Trading Signals: USB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 8, 2014

Trading Signals: USB Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(U.S. Bancorp)
USB latest price $40.9372 (0.53%) ($40.3327 - $41.0726) on Mon. Dec. 8, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.16% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $40.9372(0.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   USB advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   USB advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support USB advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(86%)    VYM(77%)    IVE(72%)    XLI(71%)    XLB(68%)
Factors Impacting USB price   USB will decline at least -0.58% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-33%)    VIXM(-28%)    SHY(-14%)    TIP(-10%)    GLD(-10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.58% (StdDev 1.16%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.36(1.43%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.1(2.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.87(2.68%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   16.5%
Market Cap   $61.666b

U.S. Bancorp operates as a bank holding company. It offers financial services, including lending and depository services, cash management, foreign exchange and trust and investment management. The firm also offers mortgage, refinance, auto, boat & RV loans, credit lines, credit card services, merchant, bank, checking & savings accounts, debit cards, online & mobile banking, ATM processing, mortgage banking, insurance, brokerage and leasing services. The company was founded in 1929 and is headquartered in Minneapolis, MN.

$. USB price fluctuates within 0.98% (three month std-dev: 1.16%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_8_2014	38.03	39.87	40.1	40.36			40.94(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	25	-10000	14	56	10.61	48%	0.08	74.5	1.16%	0	2.7	69	0
2	Dec_5_2014	38	39.79	39.97	40.04			40.72(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	14	-10000	7	33	7.35	48%	0.08	82.1	1.16%	0	3	68	0
3	Dec_4_2014	37.97	39.73	39.85	39.87			40.18(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.4	6	-10000	1	19	5.53	46%	0.05	96.4	1.15%	0	2	58	0
4	Dec_3_2014	37.95	39.69	39.79	39.85			40.18(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	8	-10000	4	18	5.53	46%	0.05	92.7	1.15%	0	2.2	58	0
5	Dec_2_2014	37.93	39.63	39.74	39.75			39.76(1.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	-3	9	5.43	46%	0.03	101.6	1.14%	0	0.5	51	0

6	Dec_1_2014	37.92	39.58	39.72	39.81			39.36(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	1	-10000	-3	11	7.24	46%	0	111.5	1.14%	0	-0.7	46	0
7	Nov_28_2014	37.92	39.54	39.73	39.87			39.88(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	6	-10000	2	18	4.52	47%	0.03	111.1	1.12%	0	0.9	59	0
8	Nov_26_2014	37.91	39.53	39.71	39.82			40.04(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10000	4	15	4.9	47%	0.03	151	1.12%	0	1.3	60	0
9	Nov_25_2014	37.9	39.49	39.71	39.73			39.71(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	4	-10000	1	12	5.4	47%	0.03	128.8	1.11%	0	0.4	63	0
10	Nov_24_2014	37.89	39.38	39.66	39.72			40.03(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	10	-10000	5	24	4.84	47%	0.05	102.1	1.11%	0	0.9	78	0

11	Nov_21_2014	37.87	39.24	39.62	39.62			39.67(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	8	-10000	2	26	5.07	49%	0	92.4	1.11%	0	0.5	77	0
12	Nov_20_2014	37.87	39.11	39.62	39.62			39.62(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	9	-10000	0	36	4.78	49%	0.03	84.8	1.11%	0	0.5	80	0
13	Nov_19_2014	37.86	38.96	39.61	39.58			39.6(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	-10000	-1	37	4.98	49%	0.03	79	1.12%	0	0.5	49	0
14	Nov_18_2014	37.85	38.79	39.58	39.59			39.68(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-10000	-1	39	4.53	51%	0.03	77.6	1.11%	0	0.7	55	0
15	Nov_17_2014	37.84	38.63	39.51	39.6			39.52(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10000	-1	58	5.57	51%	0	71.7	1.12%	0	0.6	71	0

16	Nov_14_2014	37.84	38.44	39.44	39.62			39.46(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-10000	-1	82	5.05	50%	0.03	67.1	1.13%	0	0.7	74	0
17	Nov_13_2014	37.83	38.26	39.44	39.64			39.64(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	27	-10000	1	106	6.77	50%	0.03	62.5	1.13%	0	0.9	76	0
18	Nov_12_2014	37.82	38.04	39.34	39.63			39.65(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	40	-10000	3	150	4.97	50%	0.03	56.8	1.13%	0	1	78	0
19	Nov_11_2014	37.81	37.82	39.3	39.56			39.73(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	53	-10000	7	191	4.85	50%	0.03	50.5	1.13%	0	1.1	81	0
20	Nov_10_2014	37.8	37.64	39.08	39.4			39.64(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	56	-10000	8	199	5.39	50%	0.03	47.5	1.13%	0	1.2	76	0

21	Nov_7_2014	37.79	37.45	38.83	39.22			39.53(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	60	-10000	10	208	6.86	50%	0.03	41.9	1.14%	0	1.3	79	0
22	Nov_6_2014	37.78	37.28	38.58	39.22			39.63(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	53	-10000	0	211	6.34	50%	0.03	35.8	1.14%	0	1.6	79	0
23	Nov_5_2014	37.77	37.11	38.27	39.22			39.27(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	59	-10000	0	234	8.1	49%	0	36.8	1.14%	0	1.5	79	0
24	Nov_4_2014	37.77	37	37.95	39			38.94(0.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	74	-10000	13	256	6.99	49%	0.03	39.8	1.15%	0	1.5	79	0
25	Nov_3_2014	37.76	36.87	37.69	38.71			38.73(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	73	-10000	16	243	7.52	49%		31.9	1.15%	0	1.5	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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