Trading Signals: UPS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 7, 2020

Trading Signals: UPS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(UPS)
UPS latest price $156.9000 (7.86%) ($145.5900 - $156.9000) on Fri. Aug. 7, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.64% (three month average)
RSI   93
Latest Price   $156.9000(7.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UPS advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UPS advances 11.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UPS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(58%)    VYM(54%)    VT(53%)    VUG(50%)    XHB(49%)
Factors Impacting UPS price   UPS will decline at least -1.32% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-39%)    UUP(-22%)    VXX(-17%)    TLT(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.32% (StdDev 2.64%)
Hourly BBV 1.8 ()
Intraday Trend 7.7%

Inflection Point   Yes
5 Day Moving Average   $146.87(6.83%)
10 Day Moving Average   $138.97(12.9%)
20 Day Moving Average   $128.85(21.77%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   72.9%
Market Cap   $135.342b

United Parcel Service, Inc. operates as a logistics and package delivery company providing supply chain management services. Its logistics services include transportation, distribution, contract logistics, ground freight, ocean freight, air freight, customs brokerage, insurance, and financing. The company operates through the following segments: U.S. Domestic Package, International Package, and Supply Chain and Freight. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers a full spectrum of U.S. domestic guaranteed ground and air package transportation services. The International Package segment includes small package operations in Europe, Asia-Pacific, Canada and Latin America, Indian sub-continent, and the Middle East and Africa. The Supply Chain and Freight segment offers transportation, distribution, and international trade and brokerage services. The company was founded by James E. Casey and Claude Ryan on August 28, 1907 and is headquartered in Atlanta, GA.

$. UPS price fluctuates within 10.24% (three month std-dev: 2.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 39 Average positive next day return: 2.72%(49%) Average negative next day return: -2.61%(51%) Sample size 39 Average positive next three day return: 4.27%(41%) Average negative next three day return: -3.7%(59%) Sample size 39 Average positive next weekly return: 5.95%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.39%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200907

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_7_2020	106.3	128.85	138.97	146.87	146.19	148.21	156.9(7.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	151	80	100	303	10.13	85%	0.59	68.3	2.64%	1.8	2.1	93	1.6
2	Aug_6_2020	105.68	126.66	135.09	144.04	143.97	145.03	145.47(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	91	50	31	271	2.41	83%	0.45	70.5	2.49%	0.4	1.6	90	1.7
3	Aug_5_2020	105.21	125.06	132.38	143.24	143.22	144.17	145.08(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	121	50	66	284	3.94	83%	0.48	73.6	2.49%	1	1.8	86	1.7
4	Aug_4_2020	104.71	123.46	129.71	138.96	141.91	142.91	144.72(1.79%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	144	110	106	256	4.84	83%	0.56	69.2	2.5%	1.4	2.1	86	1.6
5	Aug_3_2020	104.13	121.87	127.05	133.94	136.62	142.27	142.18(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	144	350	120	217	4.3	83%	0.47	64.9	2.51%	0.6	2.3	87	1.3

6	Jul_31_2020	103.64	120.44	124.56	129.71	131.01	140.91	142.76(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	283	560	294	250	7.42	83%	0.56	63.9	2.53%	0.7	2.9	89	1.5
7	Jul_30_2020	103.06	118.92	121.97	124.82	125.37	130.97	141.46(14.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.8	263	330	284	199	30.96	83%	0.54	64	2.57%	1.4	3.9	85	1.3
8	Jul_29_2020	102.51	117.45	119.58	120.16	120.04	121.1	123.68(3.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	65	60	58	84	6.72	77%	0.3	97.8	1.91%	1.6	2.3	74	1.6
9	Jul_28_2020	102.2	116.82	119.08	119.17	119.12	119.76	119.62(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	40	27	70	2.49	63%	0.32	92.8	1.87%	0.2	1.1	68	1.5
10	Jul_27_2020	101.87	116.34	118.69	119.05	118.79	118.98	121.01(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	0	18	64	4.45	63%	0.28	85.8	2.02%	1.5	1.6	74	1.5

11	Jul_24_2020	101.59	115.67	117.98	118.52	118.72	118.47	118.35(0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-10	-3	46	2.55	61%	0.26	72.3	2.02%	-1.2	0.8	63	1.2
12	Jul_23_2020	101.33	115.29	117.68	118.56	118.66	118.6	118.14(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-0	-0	-15	44	2.27	61%	0.22	75.3	2.03%	0.6	0.8	65	1.3
13	Jul_22_2020	101.11	114.87	117.33	118.88	118.88	118.97	118.72(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	18	10	4	58	3.51	61%	0.28	79.2	2.03%	0.7	1.1	68	1.8
14	Jul_21_2020	100.83	114.46	116.92	118.98	119	118.71	119.04(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	24	-20	9	69	2.05	61%	0.27	87.6	2.07%	-1.4	1.3	77	1.8
15	Jul_20_2020	100.56	113.86	116.45	118.24	118.67	118.78	118.35(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	20	9	72	2.37	61%	0.29	80.5	2.08%	-0.6	1.2	79	2.2

16	Jul_17_2020	100.27	113.34	116.14	117.32	117.73	119.28	118.55(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	53	100	40	91	2.78	61%	0.29	81.1	2.09%	-0.1	1.4	83	1.9
17	Jul_16_2020	99.98	112.79	115.71	116.62	116.56	118.56	119.74(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	88	120	81	108	2.48	61%	0.26	86.2	2.08%	1	1.9	71	1.5
18	Jul_15_2020	99.72	112.14	115.14	115.56	115.49	116.18	119.21(3.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	69	40	59	97	4.84	61%	0.26	83.9	2.1%	1.9	2	72	1.4
19	Jul_14_2020	99.46	111.46	114.32	114.62	114.6	114.56	115.33(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	13	-0	-4	62	2.54	57%	0.17	78.1	2.07%	1	1.2	63	0.9
20	Jul_13_2020	99.29	110.98	113.77	114.44	114.63	114.79	113.76(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	19	10	2	69	2.3	57%	0.11	69.2	2.1%	-1	0.8	68	0

21	Jul_10_2020	99.18	110.4	113.19	114.76	114.57	114.64	115.07(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-0	3	76	2.28	57%	0.09	57.3	2.09%	1.6	1.2	68	1.2
22	Jul_9_2020	99.09	109.69	112.74	114.62	114.68	114.48	114.45(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	18	-10	-3	80	2.33	57%	0.08	48.8	2.11%	-0.6	1.1	68	0.8
23	Jul_8_2020	99.01	109.29	112.25	114.61	114.83	114.51	114.47(0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	13	-10	-11	84	2.99	64%	0.08	54.4	2.11%	-0.6	1.3	69	0.9
24	Jul_7_2020	98.93	108.93	111.85	113.95	115.38	114.89	114.45(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	10	16	94	2.18	64%	0.16	60.4	2.24%	-1.5	1.4	71	0.7
25	Jul_6_2020	98.77	108.69	111.11	112.96	114.35	115.16	115.36(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	35	90	18	85	3.47	69%		70.8	2.27%	-0.2	1.8	74	1.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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