Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Silver ETN)
USLV latest price $30.1200 (3.9%) ($29.0500 - $30.5100) on Thu. Jan. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.51% (three month average)
RSI   89
Latest Price   $30.1200(3.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USLV advances 5.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USLV advances 16.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(18%)    GLD(15%)    SIL(13%)    GDX(12%)    BWX(8%)
Factors Impacting USLV price   USLV will decline at least -3.255% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-7%)    TBT(-3%)    VIXM(-1%)    XLK(-0%)    XBI(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.255% (StdDev 6.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.46(9.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.15(19.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.82(31.99%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   58.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.04%

$. USLV is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.04% a day on average for holding it.$. USLV price fluctuates within 14.29% (three month std-dev: 6.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_22_2015	25.71	22.82	25.15	27.46			30.12(3.9%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	51	-10000	16	156	0.63	48%	-0.35	68.6	6.51%	0	2.2	89	0
2	Jan_21_2015	25.8	22.24	24.32	26.08			28.99(3.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	41	-10000	12	128	0.77	48%	-0.39	59.5	6.54%	0	2.4	72	0
3	Jan_20_2015	25.9	21.79	23.58	25.06			27.97(3.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	42	-10000	15	121	0.7	49%	-0.54	48	6.53%	0	2.5	75	0
4	Jan_16_2015	26.04	21.37	22.84	23.92			26.9(15.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	35	-10000	14	98	0.9	49%	-0.57	30.5	6.47%	0	2.8	68	0
5	Jan_15_2015	26.19	20.98	22.06	22.88			23.3(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	-10000	6	74	0.56	45%	-0.68	3.6	6.17%	0	1.5	65	0

6	Jan_14_2015	26.37	20.78	21.64	22.47			23.22(-2.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	3	63	0.34	45%	-0.68	-20.8	6.17%	0	1.7	66	0
7	Jan_13_2015	26.55	20.66	21.43	22.25			23.93(7.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	21	-10000	5	70	0.66	45%	-0.64	-31	6.17%	0	2.4	69	0
8	Jan_12_2015	26.72	20.67	20.97	21.88			22.23(2.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	4	57	0.24	42%	-0.71	-35.7	6.09%	0	1.4	57	0
9	Jan_9_2015	26.91	20.78	20.77	21.59			21.72(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	8	53	0.19	42%	-0.74	-25.7	6.08%	0	0.7	57	0
10	Jan_8_2015	27.11	20.92	20.54	21.1			21.26(-3.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-10000	7	39	0.2	43%	-0.73	-22.4	6.08%	0	0.2	58	0

11	Jan_7_2015	27.31	20.92	20.35	20.65			22.13(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	-10000	3	25	0.34	43%	-0.73	-21	6.08%	0	0.5	62	0
12	Jan_6_2015	27.51	21.09	20.03	20.48			22.04(5.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	-10000	9	14	0.58	46%	-0.76	-22.3	6.09%	0	0.4	53	0
13	Jan_5_2015	27.72	21.07	19.86	19.95			20.8(7.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-5	-10000	1	-23	0.64	46%	-0.79	-23.3	6.14%	0	-0.1	38	0
14	Jan_2_2015	27.94	21.16	19.78	19.87			19.28(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-10000	-0	-47	0.6	42%	-1.45	-26.7	6.08%	0	-0.9	32	0
15	Dec_31_2014	28.35	21.32	19.81	19.9			18.99(-10.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-10000	-1	-70	0.95	42%	-0.91	-31.3	6.08%	0	-1.1	30	0

16	Dec_30_2014	28.61	21.51	19.88	19.95			21.28(9.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-16	-10000	8	-89	0.61	43%	-0.83	-33.5	5.95%	0	-0.1	36	0
17	Dec_29_2014	28.85	21.58	19.83	19.51			19.42(-4.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-31	-10000	-4	-112	0.39	40%	-0.89	-40.7	5.89%	0	-1	42	0
18	Dec_26_2014	29.11	21.59	20.34	19.75			20.39(5.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-23	-10000	1	-93	0.25	40%	-1.39	-44.8	5.86%	0	-0.6	47	0
19	Dec_24_2014	29.52	21.76	20.76	19.69			19.41(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-10000	-1	-88	0.1	39%	-0.81	-42.2	5.79%	0	-1.1	40	0
20	Dec_23_2014	29.76	22.01	21.31	19.73			19.25(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-10000	-1	-76	0.16	39%	-0.9	-38.9	5.79%	0	-1.3	40	0

21	Dec_22_2014	30.03	22.23	21.88	19.77			19.1(-7.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-10000	-7	-69	0.37	39%	-0.96	-37.8	5.79%	0	-1.5	38	0
22	Dec_19_2014	30.32	22.46	22.23	20.18			20.59(2.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-27	-10000	-14	-65	0.22	39%	-0.88	-33.5	5.73%	0	-1	43	0
23	Dec_18_2014	30.59	22.58	22.39	21.05			20.11(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10000	-15	-33	0.26	39%	-0.94	-16.5	5.85%	0	-1.3	60	0
24	Dec_17_2014	30.88	22.7	22.67	22.04			19.59(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-17	-10000	-17	-15	0.44	38%	-0.96	2.4	5.83%	0	-1.7	43	0
25	Dec_16_2014	31.18	22.87	23	23.16			19.48(-7.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.3	-11	-10000	-16	6	0.52	38%		27.6	5.84%	0	-2.1	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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