Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UNG: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jun. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Natural Gas)
UNG latest price $28.8000 (4.5%) ($28.0600 - $28.8400) on Wed. Jun. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.74% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $28.8000(4.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   UNG advances 2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UNG declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UNG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(20%)    XLE(15%)    VYM(13%)    USO(12%)    XLB(12%)
Factors Impacting UNG price   UNG will decline at least -1.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
IBUY(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    TLT(-4%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.37% (StdDev 2.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.92(6.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.64(8.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.93(6.94%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   24.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. UNG price fluctuates within 3.01% (three month std-dev: 2.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160701

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_1_2016	27.59	26.93	26.64	26.92			28.8(4.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	12	-10000	15	2	2.83	56%	-0.18	-5.6	2.74%	0	2.3	52	0
2	May_31_2016	27.64	26.83	26.39	26.36			27.56(5.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.8	-6	-10000	5	-40	3.55	53%	-0.61	-35.6	2.67%	0	1.1	44	0
3	May_27_2016	27.81	26.77	26.25	26.17			26.12(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-10000	-3	-58	2.02	45%	-0.36	-55.9	2.71%	0	-1	42	0
4	May_26_2016	27.91	26.85	26.34	26.26			25.92(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-16	-10000	-3	-55	2.04	45%	-0.29	-63.8	2.74%	0	-1.4	40	0
5	May_25_2016	27.99	26.89	26.52	26.37			26.2(0.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-9	-10000	2	-43	1.59	45%	-0.32	-72.7	2.73%	0	-1.1	44	0

6	May_24_2016	28.08	26.97	26.69	26.3			26(-2.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-14	-10000	-3	-46	2.27	45%	-0.28	-77.8	2.76%	0	-1.4	36	0
7	May_23_2016	28.16	27.07	26.89	26.41			26.6(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10000	2	-33	1.85	45%	-0.07	-75.3	2.74%	0	-0.7	48	0
8	May_20_2016	28.18	27.15	26.95	26.34			26.6(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-11	-10000	-3	-34	2.15	45%	-0.28	-56.7	2.73%	0	-0.7	53	0
9	May_19_2016	28.26	27.27	27	26.45			26.44(2.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-14	-10000	-7	-35	2.59	45%	-0.25	-35.4	2.75%	0	-1	43	0
10	May_18_2016	28.33	27.37	27.06	26.71			25.84(-2.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-15	-10000	-12	-25	2.22	42%	-0.32	-17.2	2.76%	0	-1.9	47	0

11	May_17_2016	28.42	27.5	27.26	27.15			26.56(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-7	-10000	-8	-4	0.83	42%	-0.28	1.9	2.81%	0	-1.3	44	0
12	May_16_2016	28.5	27.59	27.31	27.44			26.28(-3.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-3	-10000	-5	3	2.11	42%	-0.07	17.6	2.82%	0	-1.7	41	0
13	May_13_2016	28.52	27.61	27.35	27.44			27.12(-2.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-0	-10000	0	-1	1.32	44%	-0.14	25.4	2.81%	0	-0.6	43	0
14	May_12_2016	28.56	27.56	27.41	27.62			27.76(-1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-10000	4	-9	1.6	44%	-0.07	19.3	2.82%	0	0.3	41	0
15	May_11_2016	28.58	27.51	27.31	27.46			28.04(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-6	-10000	2	-29	1.38	44%	-0.07	10	2.82%	0	0.7	47	0

16	May_10_2016	28.6	27.49	27.27	27.39			28(3.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	-10000	5	-35	1.43	44%	-0.03	18.5	2.84%	0	0.6	48	0
17	May_9_2016	28.61	27.46	27.25	27.19			27.16(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-9	-10000	4	-47	0.87	42%	-0.03	16.2	2.82%	0	-0.4	43	0
18	May_6_2016	28.62	27.46	27.36	27.05			27.12(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-10000	-3	-43	1.63	45%	-0.03	5.2	2.85%	0	-0.3	57	0
19	May_5_2016	28.63	27.41	27.54	27.17			26.96(-2.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-3	-10000	1	-15	1.68	47%	-0.03	12.2	2.87%	0	-0.5	58	0
20	May_4_2016	28.64	27.43	27.69	27.12			27.72(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-2	-10000	-0	-6	1.61	45%	-0.03	13.7	2.89%	0	0.3	57	0

21	May_3_2016	28.65	27.34	27.75	27.13			27(2.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-10000	-5	-3	1.58	45%	-0.1	7.8	2.9%	0	-0.4	48	0
22	May_2_2016	28.68	27.32	27.88	27.32			26.44(-4.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-5	-10000	-10	9	2.27	42%	-0.14	11.7	2.89%	0	-1	47	0
23	Apr_29_2016	28.72	27.37	27.91	27.71			27.72(3.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	2	-10000	-7	28	3.81	44%	-0.14	29.2	3.01%	0	0.4	61	0
24	Apr_28_2016	28.76	27.37	27.75	27.99			26.74(-3.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	2	-10000	-8	33	2.5	44%	-0.21	41.8	3.01%	0	-0.6	51	0
25	Apr_27_2016	28.82	27.31	27.77	28.34			27.76(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-10000	-3	46	1.94	46%		61.3	3.02%	0	0.5	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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