Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 27, 2006

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $544.6400 (0.56%) ($541.0400 - $547.3600) on Tue. Jun. 27, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $544.6400(0.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(61%)    VWO(40%)    EEM(39%)    EWI(37%)    SPY(37%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-10%)    REMX(0%)    XOP(1%)    TIP(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $537.63(1.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $532.39(2.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $536.08(1.6%)
To recent high   -6.5%
To recent low   4.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 1.67% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060727

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_27_2006	545.54	536.08	532.39	537.63			544.64(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	11	17	0.04	45%	-0	-6	1.6%	0	1	53	0
2	Jun_26_2006	545.56	536.07	530.02	533.17			541.6(1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	1	-10000	8	-20	0.02	45%	-0.01	-11.9	1.61%	0	0.6	43	0
3	Jun_23_2006	545.63	536.03	529.32	529.71			535.12(-0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	-10000	2	-44	0.01	45%	-0.04	-14.3	1.62%	0	-0.1	39	0
4	Jun_22_2006	545.84	536.37	530.04	528.69			536(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-11	-10000	3	-53	0.03	45%	-0.03	-13	1.63%	0	-0	38	0
5	Jun_21_2006	546.03	536.06	530	527.34			530.8(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	-10000	2	-58	0.03	45%	-0.05	-15.6	1.64%	0	-0.6	49	0

6	Jun_20_2006	546.33	536.63	530.65	526.45			522.32(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-10000	0	-65	0.03	45%	-0.09	-14	1.64%	0	-1.5	40	0
7	Jun_19_2006	546.82	537.14	533.35	526.27			524.32(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-10000	-6	-66	0.02	45%	-0.09	-17.2	1.66%	0	-1.5	38	0
8	Jun_16_2006	547.29	537.3	535.86	528.74			530(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	-10000	-7	-54	0.03	45%	-0.07	-23.9	1.67%	0	-0.8	44	0
9	Jun_15_2006	547.66	537.55	537.91	531.65			529.28(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-10000	-3	-37	0.04	45%	-0.07	-29.4	1.69%	0	-1	44	0
10	Jun_14_2006	548.06	537.48	538.59	533.18			526.32(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-10000	-5	-29	0.04	45%	-0.09	-40.9	1.7%	0	-1.3	51	0

11	Jun_13_2006	548.54	537.93	540.27	535.57			521.44(-2.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-15	-10000	-12	-24	0.08	45%	-0.11	-41.8	1.72%	0	-1.9	42	0
12	Jun_12_2006	549.16	538.63	542.95	541.3			536.64(-1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-6	9	0.03	48%	-0.05	-31.9	1.68%	0	-0.3	55	0
13	Jun_9_2006	549.45	539.38	543.57	543.95			544.56(1.42%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-10000	-3	30	0.04	48%	-0.02	-16.8	1.69%	0	0.6	61	0
14	Jun_8_2006	549.57	540.11	543.36	545.28			536.96(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	11	-10000	1	42	0.04	48%	-0.06	-3.3	1.7%	0	-0.3	53	0
15	Jun_7_2006	549.88	541.1	542.76	544.8			538.24(-2.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-10000	-2	42	0.05	48%	-0.05	-6.2	1.72%	0	-0.3	57	0

16	Jun_6_2006	550.17	541.53	543.21	545.52			550.08(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	2	53	0.02	50%	0	-17.5	1.7%	0	0.8	58	0
17	Jun_5_2006	550.17	541.12	541.27	544.82			549.92(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	3	49	0.05	50%	0	-32.5	1.73%	0	0.9	58	0
18	Jun_2_2006	550.17	540.76	538.79	543.23			551.2(3.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	-10000	4	28	0.06	50%	0	-43.1	1.75%	0	1	48	0
19	Jun_1_2006	550.15	540.44	536.95	541.47			534.56(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	3	-10000	2	5	0.12	46%	-0.08	-50.8	1.69%	0	-0.6	38	0
20	May_31_2006	550.58	541.72	536.19	540.32			541.84(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	-10000	-0	-19	0.06	46%	-0.05	-47.8	1.7%	0	0	42	0

21	May_30_2006	550.83	543.38	535.31	540.38			546.56(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	-10000	7	-24	0.06	46%	-0.02	-34.7	1.72%	0	0.2	49	0
22	May_26_2006	550.96	544.48	533.84	537.12			542(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	-10000	7	-42	0.03	46%	-0.05	-37	1.74%	0	-0.2	50	0
23	May_25_2006	551.23	545.19	534.64	533.63			542.4(2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	-10000	4	-51	0.04	46%	-0.05	-51.3	1.77%	0	-0.2	49	0
24	May_24_2006	551.5	545.55	536.27	531.94			528.8(-2.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-12	-10000	1	-51	0.05	43%	-0.13	-60.1	1.74%	0	-1.1	43	0
25	May_23_2006	552.23	546.97	539.09	531.3			542.16(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-11	-10000	4	-56	0.08	46%		-68	1.71%	0	-0.3	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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