Trading Signals: UPS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: UPS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(UPS)
UPS latest price $110.4668 (1.78%) ($108.2783 - $110.6251) on Wed. Dec. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.77% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $110.4668(1.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UPS advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UPS advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UPS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(18%)    XHB(11%)    IYT(8%)    XLB(8%)    XLI(8%)
Factors Impacting UPS price   UPS will decline at least -0.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-5%)    BNDX(-5%)    XLU(-4%)    VIXM(-4%)    GLD(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.385% (StdDev 0.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

5 Day Moving Average   $108.87(1.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $108.46(1.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $107.2(3.05%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.8%
Market Cap   $95.289b

United Parcel Service, Inc. operates as a logistics and package delivery company providing supply chain management services. Its logistics services include transportation, distribution, contract logistics, ground freight, ocean freight, air freight, customs brokerage, insurance, and financing. The company operates through the following segments: U.S. Domestic Package, International Package, and Supply Chain and Freight. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers a full spectrum of U.S. domestic guaranteed ground and air package transportation services. The International Package segment includes small package operations in Europe, Asia-Pacific, Canada and Latin America, Indian sub-continent, and the Middle East and Africa. The Supply Chain and Freight segment offers transportation, distribution, and international trade and brokerage services. The company was founded by James E. Casey and Claude Ryan on August 28, 1907 and is headquartered in Atlanta, GA.

$. UPS price fluctuates within 1.39% (three month std-dev: 0.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170107

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_7_2016	101.84	107.2	108.46	108.87			110.47(1.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	35	-10000	12	103	2.54	69%	0.09	138.1	0.77%	0	2.2	86	0
2	Dec_6_2016	101.75	106.86	108.08	108.36			108.53(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	1	93	1.76	66%	0.07	146.4	0.74%	0	1.1	77	0
3	Dec_5_2016	101.68	106.53	107.92	108.31			108.55(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	29	-10000	4	105	2.31	66%	0.07	125.4	0.74%	0	1.1	78	0
4	Dec_2_2016	101.61	106.07	107.7	108.15			108.35(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	1	99	2.09	66%	0.06	93.3	0.74%	0	1	62	0
5	Dec_1_2016	101.55	105.64	107.44	108.13			108.43(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	3	103	2.49	66%	0.07	81.3	0.74%	0	1	68	0

6	Nov_30_2016	101.48	105.18	107.12	108			107.95(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	30	-10000	6	101	3.35	66%	0.06	71.3	0.74%	0	0.9	69	0
7	Nov_29_2016	101.42	104.74	106.87	107.75			108.29(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	32	-10000	7	108	2.77	66%	0.08	63.5	0.73%	0	1.1	76	0
8	Nov_28_2016	101.34	104.31	106.55	107.46			107.74(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	-10000	8	123	2.66	66%	0.07	59.7	0.73%	0	1.1	81	0
9	Nov_25_2016	101.27	103.91	106.4	107.16			108.27(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	52	-10000	13	169	1.08	66%	0.12	58	0.73%	0	1.3	88	0
10	Nov_23_2016	101.15	103.49	106.11	106.65			107.73(0.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	59	-10000	14	195	1.86	66%	0.08	56.7	0.73%	0	1.3	83	0

11	Nov_22_2016	101.07	103.11	105.82	106.11			106.75(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	60	-10000	7	220	1.99	65%	0.05	54.7	0.72%	0	1.2	83	0
12	Nov_21_2016	101.02	102.75	105.52	105.84			106.82(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	68	-10000	8	246	1.94	65%	0.08	54.1	0.73%	0	1.4	84	0
13	Nov_18_2016	100.94	102.42	105.02	105.51			106.25(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	62	-10000	-1	252	1.99	65%	0.07	53.4	0.72%	0	1.3	76	0
14	Nov_17_2016	100.87	102.05	104.32	105.53			105.69(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	65	-10000	1	256	1.62	65%	0.08	54.4	0.72%	0	1.3	76	0
15	Nov_16_2016	100.79	101.72	103.73	105.5			105.06(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	65	-10000	1	258	2.3	65%	0.09	55.5	0.72%	0	1.2	72	0

16	Nov_15_2016	100.7	101.46	103.13	105.48			105.4(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	71	-10000	9	255	3.69	65%	0.11	57.1	0.72%	0	1.5	70	0
17	Nov_14_2016	100.59	101.17	102.49	105.12			105.15(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	75	-10000	19	242	3.4	65%	0.09	56.1	0.72%	0	1.6	72	0
18	Nov_11_2016	100.5	100.89	101.93	104.4			106.38(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	87	-10000	42	223	3.09	70%	0.08	50	0.7%	0	2.5	74	0
19	Nov_10_2016	100.42	100.55	101.22	102.9			105.52(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	64	-10000	34	154	4.53	69%	0.08	37.5	0.71%	0	2.7	75	0
20	Nov_9_2016	100.34	100.26	100.62	101.68			104.95(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	53	-10000	35	105	6.74	69%	0.07	21.8	0.7%	0	3.2	72	0

21	Nov_8_2016	100.27	100.01	100.11	100.46			103.6(2.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3	33	-10000	28	49	5.83	67%	0.07	-3.9	0.69%	0	3.5	65	0
22	Nov_7_2016	100.2	99.83	99.69	99.5			101.54(2.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	3	8	-10000	12	-6	3.62	63%	0.05	-44.1	0.64%	0	2.5	57	0
23	Nov_4_2016	100.15	99.78	99.53	99.12			98.9(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-10000	-5	-33	2.56	58%	0.03	-68.3	0.56%	0	-1.5	43	0
24	Nov_3_2016	100.12	99.87	99.57	99.26			99.4(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-12	-10000	-4	-37	2.25	60%	0.04	-66.7	0.56%	0	-0.8	43	0
25	Nov_2_2016	100.08	99.94	99.56	99.37			98.86(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-19	-10000	-11	-41	2.57	60%		-54.8	0.57%	0	-1.7	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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