Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Silver ETN)
USLV latest price $22.3500 (1.09%) ($21.7800 - $22.4400) on Tue. Sep. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.91% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $22.3500(1.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USLV advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USLV declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(15%)    GLD(13%)    SIL(11%)    GDX(10%)    BWX(7%)
Factors Impacting USLV price   USLV will decline at least -2.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-7%)    TBT(-3%)    IPO(-2%)    BOTZ(-2%)    XLK(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.455% (StdDev 4.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $21.68(3.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.12(1.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.87(2.19%)
To recent high   -21.8%
To recent low   30.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. USLV is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. USLV price fluctuates within 6.31% (three month std-dev: 4.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161020

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_20_2016	21.17	21.87	22.12	21.68			22.35(1.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-0	-10000	5	-16	0.58	62%	0.19	-35.5	4.91%	0	0.3	61	0
2	Sep_19_2016	21.13	21.83	22.41	21.44			22.11(5.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-0	-10000	1	-4	1.2	62%	0.14	-50.9	4.91%	0	0.2	56	0
3	Sep_16_2016	21.1	21.88	22.51	21.41			20.87(-3.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-2	-10000	-4	6	1.45	59%	0.09	-55.1	4.89%	0	-0.7	55	0
4	Sep_15_2016	21.08	22.06	22.59	21.61			21.56(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-2	-10000	-8	15	1.14	59%	0.19	-50.6	4.94%	0	-0.3	58	0
5	Sep_14_2016	21.04	22.2	22.53	22.06			21.49(1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-10000	-11	30	0.65	59%	0.24	-46.5	4.95%	0	-0.4	58	0

6	Sep_13_2016	20.99	22.37	22.45	22.65			21.15(-3.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-1	-10000	-15	43	1.38	59%	0.19	-36	4.95%	0	-0.7	51	0
7	Sep_12_2016	20.95	22.56	22.49	23.53			22(0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	16	-10000	-4	76	2.32	59%	0.24	-21.2	4.92%	0	-0.3	53	0
8	Sep_9_2016	20.9	22.68	22.37	23.76			21.83(-8.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	20	-10000	2	74	1.49	59%	0.24	-17.8	4.92%	0	-0.5	46	0
9	Sep_8_2016	20.85	22.86	22.25	23.66			23.83(-2.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	12	53	1.18	66%	0.34	-22.6	4.82%	0	0.5	45	0
10	Sep_7_2016	20.78	22.97	21.9	23.01			24.45(-4.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	14	12	1.11	66%	0.39	-31.8	5%	0	0.7	48	0

11	Sep_6_2016	20.7	23	21.59	22.21			25.53(10.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	5	-10000	16	-29	1.92	66%	0.83	-47.8	4.97%	0	1.2	49	0
12	Sep_2_2016	20.53	22.94	21.15	21.35			23.18(8.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-12	-10000	10	-76	1.09	65%	0.44	-65.6	4.87%	0	0.1	38	0
13	Sep_1_2016	20.44	23.01	21.11	20.83			21.31(3.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-23	-10000	4	-103	0.91	63%	0.29	-70.7	4.77%	0	-0.7	30	0
14	Aug_31_2016	20.38	23.31	21.42	20.64			20.6(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-28	-10000	1	-114	0.76	63%	0.3	-68.8	4.76%	0	-1.1	21	0
15	Aug_30_2016	20.32	23.66	21.79	20.61			20.43(-3.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-34	-10000	-4	-125	0.68	63%	0.35	-66.9	4.8%	0	-1.3	18	0

16	Aug_29_2016	20.25	24.06	22.23	20.83			21.23(3.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-32	-10000	-2	-120	0.71	63%	0.45	-59.6	4.81%	0	-1.1	30	0
17	Aug_26_2016	20.16	24.39	22.61	20.92			20.6(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-10000	-10	-121	1.64	63%	0.4	-54.2	4.81%	0	-1.5	29	0
18	Aug_25_2016	20.08	24.74	23.02	21.44			20.36(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-41	-10000	-17	-111	0.56	63%	0.45	-47.5	4.81%	0	-1.9	29	0
19	Aug_24_2016	19.99	25.09	23.56	22.33			20.41(-5.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-35	-10000	-15	-95	1.33	63%	0.4	-38.8	4.81%	0	-2.1	22	0
20	Aug_23_2016	19.91	25.46	24.18	23.14			21.55(-0.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-29	-10000	-12	-78	0.64	66%	0.5	-25.2	4.78%	0	-2.1	24	0

21	Aug_22_2016	19.81	25.65	24.58	23.84			21.67(-6.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-27	-10000	-12	-73	1.52	66%	0.51	-20.1	4.79%	0	-2.3	22	0
22	Aug_19_2016	19.71	25.81	24.94	24.53			23.2(-6.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-21	-10000	-5	-67	1.17	66%	0.56	-17.7	4.7%	0	-1.8	30	0
23	Aug_18_2016	19.6	25.91	25.12	24.82			24.8(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-20	-10000	-3	-71	0.8	65%	0.62	-19.5	4.7%	0	-0.8	38	0
24	Aug_17_2016	19.48	25.96	25.37	24.99			24.5(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-10000	-7	-66	1.39	65%	0.62	-20.6	4.8%	0	-1	39	0
25	Aug_16_2016	19.36	25.95	25.67	25.4			25.04(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10000	-1	-54	0.73	65%		-26	4.79%	0	-0.7	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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