jun_7_2007	396.35	395.7	396.15	401.27			405.2(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	9	-10000	9	7	0.39	52%	0.13	51.5	1.44%	0	1.4	52	0
24	Jun_6_2007	395.83	394.65	395.6	398.56			402.49(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	-10000	12	5	0.31	52%	0.14	31.8	1.46%	0	1.1	60	0
25	Jun_5_2007	395.26	393.96	395.16	395.2			400.16(-0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	-10000	9	-9	0.3	49%		9.5	1.47%	0	0.9	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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