Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 3, 2014

Trading Signals: USLV Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 7, 2014 - Thu. Jul. 2, 2020)

(VelocityShares 3x Long Silver ETN)
USLV latest price $45.7700 (-1.97%) ($45.4100 - $46.2300) on Thu. Apr. 3, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.3% (three month average)
RSI   11
Latest Price   $45.7700(-1.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USLV advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USLV declines -7.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USLV advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SLV(19%)    GLD(16%)    SIL(14%)    GDX(13%)    GDXJ(9%)
Factors Impacting USLV price   USLV will decline at least -2.15% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-8%)    XLK(-1%)    XBI(0%)    QQQ(-0%)    DIA(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.15% (StdDev 4.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $29.34(-35.9%)
Resistance Level   $50.03
5 Day Moving Average   $45.91(-0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.32(-1.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.03(-8.51%)
To recent high   -28.5%
To recent low   1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.02%

$. USLV is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.02% a day on average for holding it.$. USLV price fluctuates within 9.29% (three month std-dev: 4.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140503

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_3_2014	53.62	50.03	46.32	45.91			45.77(-1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-24	-10000	1	-100	0.11	55%	-0.39	-58.8	4.3%	0	-0.9	11	0
2	Apr_2_2014	53.83	50.67	46.65	45.82			46.69(2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-27	-10000	3	-117	0.16	55%	-0.35	-58.4	4.34%	0	-0.9	22	0
3	Apr_1_2014	54.02	51.16	47.07	45.56			45.75(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-36	-10000	-3	-135	0.15	55%	-0.42	-60.7	4.39%	0	-1.2	17	0
4	Mar_31_2014	54.25	51.71	47.78	45.83			45.6(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-35	-10000	-3	-131	0.2	55%	-0.46	-64.5	4.45%	0	-1.3	32	0
5	Mar_28_2014	54.5	52.36	48.74	46.1			45.73(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	-10000	-7	-123	0.6	55%	-0.46	-70.7	4.52%	0	-1.5	32	0

6	Mar_27_2014	54.75	52.92	49.92	46.81			45.31(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-10000	-7	-105	0.24	55%	-0.53	-75.9	4.58%	0	-1.7	30	0
7	Mar_26_2014	55.04	53.55	51	47.6			45.4(-3.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-33	-10000	-11	-100	0.26	55%	-0.54	-83.1	4.65%	0	-2	24	0
8	Mar_25_2014	55.34	54.18	52.17	48.8			47.12(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-29	-10000	-11	-84	0.19	55%	-0.49	-80.2	4.68%	0	-1.8	33	0
9	Mar_24_2014	55.61	54.95	52.87	50.03			46.93(-4.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-30	-10000	-14	-76	0.35	55%	-0.52	-72.9	4.76%	0	-2	33	0
10	Mar_21_2014	55.9	55.8	53.59	51.78			49.29(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-10000	-14	-66	0.16	60%	-0.39	-62	4.76%	0	-1.7	33	0

11	Mar_20_2014	56.12	56.46	54.13	53.54			49.28(-4.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-20	-10000	-10	-48	0.35	60%	-0.44	-41.1	4.84%	0	-1.9	39	0
12	Mar_19_2014	56.37	57.14	55.1	54.9			51.36(-3.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-13	-10000	-8	-28	0.39	60%	-0.32	-18.7	4.86%	0	-1.7	40	0
13	Mar_18_2014	56.55	57.57	55.65	56.03			53.28(-4.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-3	-10000	-0	-13	0.26	60%	-0.23	3.3	4.89%	0	-1.3	43	0
14	Mar_17_2014	56.68	58.08	56	56.08			55.7(-4.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	-10000	3	-23	0.31	60%	-0.07	25.1	4.89%	0	-0.7	38	0
15	Mar_14_2014	56.72	58.28	56.28	55.64			58.07(3.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	-10000	6	-37	0.41	60%	0.11	37.8	4.89%	0	-0.1	38	0

16	Mar_13_2014	56.66	58.03	56.1	54.86			56.1(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-18	-10000	-4	-61	0.22	60%	-0.05	0	4.96%	0	-0.6	38	0
17	Mar_12_2014	56.69	57.77	56.1	55.41			57.01(6.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-15	-10000	1	-62	0.27	60%	0.04	0	5.05%	0	-0.2	39	0
18	Mar_11_2014	56.67	57.46	56.23	55.31			53.54(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-10000	-4	-70	0.22	55%	-0.26	0	5.01%	0	-0.9	40	0
19	Mar_10_2014	56.82	57.29	57.11	55.93			53.49(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-10000	-7	-65	0.14	55%	-0.3	0	5.13%	0	-0.8	34	0
20	Mar_7_2014	56.99	57.11	58.14	56.98			54.14(-8.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-14	-10000	-3	-45	0.37	55%	-0.26	0	5.25%	0	-0.6	44	0

21	Mar_6_2014	57.14	57.11	58.97	57.45			58.87(4.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	2	-10000	2	1	0.19	65%	0.18	0	4.96%	0	11.9	63	0
22	Mar_5_2014	57.04	57.11	59.32	57.17			56.5(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-10000	-1	-0	0.14	65%	-0.07	0	5.05%	0	11.1	64	0
23	Mar_4_2014	57.08	57.11	59.65	57.32			56.65(-3.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-10000	-8	-3	0.18	65%	-0.04	0	5.2%	0	10.9	65	0
24	Mar_3_2014	57.1	57.11	60.35	58.52			58.73(3.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-6	-10000	-7	-3	0.34	65%	0.19	0	5.22%	0	10.9	69	0
25	Feb_28_2014	56.99	57.11	60.45	59.57			56.5(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-6	-10000	-7	-3	0.2	65%		0	5.36%	0	10.2	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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