Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 15, 2006

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $529.2800 (0.56%) ($527.6000 - $532.1600) on Thu. Jun. 15, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.69% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $529.2800(0.56%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USO declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(61%)    VWO(40%)    EEM(39%)    EWI(37%)    SPY(37%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-10%)    REMX(0%)    TIP(3%)    LQD(3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.845% (StdDev 1.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Resistance Level   $537.55
5 Day Moving Average   $531.65(-0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $537.91(-1.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $537.55(-1.54%)
To recent high   -9.1%
To recent low   1.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 1.6% (three month std-dev: 1.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060715

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_15_2006	547.66	537.55	537.91	531.65			529.28(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-10000	-3	-37	0.04	45%	-0.07	-29.4	1.69%	0	-1	44	0
2	Jun_14_2006	548.06	537.48	538.59	533.18			526.32(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-11	-10000	-5	-29	0.04	45%	-0.09	-40.9	1.7%	0	-1.3	51	0
3	Jun_13_2006	548.54	537.93	540.27	535.57			521.44(-2.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-15	-10000	-12	-24	0.08	45%	-0.11	-41.8	1.72%	0	-1.9	42	0
4	Jun_12_2006	549.16	538.63	542.95	541.3			536.64(-1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-6	9	0.03	48%	-0.05	-31.9	1.68%	0	-0.3	55	0
5	Jun_9_2006	549.45	539.38	543.57	543.95			544.56(1.42%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	5	-10000	-3	30	0.04	48%	-0.02	-16.8	1.69%	0	0.6	61	0

6	Jun_8_2006	549.57	540.11	543.36	545.28			536.96(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	11	-10000	1	42	0.04	48%	-0.06	-3.3	1.7%	0	-0.3	53	0
7	Jun_7_2006	549.88	541.1	542.76	544.8			538.24(-2.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-10000	-2	42	0.05	48%	-0.05	-6.2	1.72%	0	-0.3	57	0
8	Jun_6_2006	550.17	541.53	543.21	545.52			550.08(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	2	53	0.02	50%	0	-17.5	1.7%	0	0.8	58	0
9	Jun_5_2006	550.17	541.12	541.27	544.82			549.92(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	3	49	0.05	50%	0	-32.5	1.73%	0	0.9	58	0
10	Jun_2_2006	550.17	540.76	538.79	543.23			551.2(3.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	-10000	4	28	0.06	50%	0	-43.1	1.75%	0	1	48	0

11	Jun_1_2006	550.15	540.44	536.95	541.47			534.56(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	3	-10000	2	5	0.12	46%	-0.08	-50.8	1.69%	0	-0.6	38	0
12	May_31_2006	550.58	541.72	536.19	540.32			541.84(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	-10000	-0	-19	0.06	46%	-0.05	-47.8	1.7%	0	0	42	0
13	May_30_2006	550.83	543.38	535.31	540.38			546.56(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	-10000	7	-24	0.06	46%	-0.02	-34.7	1.72%	0	0.2	49	0
14	May_26_2006	550.96	544.48	533.84	537.12			542(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	-10000	7	-42	0.03	46%	-0.05	-37	1.74%	0	-0.2	50	0
15	May_25_2006	551.23	545.19	534.64	533.63			542.4(2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	-10000	4	-51	0.04	46%	-0.05	-51.3	1.77%	0	-0.2	49	0

16	May_24_2006	551.5	545.55	536.27	531.94			528.8(-2.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-12	-10000	1	-51	0.05	43%	-0.13	-60.1	1.74%	0	-1.1	43	0
17	May_23_2006	552.23	546.97	539.09	531.3			542.16(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-11	-10000	4	-56	0.08	46%	-0.06	-68	1.71%	0	-0.3	40	0
18	May_22_2006	552.57	548.06	539.49	529.58			530.24(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	-10000	-1	-83	0.1	42%	-0.14	-69.4	1.69%	0	-1.2	29	0
19	May_19_2006	553.34	549.96	540.86	530.14			524.56(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-10000	-12	-103	0.1	42%	-0.19	-62.8	1.7%	0	-1.6	30	0
20	May_18_2006	554.37	552.84	542.98	535.81			533.92(1.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-10000	-12	-92	0.08	44%	-0.14	-48.4	1.7%	0	-1.2	42	0

21	May_17_2006	555.13	554.61	544.33	541.5			525.6(-1.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-30	-10000	-14	-77	0.1	44%	-0.2	-31.3	1.7%	0	-1.9	42	0
22	May_16_2006	556.26	557.15	548.01	548.02			533.6(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-17	-10000	-6	-48	0.1	44%	-0.16	-12.3	1.71%	0	-1.7	42	0
23	May_15_2006	557.17	558.86	552.39	550.74			533.04(-3.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-11	-10000	-4	-30	0.08	44%	-0.18	0.5	1.75%	0	-2.1	39	0
24	May_12_2006	558.17	560.28	556.34	552.74			552.88(-1.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-2	-10000	4	-21	0.08	50%	-0.04	0	1.62%	0	-0.7	43	0
25	May_11_2006	558.4	560.27	556.79	550.96			562.4(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-5	-10000	7	-42	0.13	54%		0	1.61%	0	0.2	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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