Trading Signals: UNP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: UNP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Union Pacific Corporation)
UNP latest price $74.1906 (1.58%) ($72.4264 - $74.2835) on Fri. Feb. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.84% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $74.1906(1.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   UNP advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UNP advances 4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UNP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(75%)    VYM(70%)    XLB(69%)    XLF(69%)    IVE(67%)
Factors Impacting UNP price   UNP will decline at least -0.92% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    TLT(-21%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.92% (StdDev 1.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $73.37(1.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $72.12(2.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $69.31(7.04%)
To recent high   -7.6%
To recent low   16.2%
Market Cap   $50.354b

Union Pacific Corp. engages in the provision of railroad and freight transportation services. Its principal operating company, Union Pacific Railroad Co., operates as a railroad franchise. The Railroad's diversified business mix includes agricultural products, automotive, chemicals, coal, industrial products, and intermodal. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Omaha, NE.

$. UNP price fluctuates within 4.89% (three month std-dev: 1.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160319

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_19_2016	75.82	69.31	72.12	73.37			74.19(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	-10000	12	138	4.79	46%	-0.12	41.7	1.84%	0	1.4	73	0
2	Feb_18_2016	75.91	68.88	71.71	72.56			73.04(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	39	-10000	5	140	5.58	48%	-0.12	33.1	1.82%	0	1.3	75	0
3	Feb_17_2016	76	68.63	71.14	72.24			74.25(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	43	-10000	8	148	6.31	48%	-0.08	28.4	1.84%	0	1.8	81	0
4	Feb_16_2016	76.06	68.32	70.38	71.72			73.7(2.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	-10000	10	146	6.64	48%	-0.12	25.2	1.84%	0	1.9	75	0
5	Feb_12_2016	76.15	68.04	69.78	71.09			71.68(2.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	-10000	6	154	5.72	45%	-0.09	21.8	1.79%	0	1.5	75	0

6	Feb_11_2016	76.22	67.92	69.3	71.09			70.14(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	39	-10000	0	155	6.72	43%	-0.12	22.4	1.77%	0	0.9	67	0
7	Feb_10_2016	76.31	67.83	68.83	70.69			71.44(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	51	-10000	14	162	6.26	45%	-0.12	21.1	1.76%	0	1.5	66	0
8	Feb_9_2016	76.4	67.76	68.11	69.82			71.61(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	-10000	17	121	7.41	45%	-0.13	7.7	1.77%	0	1.7	57	0
9	Feb_8_2016	76.5	67.62	67.43	68.81			70.6(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-10000	9	74	7.6	45%	-0.13	-12.8	1.76%	0	1.4	53	0
10	Feb_5_2016	76.6	67.5	66.76	68.27			69.67(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	9	37	5.77	45%	-0.18	-29.3	1.75%	0	1	51	0

11	Feb_4_2016	76.74	67.39	66.27	67.71			70.12(4.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	13	-10000	17	1	7.3	45%	-0.17	-49.3	1.75%	0	1.4	47	0
12	Feb_3_2016	76.87	67.33	65.8	66.71			67.1(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	-10000	11	-46	6.5	40%	-0.19	-72.4	1.65%	0	-0.1	45	0
13	Feb_2_2016	77.02	67.59	65.89	66.12			66.59(-1.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	-10000	6	-79	8.61	40%	-0.16	-70.9	1.64%	0	-0.4	37	0
14	Feb_1_2016	77.14	67.9	66.07	65.81			67.87(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-11	-10000	15	-90	8.4	42%	-0.16	-66.7	1.63%	0	-0	44	0
15	Jan_29_2016	77.26	68.11	66.12	65.01			66.86(2.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-25	-10000	7	-119	6.92	42%	-0.18	-74.6	1.62%	0	-0.5	45	0

16	Jan_28_2016	77.4	68.4	66.39	64.63			65.15(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-34	-10000	-3	-128	6.74	39%	-0.21	-72	1.58%	0	-1.2	43	0
17	Jan_27_2016	77.56	68.8	66.73	64.79			64.13(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-47	-10000	-17	-138	6.2	33%	-0.22	-64.9	1.56%	0	-1.6	35	0
18	Jan_26_2016	77.73	69.24	67.39	65.64			65.04(1.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-10000	-14	-114	6.74	33%	-0.17	-54.8	1.66%	0	-1.5	30	0
19	Jan_25_2016	77.86	69.65	67.84	66.39			63.87(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-42	-10000	-18	-114	7.17	31%	-0.19	-47.6	1.65%	0	-2.1	25	0
20	Jan_22_2016	78.01	70.14	68.36	67.38			64.99(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-40	-10000	-18	-106	15.36	37%	-0.19	-43	1.64%	0	-2.1	30	0

21	Jan_21_2016	78.16	70.49	68.69	68.39			65.93(-3.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-31	-10000	-9	-95	19.54	37%	-0.17	-34.2	1.72%	0	-2	31	0
22	Jan_20_2016	78.29	70.73	69.07	68.91			68.35(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-10000	-9	-101	10.55	39%	-0.11	-33.7	1.68%	0	-1.2	34	0
23	Jan_19_2016	78.38	70.83	69.48	69.41			68.81(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-10000	-2	-86	7.47	39%	-0.17	-32.5	1.69%	0	-1	37	0
24	Jan_15_2016	78.51	70.99	69.9	69.54			68.81(-1.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-20	-10000	1	-82	7.46	39%	-0.14	-32.8	1.68%	0	-1.2	36	0
25	Jan_14_2016	78.62	71.21	70.27	69.49			70.03(2.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-16	-10000	7	-85	7.46	41%		-32	1.68%	0	-0.7	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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