Trading Signals: USB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ USB: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. May. 26, 2020

Trading Signals: USB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(U.S. Bancorp)
USB latest price $35.8300 (8.81%) ($34.4200 - $36.2800) on Tue. May. 26, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.03% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $35.8300(8.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USB advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USB declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(83%)    VYM(73%)    XLI(67%)    XLB(61%)    IWD(59%)
Factors Impacting USB price   USB will decline at least -3.015% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-46%)    TLT(-22%)    VXX(-21%)    UUP(-21%)    BNDX(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.015% (StdDev 6.03%)
Hourly BBV 1.8 ()
Intraday Trend 3.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.35(7.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.35(10.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $33.56(6.76%)
To recent high   -27.8%
To recent low   23.9%
Market Cap   $53.972b

U.S. Bancorp operates as a bank holding company. It offers financial services, including lending and depository services, cash management, foreign exchange and trust and investment management. The firm also offers mortgage, refinance, auto, boat & RV loans, credit lines, credit card services, merchant, bank, checking & savings accounts, debit cards, online & mobile banking, ATM processing, mortgage banking, insurance, brokerage and leasing services. The company was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, MN.

$. USB price fluctuates within 6.35% (three month std-dev: 6.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -3.93%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -5.83%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -10.42%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200626

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_26_2020	42.28	33.56	32.35	33.35	33.46	34.01	35.83(8.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	16	120	19	5	11.15	51%	-0.91	-6.1	6.03%	1.8	1.1	56	1.3
2	May_22_2020	42.67	33.54	32.05	32.77	32.73	32.86	32.93(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	0	20	5	-14	5.53	47%	-0.63	-10.5	5.85%	-0.1	-0.3	45	1.2
3	May_21_2020	42.94	33.59	32.19	32.32	32.67	32.92	32.92(-0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	90	9	-21	5.88	47%	-0.23	-18.8	5.89%	0.6	-0.3	43	1.1
4	May_20_2020	43.04	33.62	32.19	31.97	32.1	32.59	33.06(3.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	120	13	-32	10.1	47%	-0.62	-20.3	5.89%	1	-0.3	39	1.5
5	May_19_2020	43.31	33.64	32.29	31.25	31.36	32.41	31.99(-2.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	240	10	-59	7.53	47%	-0.64	-30.1	5.87%	0.4	-0.8	32	0.9

6	May_18_2020	43.59	33.69	32.43	31.18	30.87	31.6	32.96(7.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-10	140	10	-69	9.2	46%	-0.64	-38.1	5.87%	1.7	-0.4	40	1.4
7	May_15_2020	43.87	33.76	32.56	31.26	30.88	30.3	30.68(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-170	-11	-82	12.09	44%	-0.68	-42.5	5.78%	0.3	-1.5	36	1
8	May_14_2020	44.17	33.99	32.99	32.07	31.62	30.13	31.17(5.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-370	-24	-73	14.77	44%	-0.32	-40	5.82%	0.3	-1.4	45	0.8
9	May_13_2020	44.31	34.05	33.51	32.68	32.87	31.46	29.45(-6.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-35	-280	-27	-57	15.28	43%	-0.69	-42.5	5.76%	-0.1	-2.4	42	0.1
10	May_12_2020	44.62	34.27	34.41	33.43	33.82	33.12	31.65(-5.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-18	-110	-15	-27	11.62	44%	-0.65	-40.8	5.71%	-1.3	-1.6	48	1.2

11	May_11_2020	44.91	34.49	34.93	33.81	34.06	34.27	33.35(-4.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-6	70	-5	-7	7.14	44%	-0.62	-31.9	5.69%	-1.3	-0.7	55	2.3
12	May_8_2020	45.19	34.65	35.19	34.03	34.22	34.52	34.75(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	6	80	6	6	5.62	44%	-0.57	-12.6	5.63%	0.8	0.1	53	2
13	May_7_2020	45.45	34.8	35.13	34.07	34.08	33.84	34.2(2.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-6	-50	-7	-2	6.98	44%	-0.59	2.6	5.67%	0.2	-0.3	48	1.4
14	May_6_2020	45.72	34.87	35.08	34.53	34.36	33.92	33.21(-0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-12	-100	-18	6	9.64	44%	-0.63	19.6	5.65%	-1.3	-0.9	58	0.8
15	May_5_2020	46.01	34.95	35.13	35.58	35.2	34.32	33.54(-2.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-5	-210	-15	26	7.3	45%	-0.6	37.6	5.65%	-2	-0.8	53	1.1

16	May_4_2020	46.29	35	35.09	36.2	36.16	34.81	34.47(-1.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-7	-260	-18	28	5.98	45%	-0.58	45.3	5.65%	-0.8	-0.3	48	0.5
17	May_1_2020	46.56	34.86	35.08	36.49	36.85	36.08	34.94(-4.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-120	-11	30	6.53	45%	-0.58	34.1	5.61%	-1.3	0	46	0.4
18	Apr_30_2020	46.83	34.75	35.09	36.3	36.82	37.51	36.5(-5.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	170	10	27	7.8	45%	-0.49	22.5	5.59%	-1	0.9	46	1.3
19	Apr_29_2020	47.06	34.53	34.63	35.67	36.03	37.62	38.46(4.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	26	340	30	14	7.84	45%	-0.49	13	5.56%	1.3	2	56	1.7
20	Apr_28_2020	47.29	34.31	34.09	34.63	34.91	36.14	36.65(2.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	20	270	29	-8	7.04	45%	-0.5	6.4	5.52%	0.9	1.3	56	1.2

21	Apr_27_2020	47.53	34.25	33.95	33.85	33.97	34.44	35.88(5.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	4	110	14	-25	8.36	45%	-0.52	12.1	5.51%	1.8	0.9	55	1.4
22	Apr_24_2020	47.78	34.22	33.99	33.52	33.41	33.68	34(1.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-6	50	-1	-21	7.68	43%	-0.56	15.3	5.46%	1.7	-0.1	60	0.9
23	Apr_23_2020	48.05	34.32	34.36	33.73	33.54	33.51	33.37(0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	5	-20	6	-0	7.31	43%	-0.56	26.2	5.46%	0.3	-0.5	54	0.4
24	Apr_22_2020	48.32	34.27	34.59	33.41	33.66	33.15	33.25(1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-80	-3	1	7.22	43%	-0.56	18.4	5.45%	-0.3	-0.6	56	0.3
25	Apr_21_2020	48.59	34.19	34.73	33.43	33.44	33.58	32.73(-4.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	30	-14	-3	11.43	43%		11.8	5.45%	-1.5	-0.8	48	-0.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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