Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 1, 2006

Trading Signals: USO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Apr. 10, 2006 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Oil)
USO latest price $572.0000 (2.7%) ($560.0000 - $573.2000) on Mon. May. 1, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.54% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $572.0000(2.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   USO advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
OIH(61%)    VWO(40%)    EEM(38%)    EWI(37%)    SPY(37%)
Factors Impacting USO price   USO will decline at least -0.77% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-10%)    REMX(0%)    LQD(3%)    TIP(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.77% (StdDev 1.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $560(2.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $565.74(1.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $0(0%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   5.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. USO price fluctuates within 0% (three month std-dev: 1.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060601

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_1_2006	560.1		565.74	560			572(2.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	2	-10000	2	1	0.07	67%	0.15	0	1.54%	0	48.9	64	0
2	Apr_28_2006	559.25		564.37	559.22			556.96(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-12	-5	0.11	60%	-0.03	0	1.45%	0	47.8	50	0
3	Apr_27_2006	559.42		563.96	564.32			549.6(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-8	-10000	-9	-4	0.08	60%	-0.15	0	1.47%	0	45.5	50	0
4	Apr_26_2006	560.24		563.66	568.14			556.32(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-8	-10000	-9	-4	0.11	60%	-0.06	0	1.48%	0	45.6	50	0
5	Apr_25_2006	560.6		562.85	571.84			565.12(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	0	-10000	-0	0	0.36	68%	0.08	0	1.43%	0	44.5	50	0

6	Apr_24_2006	560.14		560.9	572.02			568.08(-2.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	4	-10000	5	2	0.13	68%	0.16	0	1.48%	0	42.9	50	0
7	Apr_21_2006	559.26		560.9	570.06			582.48(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	20	8	0.13	84%	0.52	0	1.11%	0	42.6	50	0
8	Apr_20_2006	556.36		560.9	563.68			568.72(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	-10000	19	8	0.11	79%	0.32	0	1%	0	49.1	50	0
9	Apr_19_2006	554.59		560.9	558.48			574.8(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	23	-10000	27	11	0.1	92%	0.61	0	0.78%	0	50.7	50	0
10	Apr_18_2006	551.23		560.9	552.64			566(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	17	-10000	20	8	0.12	89%	0.54	0	0.8%	0	67.4	50	0

11	Apr_17_2006	548.27		560.9	548.27			558.32(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	524	-10000	616	246	0.11	85%	0.46	0	0.83%	0	98.3	50	0
12	Apr_13_2006	545.76		560.9	436.61			550.56(1.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	38.6	708	-10000	833	333	0.07	76%	0.29	0	0.81%	0	186.6	50	0
13	Apr_12_2006	544.16		560.9	326.5			542.72(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	183.2	2117	-10000	2491	996	0.16	33%	-0.13	0	0.4%	0	459.9	50	0
14	Apr_11_2006	544.88		560.9	217.95			545.6(0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	455.1	0	-10000	0	0	0.16	100%	0.13	0	0%	0	757.8	50	0
15	Apr_10_2006	544.16		560.9	108.83			544.16(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	0.48	0%		0	0%	0	0	50	0

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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