Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 17, 2006

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $573.2000 (-2.14%) ($572.1600 - $585.6800) on Mon. Jul. 17, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.58% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $573.2000(-2.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(65%)    OIH(61%)    VWO(40%)    EEM(39%)    EWI(37%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.79% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-10%)    REMX(0%)    TIP(3%)    LQD(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.79% (StdDev 1.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $574.94(-0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $568.78(0.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $555.04(3.27%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   9.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 3.25% (three month std-dev: 1.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_17_2006	549.25	555.04	568.78	574.94			573.2(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	-10000	7	90	0.13	47%	0.06	66.8	1.58%	0	1	72	0
2	Jul_14_2006	548.9	552.89	567.32	571.6			585.76(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	-10000	12	97	0.21	49%	0.1	57.8	1.56%	0	1.8	85	0
3	Jul_13_2006	548.34	549.99	564.23	566.21			586(2.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	29	-10000	9	89	0.2	50%	0.11	51.3	1.58%	0	2.1	84	0
4	Jul_12_2006	547.76	546.91	560.18	562.24			569.12(1.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	22	-10000	1	85	0.08	47%	0.06	46.1	1.54%	0	1.4	82	0
5	Jul_11_2006	547.42	544.52	557.77	562.02			560.64(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	26	-10000	1	101	0.03	47%	0.04	37.9	1.53%	0	1	83	0

6	Jul_10_2006	547.21	543.26	555.99	561.78			556.48(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	28	-10000	-1	114	0.02	47%	0.03	34.9	1.53%	0	0.9	79	0
7	Jul_7_2006	547.06	542.57	554.04	562.11			558.8(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	-10000	1	122	0.05	47%	0.03	34.6	1.54%	0	1.1	73	0
8	Jul_6_2006	546.87	541.4	551.87	561.57			566.16(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	9	129	0.04	47%	0.06	35.8	1.55%	0	1.8	81	0
9	Jul_5_2006	546.55	539.87	548.36	557.63			568(1.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	38	-10000	11	120	0.06	47%	0.07	30	1.56%	0	2.2	84	0
10	Jul_3_2006	546.19	538.75	543.79	552.96			559.44(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	32	-10000	8	103	0.02	47%	0.04	23.8	1.56%	0	1.8	83	0

11	Jun_30_2006	545.96	538.1	540.27	549.39			558.16(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	29	-10000	11	84	0.03	47%	0.04	19.6	1.57%	0	1.9	62	0
12	Jun_29_2006	545.74	537.56	537.32	544.78			556.08(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	21	-10000	9	55	0.06	47%	0.03	12.1	1.59%	0	1.9	54	0
13	Jun_28_2006	545.56	536.39	534.48	540.77			546.48(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	7	35	0.03	45%	0	3.6	1.58%	0	1.1	55	0
14	Jun_27_2006	545.54	536.08	532.39	537.63			544.64(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	11	17	0.04	45%	-0	-6	1.6%	0	1	53	0
15	Jun_26_2006	545.56	536.07	530.02	533.17			541.6(1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	1	-10000	8	-20	0.02	45%	-0.01	-11.9	1.61%	0	0.6	43	0

16	Jun_23_2006	545.63	536.03	529.32	529.71			535.12(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	-10000	2	-44	0.01	45%	-0.04	-14.3	1.62%	0	-0.1	39	0
17	Jun_22_2006	545.84	536.37	530.04	528.69			536(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-11	-10000	3	-53	0.03	45%	-0.03	-13	1.63%	0	-0	38	0
18	Jun_21_2006	546.03	536.06	530	527.34			530.8(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	-10000	2	-58	0.03	45%	-0.05	-15.6	1.64%	0	-0.6	49	0
19	Jun_20_2006	546.33	536.63	530.65	526.45			522.32(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-10000	0	-65	0.03	45%	-0.09	-14	1.64%	0	-1.5	40	0
20	Jun_19_2006	546.82	537.14	533.35	526.27			524.32(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-10000	-6	-66	0.02	45%	-0.09	-17.2	1.66%	0	-1.5	38	0

21	Jun_16_2006	547.29	537.3	535.86	528.74			530(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	-10000	-7	-54	0.03	45%	-0.07	-23.9	1.67%	0	-0.8	44	0
22	Jun_15_2006	547.66	537.55	537.91	531.65			529.28(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-10000	-3	-37	0.04	45%	-0.07	-29.4	1.69%	0	-1	44	0
23	Jun_14_2006	548.06	537.48	538.59	533.18			526.32(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-10000	-5	-29	0.04	45%	-0.09	-40.9	1.7%	0	-1.3	51	0
24	Jun_13_2006	548.54	537.93	540.27	535.57			521.44(-2.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-15	-10000	-12	-24	0.08	45%	-0.11	-41.8	1.72%	0	-1.9	42	0
25	Jun_12_2006	549.16	538.63	542.95	541.3			536.64(-1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-6	9	0.03	48%		-31.9	1.68%	0	-0.3	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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