Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UNG: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Mar. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Natural Gas)
UNG latest price $24.4000 (2.87%) ($23.5200 - $24.6800) on Mon. Mar. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.29% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $24.4000(2.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   UNG advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UNG declines -6.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UNG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(20%)    XLE(15%)    VYM(13%)    USO(12%)    XLB(12%)
Factors Impacting UNG price   UNG will decline at least -1.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    TLT(-4%)    SHY(-3%)    IPO(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.645% (StdDev 3.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $7.79(-68.07%)
Resistance Level   $26.53
5 Day Moving Average   $23.93(1.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.6(-0.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.53(-8.03%)
To recent high   -33.8%
To recent low   5.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. UNG price fluctuates within 9.12% (three month std-dev: 3.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160407

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_7_2016	33.13	26.53	24.6	23.93			24.4(2.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-28	-10000	2	-118	8.67	41%	-0.63	-61.7	3.29%	0	-0.9	29	0
2	Mar_4_2016	33.34	26.81	24.79	23.86			23.72(2.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	-10000	-9	-139	2.65	41%	-0.66	-67.9	3.32%	0	-1.3	22	0
3	Mar_3_2016	33.56	27.09	25.06	24.21			23.16(-2.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-44	-10000	-10	-145	5.06	41%	-0.71	-72.9	3.3%	0	-1.6	17	0
4	Mar_2_2016	33.8	27.45	25.48	24.63			23.64(-4.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-46	-10000	-12	-146	4.59	40%	-0.71	-75.3	3.3%	0	-1.7	16	0
5	Mar_1_2016	34.04	27.78	25.97	25.12			24.72(2.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-10000	-6	-140	4.81	41%	-0.64	-78.3	3.28%	0	-1.4	16	0

6	Feb_29_2016	34.26	28.11	26.31	25.37			24.08(-5.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-47	-10000	-11	-154	7.64	41%	-0.7	-76.2	3.23%	0	-1.9	10	0
7	Feb_26_2016	34.5	28.6	26.79	25.84			25.44(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-10000	-5	-146	5.13	42%	-0.61	-63.9	3.18%	0	-1.4	24	0
8	Feb_25_2016	34.71	28.96	27.16	26.05			25.28(-3.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-43	-10000	-10	-140	4.85	42%	-0.6	-59.9	3.2%	0	-1.6	32	0
9	Feb_24_2016	34.92	29.28	27.63	26.46			26.08(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-42	-10000	-12	-130	2.99	42%	-0.57	-59	3.19%	0	-1.5	30	0
10	Feb_23_2016	35.12	29.57	28.09	26.98			25.96(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10000	-10	-108	2.32	42%	-0.57	-54.3	3.19%	0	-1.7	32	0

11	Feb_22_2016	35.32	29.85	28.61	27.41			26.44(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-10000	-11	-95	2.55	42%	-0.56	-52.9	3.19%	0	-1.8	28	0
12	Feb_19_2016	35.52	30.13	29	27.9			26.48(-3.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-34	-10000	-12	-99	1.84	39%	-0.53	-51.1	3.23%	0	-2.1	23	0
13	Feb_18_2016	35.71	30.4	29.29	28.44			27.32(-4.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-34	-10000	-11	-101	2.63	39%	-0.56	-54.3	3.24%	0	-1.9	32	0
14	Feb_17_2016	35.91	30.62	29.6	28.98			28.68(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-10000	-9	-92	1.32	41%	-0.53	-58	3.19%	0	-1.4	41	0
15	Feb_16_2016	36.1	30.74	29.73	29.38			28.12(-2.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-33	-10000	-13	-91	1.5	41%	-0.93	-67.7	3.18%	0	-1.9	39	0

16	Feb_12_2016	36.44	30.91	30.07	30.02			28.88(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-21	-10000	-5	-68	0.89	43%	-0.57	-82.7	3.18%	0	-1.7	42	0
17	Feb_11_2016	36.65	31.07	30.55	30.27			29.2(-2.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-12	-10000	0	-46	1.61	42%	-0.54	-98.3	3.18%	0	-1.7	41	0
18	Feb_10_2016	36.85	31.29	30.9	30.26			30(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	-1	-42	0.82	42%	-0.51	-94.9	3.17%	0	-1.1	44	0
19	Feb_9_2016	37.04	31.47	31.06	30.3			30.72(-1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-10000	3	-39	0.8	42%	-0.51	-94.6	3.17%	0	-0.6	48	0
20	Feb_8_2016	37.23	31.68	31.14	30.14			31.28(3.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-12	-10000	-1	-43	1.62	42%	-0.48	-78.7	3.17%	0	-0.3	53	0

21	Feb_5_2016	37.41	31.94	31.16	30.18			30.16(3.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-24	-10000	-16	-48	1.49	42%	-0.56	-58.5	3.13%	0	-1	47	0
22	Feb_4_2016	37.62	32.2	31.32	30.94			29.12(-3.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-16	-10000	-14	-23	2.6	40%	-0.58	-41.4	3.15%	0	-1.6	38	0
23	Feb_3_2016	37.84	32.44	31.6	31.65			30.2(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6	-10000	-5	-8	1.33	42%	-0.58	-35.8	3.13%	0	-1.2	34	0
24	Feb_2_2016	38.06	32.66	31.74	31.91			29.92(-4.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-8	-10000	-7	-11	2.35	41%	-0.6	-30.6	3.13%	0	-1.5	34	0
25	Feb_1_2016	38.29	32.88	31.87	32.25			31.48(-7.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-6	-10000	0	-22	1.74	42%		-18.8	3.09%	0	-0.8	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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