Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Silver ETN)
USLV latest price $24.4500 (-4.23%) ($24.2700 - $25.2500) on Wed. Sep. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $24.4500(-4.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USLV advances 3.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USLV advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(15%)    GLD(13%)    SIL(12%)    GDX(11%)    BWX(7%)
Factors Impacting USLV price   USLV will decline at least -2.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
IPO(-10%)    UUP(-7%)    TBT(-3%)    XLK(-1%)    VIXM(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.5% (StdDev 5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -3.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $23.01(6.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.9(11.64%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.97(6.44%)
To recent high   -14.5%
To recent low   65.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.03%

$. USLV is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.03% a day on average for holding it.$. USLV price fluctuates within 9.06% (three month std-dev: 5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161007

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_7_2016	20.78	22.97	21.9	23.01			24.45(-4.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	14	12	1.11	66%	0.39	-31.8	5%	0	0.7	48	0
2	Sep_6_2016	20.7	23	21.59	22.21			25.53(10.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	5	-10000	16	-29	1.92	66%	0.83	-47.8	4.97%	0	1.2	49	0
3	Sep_2_2016	20.53	22.94	21.15	21.35			23.18(8.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-12	-10000	10	-76	1.09	65%	0.44	-65.6	4.87%	0	0.1	38	0
4	Sep_1_2016	20.44	23.01	21.11	20.83			21.31(3.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-23	-10000	4	-103	0.91	63%	0.29	-70.7	4.77%	0	-0.7	30	0
5	Aug_31_2016	20.38	23.31	21.42	20.64			20.6(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-28	-10000	1	-114	0.76	63%	0.3	-68.8	4.76%	0	-1.1	21	0

6	Aug_30_2016	20.32	23.66	21.79	20.61			20.43(-3.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-34	-10000	-4	-125	0.68	63%	0.35	-66.9	4.8%	0	-1.3	18	0
7	Aug_29_2016	20.25	24.06	22.23	20.83			21.23(3.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-32	-10000	-2	-120	0.71	63%	0.45	-59.6	4.81%	0	-1.1	30	0
8	Aug_26_2016	20.16	24.39	22.61	20.92			20.6(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-10000	-10	-121	1.64	63%	0.4	-54.2	4.81%	0	-1.5	29	0
9	Aug_25_2016	20.08	24.74	23.02	21.44			20.36(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-41	-10000	-17	-111	0.56	63%	0.45	-47.5	4.81%	0	-1.9	29	0
10	Aug_24_2016	19.99	25.09	23.56	22.33			20.41(-5.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-35	-10000	-15	-95	1.33	63%	0.4	-38.8	4.81%	0	-2.1	22	0

11	Aug_23_2016	19.91	25.46	24.18	23.14			21.55(-0.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-29	-10000	-12	-78	0.64	66%	0.5	-25.2	4.78%	0	-2.1	24	0
12	Aug_22_2016	19.81	25.65	24.58	23.84			21.67(-6.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-27	-10000	-12	-73	1.52	66%	0.51	-20.1	4.79%	0	-2.3	22	0
13	Aug_19_2016	19.71	25.81	24.94	24.53			23.2(-6.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-21	-10000	-5	-67	1.17	66%	0.56	-17.7	4.7%	0	-1.8	30	0
14	Aug_18_2016	19.6	25.91	25.12	24.82			24.8(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-20	-10000	-3	-71	0.8	65%	0.62	-19.5	4.7%	0	-0.8	38	0
15	Aug_17_2016	19.48	25.96	25.37	24.99			24.5(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-10000	-7	-66	1.39	65%	0.62	-20.6	4.8%	0	-1	39	0

16	Aug_16_2016	19.36	25.95	25.67	25.4			25.04(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10000	-1	-54	0.73	65%	0.68	-26	4.79%	0	-0.7	38	0
17	Aug_15_2016	19.23	26	26.01	25.46			25.11(1.91%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-9	-10000	1	-37	0.51	65%	0.31	-27.6	4.78%	0	-0.7	55	0
18	Aug_12_2016	19.17	26.08	26.28	25.42			24.64(-4.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	-10000	-0	-24	2.49	63%	0.68	-31.5	4.78%	0	-1.1	56	0
19	Aug_11_2016	19.04	26.18	26.57	25.44			25.68(-3.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-8	-10000	-6	-14	1.68	64%	0.69	-33.5	4.82%	0	-0.4	57	0
20	Aug_10_2016	18.91	26.25	26.71	25.8			26.53(4.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-3	-10000	-4	1	1.5	64%	0.69	-18.7	4.83%	0	0.2	56	0

21	Aug_9_2016	18.78	26.31	26.82	26.03			25.34(1.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-10000	-10	22	0.91	61%	0.64	-10.8	4.81%	0	-0.7	60	0
22	Aug_8_2016	18.66	26.38	26.8	26.68			24.9(0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	2	-10000	-9	34	1.38	61%	0.59	3.5	4.95%	0	-1.1	49	0
23	Aug_5_2016	18.55	26.51	26.79	27.27			24.76(-9.83%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.9	5	-10000	-8	42	2.36	61%	0.6	23.7	4.95%	0	-1.3	46	0
24	Aug_4_2016	18.44	26.63	26.83	27.82			27.46(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	15	-10000	1	55	0.78	65%	0.77	53.9	4.77%	0	0.6	54	0
25	Aug_3_2016	18.3	26.51	26.65	27.73			27.68(-3.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	12	-10000	0	46	1.27	65%		70.6	4.78%	0	0.9	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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