Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 14, 2007

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $393.1200 (0.41%) ($388.8800 - $394.5900) on Wed. Mar. 14, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.09% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $393.1200(0.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(61%)    VWO(41%)    EEM(39%)    SPY(38%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -1.045% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(3%)    LQD(3%)    GLD(18%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.045% (StdDev 2.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $400.06
5 Day Moving Average   $398.13(-1.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $401.54(-2.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $400.06(-1.73%)
To recent high   -9.5%
To recent low   13.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 1.91% (three month std-dev: 2.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070414

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_14_2007	403.42	400.06	401.54	398.13			393.12(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-13	-10000	-8	-28	0.25	47%	-0.08	13.1	2.09%	0	-0.9	45	0
2	Mar_13_2007	403.73	400.22	403.2	401.57			391.52(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-6	-10000	-5	-7	0.37	47%	-0.07	27	2.1%	0	-1.1	47	0
3	Mar_12_2007	404.02	400.1	404.19	403.78			394.8(-1.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	2	-10000	-1	10	0.42	47%	-0.07	31	2.1%	0	-0.7	57	0
4	Mar_9_2007	404.31	400.39	405.52	404.21			400.88(-2.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-10000	-3	19	0.23	47%	-0.08	35.9	2.08%	0	0.1	56	0
5	Mar_8_2007	404.63	400.25	405.87	405.65			410.32(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	10	-10000	0	38	0.2	49%	-0.03	50.8	2.08%	0	1.3	67	0

6	Mar_7_2007	404.76	399.05	405.08	405.57			410.32(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	0	48	0.42	49%	-0.05	50	2.08%	0	1.4	66	0
7	Mar_6_2007	404.98	398.17	403.93	405.39			402.56(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	14	-10000	1	52	0.19	49%	-0.09	61.3	2.06%	0	0.6	56	0
8	Mar_5_2007	405.35	397.69	402.77	404.8			396.96(-2.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	9	-10000	-5	51	0.46	49%	-0.08	79.6	2.05%	0	-0.1	58	0
9	Mar_2_2007	405.69	397.59	402.7	406.85			408.08(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	2	61	0.33	51%	-0.05	103.1	2.02%	0	1.4	54	0
10	Mar_1_2007	405.9	396.33	400.66	405.97			409.92(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	4	51	0.34	51%	-0.03	110.7	2.03%	0	1.7	56	0

11	Feb_28_2007	406.02	395.11	398.43	404.51			409.44(2.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	5	48	0.41	53%	-0.05	122.9	2.04%	0	1.9	63	0
12	Feb_27_2007	406.23	393.58	396.87	402.4			399.6(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	14	-10000	5	41	0.64	51%	-0.1	125	2.02%	0	0.8	54	0
13	Feb_26_2007	406.62	391.72	395.66	400.35			407.2(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	6	30	0.32	51%	-0.07	89.7	2.01%	0	1.5	58	0
14	Feb_23_2007	406.91	389.89	394.75	397.87			403.68(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	12	-10000	8	24	0.48	51%	-0.09	87.8	2.01%	0	1.3	55	0
15	Feb_22_2007	407.26	387.88	394.03	394.5			402.64(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-10000	8	20	0.43	51%	-0.08	79.2	2.02%	0	1.3	61	0

16	Feb_21_2007	407.57	386.19	392.34	391.49			398.88(2.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	3	-10000	2	6	0.53	53%	-0.07	78.1	2.03%	0	1.1	58	0
17	Feb_20_2007	407.85	384.54	391.73	390.69			389.36(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	-10000	1	12	0.34	51%	-0.25	81.8	2.02%	0	0.4	58	0
18	Feb_16_2007	408.89	382.75	392.1	390.21			394.8(2.07%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	6	-10000	-3	32	0.37	48%	-0.15	64.2	2%	0	0.8	70	0
19	Feb_15_2007	409.5	380.85	392.03	391.23			386.8(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-10000	-6	53	0.44	46%	-0.18	61.6	2.03%	0	0.4	60	0
20	Feb_14_2007	410.24	378.94	391.78	393.47			387.6(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	-10000	1	81	0.6	46%	-0.14	58.9	2.03%	0	0.5	64	0

21	Feb_13_2007	410.82	377.31	391.72	393.15			394.88(2.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	25	-10000	1	95	0.33	45%	-0.13	49.3	2.02%	0	1	62	0
22	Feb_12_2007	411.34	374.95	390.2	392.91			386.96(-3.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	24	-10000	-3	105	0.58	43%	-0.13	41	2.01%	0	0.7	62	0
23	Feb_9_2007	411.86	373.5	387.82	394.08			399.92(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	-10000	3	124	0.74	46%	-0.12	36.6	1.99%	0	1.5	73	0
24	Feb_8_2007	412.36	371.17	384.87	393.04			398(3.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	-10000	8	135	0.65	46%	-0.11	30.3	2.01%	0	1.6	69	0
25	Feb_7_2007	412.8	369.26	381.33	389.98			386(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	34	-10000	0	136	0.64	43%		18	1.98%	0	1.1	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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