Trading Signals: USB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: USB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(U.S. Bancorp)
USB latest price $40.1331 (1.15%) ($39.9872 - $40.5893) on Fri. Jun. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.92% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $40.1331(1.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USB advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USB declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(86%)    VYM(77%)    IVE(72%)    XLI(71%)    XLB(68%)
Factors Impacting USB price   USB will decline at least -0.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    VIXM(-27%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-9%)    GLD(-9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.46% (StdDev 0.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.7(1.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.7(1.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.95(0.46%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   3.7%
Market Cap   $60.454b

U.S. Bancorp operates as a bank holding company. It offers financial services, including lending and depository services, cash management, foreign exchange and trust and investment management. The firm also offers mortgage, refinance, auto, boat & RV loans, credit lines, credit card services, merchant, bank, checking & savings accounts, debit cards, online & mobile banking, ATM processing, mortgage banking, insurance, brokerage and leasing services. The company was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, MN.

$. USB price fluctuates within 0.95% (three month std-dev: 0.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150705

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_5_2015	39.77	39.95	39.7	39.7			40.13(1.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-4	-10000	9	-41	7.47	52%	0.08	14.7	0.92%	0	0.5	50	0
2	Jun_4_2015	39.74	39.91	39.68	39.53			39.68(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-19	-10000	-2	-69	6.98	50%	0.05	4.9	0.91%	0	-0.6	41	0
3	Jun_3_2015	39.72	39.89	39.73	39.57			40.11(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-16	-10000	1	-66	8.31	52%	0.05	8.6	0.91%	0	0.5	48	0
4	Jun_2_2015	39.7	39.86	39.78	39.55			39.35(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-10000	-3	-63	4.29	48%	0.03	11.1	0.87%	0	-1.2	43	0
5	Jun_1_2015	39.69	39.86	39.88	39.6			39.2(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-18	-10000	-6	-55	5.24	48%	0	23.8	0.87%	0	-1.6	43	0

6	May_29_2015	39.69	39.86	39.98	39.71			39.33(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-17	-10000	-8	-45	7.79	48%	0	33.3	0.88%	0	-1.3	43	0
7	May_28_2015	39.69	39.89	40.1	39.84			39.87(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-6	-10000	-4	-13	4.85	51%	0	41.8	0.87%	0	-0	59	0
8	May_27_2015	39.69	39.86	40.1	39.91			40.01(1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-5	-10000	-9	6	5.81	51%	0.03	46.1	0.88%	0	0.3	60	0
9	May_26_2015	39.68	39.82	40.14	40.07			39.57(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	1	-10000	-9	30	7.54	49%	-0.03	56.2	0.87%	0	-0.5	54	0
10	May_22_2015	39.69	39.78	40.19	40.22			39.75(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	10	-10000	-4	52	6.13	49%	0	57.4	0.85%	0	-0.1	52	0

11	May_21_2015	39.69	39.75	40.22	40.28			40.01(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	14	-10000	-6	72	5.96	49%	-0.03	61.7	0.86%	0	0.5	62	0
12	May_20_2015	39.7	39.7	40.16	40.38			40.22(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	22	-10000	-0	89	8.06	49%	-0.03	64.6	0.86%	0	0.9	65	0
13	May_19_2015	39.71	39.65	40.08	40.39			40.77(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	-10000	9	99	4.56	52%	0	61	0.85%	0	1.9	71	0
14	May_18_2015	39.71	39.55	39.95	40.24			40.32(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	5	92	5.1	49%	-0.03	51.5	0.84%	0	1.5	69	0
15	May_15_2015	39.72	39.48	39.88	40.16			40.08(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	-10000	0	99	4.97	49%	0	38.8	0.84%	0	1.2	70	0

16	May_14_2015	39.72	39.41	39.79	40.15			40.49(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	38	-10000	14	108	4.15	52%	-0.03	29	0.84%	0	2.2	74	0
17	May_13_2015	39.73	39.34	39.65	39.91			40.27(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	-10000	11	86	5.97	52%	-0.03	11.9	0.84%	0	2.2	70	0
18	May_12_2015	39.74	39.3	39.55	39.72			40.05(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	-10000	7	69	6.71	57%	-0.03	-1	0.84%	0	1.9	67	0
19	May_11_2015	39.75	39.3	39.45	39.61			39.91(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	2	59	3.95	57%	-0.03	-6.7	0.87%	0	1.5	70	0
20	May_8_2015	39.76	39.28	39.34	39.57			40.01(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	23	-10000	11	58	5.16	57%	-0.03	-1.9	0.87%	0	1.8	65	0

21	May_7_2015	39.77	39.27	39.23	39.39			39.32(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10000	2	44	4.68	52%	0	-14.1	0.85%	0	0.1	62	0
22	May_6_2015	39.77	39.29	39.21	39.35			39.32(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	10	-10000	1	38	4.8	52%	0	-16.2	0.85%	0	0.1	52	0
23	May_5_2015	39.77	39.29	39.18	39.33			39.46(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-10000	4	29	5.44	52%	0	-20.6	0.86%	0	0.4	46	0
24	May_4_2015	39.77	39.3	39.12	39.26			39.72(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	11	-10000	11	10	5.12	52%	0	-29.4	0.87%	0	1.1	47	0
25	May_1_2015	39.77	39.29	39.04	39.08			39.15(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-6	-10000	2	-30	3.74	57%		-38.2	0.89%	0	-0.4	31	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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