Trading Signals: UPS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 17, 2014

Trading Signals: UPS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(UPS)
UPS latest price $84.9153 (1.7%) ($83.9986 - $85.1598) on Fri. Oct. 17, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $84.9153(1.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UPS advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UPS declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UPS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(24%)    XHB(15%)    XLI(15%)    SPY(14%)    VWO(14%)
Factors Impacting UPS price   UPS will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    SHY(-7%)    TLT(-6%)    GLD(-6%)    BNDX(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $82(-3.43%)
5 Day Moving Average   $83.78(1.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $84.25(0.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $84.71(0.24%)
To recent high   -6.3%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $73.248b

United Parcel Service, Inc. operates as a logistics and package delivery company providing supply chain management services. Its logistics services include transportation, distribution, contract logistics, ground freight, ocean freight, air freight, customs brokerage, insurance, and financing. The company operates through the following segments: U.S. Domestic Package, International Package, and Supply Chain and Freight. The U.S. Domestic Package segment offers a full spectrum of U.S. domestic guaranteed ground and air package transportation services. The International Package segment includes small package operations in Europe, Asia-Pacific, Canada and Latin America, Indian sub-continent, and the Middle East and Africa. The Supply Chain and Freight segment offers transportation, distribution, and international trade and brokerage services. The company was founded by James E. Casey and Claude Ryan on August 28, 1907 and is headquartered in Atlanta, GA.

$. UPS price fluctuates within 1.19% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141117

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_17_2014	86.75	84.71	84.25	83.78			84.92(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-9	-10000	6	-53	3.62	40%	-0.07	-61.3	0.97%	0	0.2	50	0
2	Oct_16_2014	86.81	84.8	84.35	83.52			83.49(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-18	-10000	-4	-61	5.22	37%	-0.07	-58	0.97%	0	-1.2	44	0
3	Oct_15_2014	86.87	84.97	84.49	83.68			84.21(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-19	-10000	-7	-54	4.86	39%	-0.06	-48.1	0.97%	0	-0.7	51	0
4	Oct_14_2014	86.92	85.09	84.54	83.98			83.64(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-14	-10000	-3	-48	3.28	40%	-0.05	-36.2	0.97%	0	-1.3	43	0
5	Oct_13_2014	86.96	85.19	84.75	84.09			82.65(-1.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-24	-10000	-17	-45	3.1	38%	-0.07	-33.9	0.96%	0	-2.4	43	0

6	Oct_10_2014	87.02	85.34	85.01	84.77			83.62(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-15	-10000	-13	-21	3.6	38%	-0.06	-23.1	0.96%	0	-1.9	43	0
7	Oct_9_2014	87.07	85.44	85.17	85.29			84.28(-1.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-4	-10000	-3	-7	3.1	38%	-0.05	-11.7	0.96%	0	-1.5	40	0
8	Oct_8_2014	87.11	85.51	85.19	85.4			85.68(1.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	0	-10000	6	-17	3.25	41%	-0.01	-11.4	0.94%	0	0.2	44	0
9	Oct_7_2014	87.12	85.49	85.18	85.18			84.19(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-17	-10000	-9	-41	2.96	37%	-0.05	-21.6	0.91%	0	-1.7	38	0
10	Oct_6_2014	87.16	85.55	85.27	85.51			86.05(-0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	-10000	6	-27	2.5	40%	-0.02	-12.2	0.88%	0	0.7	53	0

11	Oct_3_2014	87.18	85.55	85.22	85.3			86.25(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-4	-10000	6	-34	3.29	40%	-0.01	-14.5	0.88%	0	1	55	0
12	Oct_2_2014	87.19	85.54	85.25	85.07			84.81(0.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-8	-10000	3	-39	3.55	36%	-0.03	-15.9	0.86%	0	-1	47	0
13	Oct_1_2014	87.22	85.6	85.45	84.96			84.62(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-13	-10000	-5	-36	3.49	36%	-0.05	-13.9	0.86%	0	-1.4	46	0
14	Sep_30_2014	87.26	85.65	85.67	85.16			85.81(0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	5	-13	4.28	38%	-0.01	-2.7	0.85%	0	0.2	54	0
15	Sep_29_2014	87.27	85.65	85.64	84.99			84.99(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-9	-10000	-4	-23	2.54	35%	-0.01	-10.4	0.83%	0	-1	49	0

16	Sep_26_2014	87.28	85.64	85.68	85.13			85.11(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-14	-10000	-10	-25	2.42	35%	0	-6.5	0.84%	0	-0.8	45	0
17	Sep_25_2014	87.28	85.65	85.73	85.48			84.28(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-15	-10000	-15	-16	3.31	32%	-0.01	2.6	0.83%	0	-2.1	37	0
18	Sep_24_2014	87.29	85.69	85.88	86.02			85.63(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	-10000	-7	9	2.93	33%	0.02	18.6	0.81%	0	-0.1	48	0
19	Sep_23_2014	87.27	85.67	85.85	86.25			84.97(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-2.1	3	-10000	-3	20	3.64	33%	0	25	0.81%	0	-1.1	47	0
20	Sep_22_2014	87.27	85.7	85.9	86.36			85.68(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.1	9	-10000	3	27	2.94	35%	0.01	32.9	0.8%	0	-0	53	0

21	Sep_19_2014	87.26	85.69	85.92	86.27			86.82(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	14	-10000	7	33	3.9	37%	0.02	35.7	0.78%	0	1.9	68	0
22	Sep_18_2014	87.24	85.63	85.86	86.02			86.98(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	15	-10000	9	32	2.34	42%	0.02	44.4	0.79%	0	2.5	68	0
23	Sep_17_2014	87.22	85.58	85.74	85.73			86.77(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	13	-10000	9	25	3.8	42%	0.03	56.4	0.8%	0	2.5	68	0
24	Sep_16_2014	87.19	85.52	85.6	85.42			85.53(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	-10000	1	10	2.79	36%	0.01	72.7	0.78%	0	0	58	0
25	Sep_15_2014	87.18	85.5	85.61	85.38			85.23(-0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-10000	-4	7	2.3	36%		89.1	0.78%	0	-0.7	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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