Trading Signals: USB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: USB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(U.S. Bancorp)
USB latest price $39.4690 (2.13%) ($39.1372 - $39.4784) on Thu. Jun. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.07% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $39.4690(2.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USB advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USB declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(86%)    VYM(76%)    IVE(71%)    IWD(71%)    XLI(70%)
Factors Impacting USB price   USB will decline at least -0.535% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-31%)    VIXM(-23%)    UUP(-13%)    SHY(-11%)    TIP(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.535% (StdDev 1.07%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.75(1.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.71(1.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.31(0.4%)
To recent high   -3%
To recent low   8%
Market Cap   $59.454b

U.S. Bancorp operates as a bank holding company. It offers financial services, including lending and depository services, cash management, foreign exchange and trust and investment management. The firm also offers mortgage, refinance, auto, boat & RV loans, credit lines, credit card services, merchant, bank, checking & savings accounts, debit cards, online & mobile banking, ATM processing, mortgage banking, insurance, brokerage and leasing services. The company was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, MN.

$. USB price fluctuates within 1.78% (three month std-dev: 1.07%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160723

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_23_2016	38.33	39.31	38.71	38.75			39.47(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-9	-10000	11	-70	7.39	63%	0.08	-22.5	1.07%	0	0.2	46	0
2	Jun_22_2016	38.3	39.34	38.72	38.53			38.65(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-23	-10000	3	-101	4.49	60%	0.05	-22.4	1.04%	0	-1	27	0
3	Jun_21_2016	38.28	39.39	38.85	38.47			38.67(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-26	-10000	2	-111	4.45	60%	0.05	-16.9	1.04%	0	-1	28	0
4	Jun_20_2016	38.26	39.41	38.96	38.43			38.53(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-33	-10000	-4	-120	5.77	60%	0.03	-18.3	1.04%	0	-1.3	30	0
5	Jun_17_2016	38.25	39.44	39.11	38.52			38.42(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-10000	-8	-115	8.41	60%	0.08	-13.8	1.06%	0	-1.5	27	0

6	Jun_16_2016	38.22	39.47	39.23	38.68			38.38(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-10000	-13	-110	6.46	60%	0.05	-10.5	1.06%	0	-1.7	32	0
7	Jun_15_2016	38.2	39.47	39.42	38.95			38.34(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-35	-10000	-16	-91	7.86	60%	0.05	0	1.06%	0	-1.9	29	0
8	Jun_14_2016	38.18	39.5	39.61	39.29			38.5(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-24	-10000	-13	-56	8.45	60%	0.08	6.3	1.06%	0	-1.6	42	0
9	Jun_13_2016	38.15	39.5	39.77	39.56			38.96(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-14	-10000	-11	-21	6.69	62%	0.05	20.4	1.05%	0	-1	54	0
10	Jun_10_2016	38.13	39.5	39.9	39.79			39.22(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	-10000	-3	14	7.33	66%	0.11	27.9	1.09%	0	-0.5	55	0

11	Jun_9_2016	38.09	39.53	39.98	39.86			39.76(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10000	-5	34	5.94	69%	0.08	34.4	1.08%	0	0.4	64	0
12	Jun_8_2016	38.06	39.5	40.02	39.96			40.01(0.35%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	-10000	-2	60	5.02	63%	0.11	39.5	1.07%	0	0.8	66	0
13	Jun_7_2016	38.02	39.46	39.97	40			39.87(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	20	-10000	-1	81	7.26	63%	0.05	39.5	1.11%	0	0.7	72	0
14	Jun_6_2016	38	39.41	39.89	40.03			40.08(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	-0	85	7.75	63%	0.11	31	1.11%	0	1.1	60	0
15	Jun_3_2016	37.96	39.36	39.79	40.04			39.6(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	21	-10000	-3	91	11.49	62%	0.08	26	1.11%	0	0.4	60	0

16	Jun_2_2016	37.93	39.33	39.72	40.1			40.24(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	1	96	4.22	66%	0.11	18.3	1.09%	0	1.5	59	0
17	Jun_1_2016	37.89	39.26	39.59	40.08			40.19(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	6	95	5.17	70%	0.05	5.6	1.1%	0	1.7	59	0
18	May_31_2016	37.87	39.26	39.38	39.94			40.02(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	-10000	10	72	6.61	66%	0.11	-8.1	1.1%	0	1.5	56	0
19	May_27_2016	37.83	39.23	39.27	39.73			40.14(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-10000	10	53	3.91	66%	0.08	-20.3	1.21%	0	1.7	62	0
20	May_26_2016	37.8	39.2	39.12	39.5			39.88(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	-10000	9	34	4.37	66%	0.05	-35.7	1.22%	0	1.2	57	0

21	May_25_2016	37.78	39.22	39.04	39.28			40.15(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	14	-10000	11	23	7.81	67%	0.03	-38	1.21%	0	1.5	61	0
22	May_24_2016	37.77	39.23	38.93	39.03			39.52(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	-10000	12	7	5.61	66%	0.03	-42.2	1.22%	0	0.4	55	0
23	May_23_2016	37.76	39.27	38.9	38.74			38.94(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-6	-10000	-0	-23	6.42	58%	0.05	-43.9	1.22%	0	-0.5	41	0
24	May_20_2016	37.74	39.33	38.9	38.75			39.01(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	-10000	2	-35	5.78	60%	-0.03	-31.5	1.3%	0	-0.5	37	0
25	May_19_2016	37.75	39.4	38.89	38.69			38.81(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-15	-10000	-3	-50	9.55	60%		-21.7	1.31%	0	-0.8	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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