Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Aug. 5, 2006

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $558.4800 (-1.06%) ($554.6400 - $564.0800) on Sat. Aug. 5, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.41% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $558.4800(-1.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.705% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.705% (StdDev 1.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

Resistance Level   $562.08
5 Day Moving Average   $561.86(-0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $558.32(0.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $562.08(-0.64%)
To recent high   -4.7%
To recent low   7.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 1.73% (three month std-dev: 1.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060905

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_4_2006	550.79	562.08	558.32	561.86			558.48(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	6	-10000	5	8	0.04	42%	0.02	-1.2	1.41%	0	-0.4	40	0
2	Aug_3_2006	550.69	562.14	558.1	559.76			564.48(-0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	-10000	3	-22	0.06	39%	0.03	-5.8	1.45%	0	0.2	36	0
3	Aug_2_2006	550.52	562.19	556.91	558.35			568.96(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-6	-10000	8	-46	0.1	39%	0.04	-0.6	1.49%	0	0.7	38	0
4	Aug_1_2006	550.28	562.08	555.72	555.23			561.2(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-14	-10000	4	-68	0.06	42%	0.03	1.1	1.49%	0	-0.1	46	0
5	Jul_31_2006	550.14	562.01	556.03	553.39			556.16(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-22	-10000	-3	-77	0.06	42%	0.01	4	1.49%	0	-0.6	49	0

6	Jul_28_2006	550.07	562.17	557.57	554.43			548(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-19	-10000	-4	-62	0.14	40%	-0	17.6	1.52%	0	-1.4	48	0
7	Jul_27_2006	550.09	562.69	561.19	556.06			557.44(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-8	-10000	2	-38	0.05	42%	0.02	33.3	1.52%	0	-0.6	51	0
8	Jul_26_2006	550	562.26	563.86	555.14			553.36(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-3	-32	0.06	41%	0.01	35.8	1.52%	0	-0.9	44	0
9	Jul_25_2006	549.95	561.96	565.52	556.22			552(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10000	-7	-29	0.14	41%	0.01	47.1	1.53%	0	-0.9	42	0
10	Jul_24_2006	549.92	561.61	566.61	559.02			561.36(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-9	-10000	-6	-17	0.05	40%	0.03	58.4	1.52%	0	-0	52	0

11	Jul_21_2006	549.76	560.43	566.3	561.39			556.16(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10000	-13	-12	0.06	43%	0.02	60.2	1.55%	0	-0.3	51	0
12	Jul_20_2006	549.67	559.57	566.76	567.31			552.8(-1.07%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-9	-10000	-15	11	0.07	42%	0.01	71	1.58%	0	-0.5	51	0
13	Jul_19_2006	549.63	558.66	568.27	573.95			558.8(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	10	-10000	-5	53	0.11	44%	0.02	80.2	1.57%	0	0	60	0
14	Jul_18_2006	549.5	557.01	569.31	576.02			566(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	21	-10000	2	79	0.13	45%	0.05	75.6	1.58%	0	0.5	66	0
15	Jul_17_2006	549.25	555.04	568.78	574.94			573.2(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	-10000	7	90	0.13	47%	0.06	66.8	1.58%	0	1	72	0

16	Jul_14_2006	548.9	552.89	567.32	571.6			585.76(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	-10000	12	97	0.21	49%	0.1	57.8	1.56%	0	1.8	85	0
17	Jul_13_2006	548.34	549.99	564.23	566.21			586(2.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	29	-10000	9	89	0.2	50%	0.11	51.3	1.58%	0	2.1	84	0
18	Jul_12_2006	547.76	546.91	560.18	562.24			569.12(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	22	-10000	1	85	0.08	47%	0.06	46.1	1.54%	0	1.4	82	0
19	Jul_11_2006	547.42	544.52	557.77	562.02			560.64(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	26	-10000	1	101	0.03	47%	0.04	37.9	1.53%	0	1	83	0
20	Jul_10_2006	547.21	543.26	555.99	561.78			556.48(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	28	-10000	-1	114	0.02	47%	0.03	34.9	1.53%	0	0.9	79	0

21	Jul_7_2006	547.06	542.57	554.04	562.11			558.8(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	-10000	1	122	0.05	47%	0.03	34.6	1.54%	0	1.1	73	0
22	Jul_6_2006	546.87	541.4	551.87	561.57			566.16(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	9	129	0.04	47%	0.06	35.8	1.55%	0	1.8	81	0
23	Jul_5_2006	546.55	539.87	548.36	557.63			568(1.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	38	-10000	11	120	0.06	47%	0.07	30	1.56%	0	2.2	84	0
24	Jul_3_2006	546.19	538.75	543.79	552.96			559.44(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	32	-10000	8	103	0.02	47%	0.04	23.8	1.56%	0	1.8	83	0
25	Jun_30_2006	545.96	538.1	540.27	549.39			558.16(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	-10000	11	84	0.03	47%		19.6	1.57%	0	1.9	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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