Trading Signals: USB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 26, 2014

Trading Signals: USB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(U.S. Bancorp)
USB latest price $41.2711 (-0.02%) ($41.2575 - $41.4606) on Fri. Dec. 26, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.26% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $41.2711(-0.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USB advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USB advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(86%)    VYM(77%)    IVE(72%)    XLI(71%)    XLB(68%)
Factors Impacting USB price   USB will decline at least -0.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    VIXM(-28%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(-10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.63% (StdDev 1.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.19(0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.47(1.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.35(2.28%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   17.5%
Market Cap   $62.169b

U.S. Bancorp operates as a bank holding company. It offers financial services, including lending and depository services, cash management, foreign exchange and trust and investment management. The firm also offers mortgage, refinance, auto, boat & RV loans, credit lines, credit card services, merchant, bank, checking & savings accounts, debit cards, online & mobile banking, ATM processing, mortgage banking, insurance, brokerage and leasing services. The company was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, MN.

$. USB price fluctuates within 1.83% (three month std-dev: 1.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150126

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_26_2014	38.39	40.35	40.47	41.19			41.27(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	3	44	3.12	53%	0.16	49.2	1.26%	0	1.2	54	0
2	Dec_24_2014	38.33	40.29	40.37	41.12			41.28(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-10000	13	45	1.91	51%	0.13	52.3	1.27%	0	1.4	59	0
3	Dec_23_2014	38.28	40.21	40.25	40.79			41.42(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	-10000	20	28	4.94	50%	0.1	41.4	1.27%	0	1.8	60	0
4	Dec_22_2014	38.24	40.13	40.17	40.28			41.18(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	13	-10000	16	5	6.3	50%	0.1	27	1.28%	0	1.7	62	0
5	Dec_19_2014	38.2	40.05	40.13	39.88			40.78(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	5	-10000	9	-8	11.71	50%	0.08	11.3	1.27%	0	1.3	63	0

6	Dec_18_2014	38.17	39.99	40.11	39.65			40.91(3.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.3	-0	-10000	5	-16	8.59	51%	0.05	0	1.27%	0	1.7	58	0
7	Dec_17_2014	38.15	39.92	40.02	39.53			39.63(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-11	-10000	-5	-28	7.21	48%	0.05	-7	1.21%	0	-0.6	47	0
8	Dec_16_2014	38.13	39.93	40.08	39.66			38.89(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-17	-10000	-16	-19	9.1	45%	0	0	1.19%	0	-2	44	0
9	Dec_15_2014	38.13	39.97	40.19	40.04			39.2(-1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-10	-10000	-15	5	7.61	45%	0.03	21.2	1.19%	0	-1.6	43	0
10	Dec_12_2014	38.12	39.97	40.22	40.39			39.6(-1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.8	1	-10000	-9	29	8.41	45%	0.03	43.4	1.18%	0	-0.9	51	0

11	Dec_11_2014	38.11	39.99	40.26	40.61			40.33(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.6	14	-10000	1	54	6.41	47%	0.08	57.5	1.16%	0	0.8	60	0
12	Dec_10_2014	38.08	39.96	40.23	40.58			40.28(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	15	-10000	1	58	8.96	47%	0.05	61.8	1.16%	0	0.7	59	0
13	Dec_9_2014	38.06	39.93	40.18	40.56			40.79(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	9	62	7.1	48%	0.08	69.1	1.15%	0	2	65	0
14	Dec_8_2014	38.03	39.87	40.1	40.36			40.94(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	25	-10000	14	56	10.61	48%	0.08	74.5	1.16%	0	2.7	69	0
15	Dec_5_2014	38	39.79	39.97	40.04			40.72(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	14	-10000	7	33	7.35	48%	0.08	82.1	1.16%	0	3	68	0

16	Dec_4_2014	37.97	39.73	39.85	39.87			40.18(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.4	6	-10000	1	19	5.53	46%	0.05	96.4	1.15%	0	2	58	0
17	Dec_3_2014	37.95	39.69	39.79	39.85			40.18(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	8	-10000	4	18	5.53	46%	0.05	92.7	1.15%	0	2.2	58	0
18	Dec_2_2014	37.93	39.63	39.74	39.75			39.76(1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	-3	9	5.43	46%	0.03	101.6	1.14%	0	0.5	51	0
19	Dec_1_2014	37.92	39.58	39.72	39.81			39.36(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	1	-10000	-3	11	7.24	46%	0	111.5	1.14%	0	-0.7	46	0
20	Nov_28_2014	37.92	39.54	39.73	39.87			39.88(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	6	-10000	2	18	4.52	47%	0.03	111.1	1.12%	0	0.9	59	0

21	Nov_26_2014	37.91	39.53	39.71	39.82			40.04(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10000	4	15	4.9	47%	0.03	151	1.12%	0	1.3	60	0
22	Nov_25_2014	37.9	39.49	39.71	39.73			39.71(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	4	-10000	1	12	5.4	47%	0.03	128.8	1.11%	0	0.4	63	0
23	Nov_24_2014	37.89	39.38	39.66	39.72			40.03(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	10	-10000	5	24	4.84	47%	0.05	102.1	1.11%	0	0.9	78	0
24	Nov_21_2014	37.87	39.24	39.62	39.62			39.67(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	8	-10000	2	26	5.07	49%	0	92.4	1.11%	0	0.5	77	0
25	Nov_20_2014	37.87	39.11	39.61	39.58			39.62(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	9	-10000	0	36	4.78	49%		84.8	1.11%	0	0.5	80	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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