Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ UNG: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 3, 2015

Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Natural Gas)
UNG latest price $51.3600 (3.05%) ($49.8400 - $51.7200) on Thu. Sep. 3, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $51.3600(3.05%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   UNG advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UNG declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UNG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(20%)    XLE(15%)    USO(12%)    VYM(12%)    XLB(12%)
Factors Impacting UNG price   UNG will decline at least -1% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-5%)    SKYY(-5%)    TLT(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1% (StdDev 2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3%

Resistance Level   $52.1
5 Day Moving Average   $50.86(0.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.85(1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.1(-1.42%)
To recent high   -8.5%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. UNG price fluctuates within 3.13% (three month std-dev: 2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151003

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_3_2015	53.72	52.1	50.85	50.86			51.36(3.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	-10000	3	-46	3.91	48%	0	-37.1	2%	0	-0.5	36	0
2	Sep_2_2015	53.72	52.22	50.95	50.7			49.84(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-10000	-4	-60	1.86	45%	-0.02	-38.8	1.98%	0	-1.5	28	0
3	Sep_1_2015	53.73	52.41	51.16	50.92			50.84(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-10000	-1	-75	1.17	45%	0	-41.6	1.97%	0	-1	23	0
4	Aug_31_2015	53.73	52.56	51.28	50.97			50.8(-1.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-21	-10000	1	-87	2.19	45%	0.02	-42.5	1.97%	0	-1.2	33	0
5	Aug_28_2015	53.72	52.67	51.44	50.91			51.44(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-24	-10000	1	-99	0.64	40%	0	-48	1.99%	0	-0.8	36	0

6	Aug_27_2015	53.72	52.71	51.65	50.85			50.56(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-10000	-8	-103	2.06	40%	-0.04	-53.9	2.05%	0	-1.5	37	0
7	Aug_26_2015	53.74	52.86	51.96	51.26			50.96(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10000	-3	-91	0.53	39%	-0.06	-50.2	2.05%	0	-1.4	38	0
8	Aug_25_2015	53.77	53.06	52.44	51.44			51.08(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-10000	-4	-74	0.89	39%	-0.04	-51.8	2.06%	0	-1.5	41	0
9	Aug_24_2015	53.79	53.21	52.8	51.64			50.52(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-22	-10000	-7	-65	1.39	39%	-0.06	-56.5	2.08%	0	-2.1	36	0
10	Aug_21_2015	53.82	53.37	53.2	52.03			51.12(-2.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-20	-10000	-10	-48	2.03	37%	-0.07	-59.2	2.1%	0	-2	45	0

11	Aug_20_2015	53.86	53.5	53.47	52.57			52.64(1.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-9	-10000	-4	-24	1.74	39%	0.02	-61.7	2.07%	0	-0.9	55	0
12	Aug_19_2015	53.85	53.57	53.6	52.78			51.84(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-16	-10000	-15	-20	0.61	39%	-0.04	-55.6	2.07%	0	-1.6	45	0
13	Aug_18_2015	53.87	53.76	53.78	53.62			52.08(-0.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-7	-10000	-9	1	0.96	39%	-0.02	-35.9	2.08%	0	-1.6	39	0
14	Aug_17_2015	53.88	53.93	53.97	54.14			52.48(-2.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-1	-10000	-7	17	1.18	39%	0	-19.9	2.08%	0	-1.5	46	0
15	Aug_14_2015	53.88	54.03	54.03	54.52			53.8(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.8	8	-10000	1	29	0.46	43%	-0.02	-11.5	2.06%	0	-0.2	52	0

16	Aug_13_2015	53.89	54.11	53.89	54.49			53.72(-4.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	6	-10000	-0	22	1.79	43%	-0.02	-1.7	2.08%	0	-0.4	52	0
17	Aug_12_2015	53.9	54.17	53.85	54.51			56.04(2.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	13	-10000	10	23	1.13	48%	-0.02	10.2	2.02%	0	1.9	57	0
18	Aug_11_2015	53.91	54.13	53.7	53.98			54.64(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	3	-10000	3	1	0.81	46%	-0.02	15.1	2.03%	0	0.5	44	0
19	Aug_10_2015	53.92	54.12	53.61	53.81			54.4(1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	2	-10000	6	-11	0.78	46%	-0.04	20.7	2.04%	0	0.3	43	0
20	Aug_7_2015	53.94	54.14	53.51	53.49			53.64(-0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	-10000	5	-25	0.91	50%	-0.06	20.3	2.1%	0	-0.5	47	0

21	Aug_6_2015	53.97	54.12	53.49	53.19			53.84(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	-10000	2	-45	1.33	50%	-0.09	6.9	2.1%	0	-0.3	42	0
22	Aug_5_2015	54.02	54.06	53.51	53.09			53.36(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	-10000	-5	-56	0.92	50%	-0.07	0	2.1%	0	-0.6	43	0
23	Aug_4_2015	54.06	53.99	53.71	53.38			53.8(1.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-13	-10000	-1	-48	1.05	50%	-0.04	-3.2	2.1%	0	-0.2	41	0
24	Aug_3_2015	54.08	53.92	53.86	53.41			52.8(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-2	-43	0.96	50%	-0.06	-8	2.1%	0	-0.9	44	0
25	Jul_31_2015	54.11	53.94	54.03	53.54			52.16(-2.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-10000	-4	-43	1.37	50%		-6.6	2.11%	0	-1.4	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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