Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 7, 2015

Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Natural Gas)
UNG latest price $53.6400 (-0.37%) ($52.9200 - $54.0800) on Fri. Aug. 7, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.1% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $53.6400(-0.37%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   UNG advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UNG declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UNG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(21%)    XLE(15%)    USO(12%)    VYM(12%)    XLB(12%)
Factors Impacting UNG price   UNG will decline at least -1.05% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-5%)    TLT(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-3%)    GLD(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.05% (StdDev 2.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $54.14
5 Day Moving Average   $53.49(0.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.51(0.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.14(-0.92%)
To recent high   -10%
To recent low   6.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. UNG price fluctuates within 1.77% (three month std-dev: 2.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150907

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_7_2015	53.94	54.14	53.51	53.49			53.64(-0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	-10000	5	-25	0.91	50%	-0.06	20.3	2.1%	0	-0.5	47	0
2	Aug_6_2015	53.97	54.12	53.49	53.19			53.84(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	-10000	2	-45	1.33	50%	-0.09	6.9	2.1%	0	-0.3	42	0
3	Aug_5_2015	54.02	54.06	53.51	53.09			53.36(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-18	-10000	-5	-56	0.92	50%	-0.07	0	2.1%	0	-0.6	43	0
4	Aug_4_2015	54.06	53.99	53.71	53.38			53.8(1.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-13	-10000	-1	-48	1.05	50%	-0.04	-3.2	2.1%	0	-0.2	41	0
5	Aug_3_2015	54.08	53.92	53.86	53.41			52.8(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10000	-2	-43	0.96	50%	-0.06	-8	2.1%	0	-0.9	44	0

6	Jul_31_2015	54.11	53.94	54.03	53.54			52.16(-2.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-10000	-4	-43	1.37	50%	-0.06	-6.6	2.11%	0	-1.4	40	0
7	Jul_30_2015	54.14	54.05	54.36	53.79			53.32(-2.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-10000	-3	-26	1.47	55%	-0.07	-3.7	2.1%	0	-0.6	53	0
8	Jul_29_2015	54.18	54.06	54.53	53.96			54.84(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-4	-10000	-2	-9	0.95	58%	-0.02	0	2.18%	0	0.7	62	0
9	Jul_28_2015	54.19	54.03	54.61	54.1			53.92(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-5	13	0.97	58%	0	9	2.18%	0	-0.1	63	0
10	Jul_27_2015	54.19	54.03	54.67	54.42			53.48(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	6	-10000	-3	33	0.53	56%	-0.07	19.9	2.18%	0	-0.5	58	0

11	Jul_24_2015	54.23	54.02	54.82	54.59			53.4(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	6	-10000	-7	46	0.82	56%	-0.09	19.7	2.21%	0	-0.5	54	0
12	Jul_23_2015	54.28	54.09	54.84	55			54.16(-2.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	12	-10000	-3	56	1.97	56%	-0.04	33.2	2.2%	0	0.1	50	0
13	Jul_22_2015	54.3	54.06	54.69	55.16			55.56(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	14	-10000	-1	58	1.01	58%	0.02	29.8	2.2%	0	1.3	59	0
14	Jul_21_2015	54.29	53.93	54.32	55.2			55.48(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	3	50	0.99	58%	0.02	18.6	2.2%	0	1.4	54	0
15	Jul_20_2015	54.28	53.93	54	54.99			54.36(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	8	-10000	-2	36	1.54	55%	-0.02	1.5	2.19%	0	0.5	52	0

16	Jul_17_2015	54.29	53.8	53.86	55.09			55.44(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-10000	7	41	0.89	55%	0.02	7.4	2.22%	0	1.5	59	0
17	Jul_16_2015	54.28	53.71	53.71	54.64			54.96(-1.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	8	27	1.75	57%	-0.06	-7.4	2.23%	0	1.2	49	0
18	Jul_15_2015	54.31	53.71	53.54	54.13			55.76(2.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	14	-10000	14	14	1.59	58%	-0.06	-23.6	2.26%	0	1.9	57	0
19	Jul_14_2015	54.34	53.72	53.35	53.3			54.44(-0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	4	-10000	7	-6	1.23	57%	-0.07	-38.9	2.26%	0	0.7	57	0
20	Jul_13_2015	54.38	53.79	53.28	52.86			54.84(3.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.7	2	-10000	7	-14	1.64	57%	-0.09	-32.3	2.26%	0	0.9	57	0

21	Jul_10_2015	54.43	53.72	53.1	52.47			53.2(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-12	-10000	-4	-36	1.93	55%	-0.09	-30	2.23%	0	-0.4	45	0
22	Jul_9_2015	54.48	53.79	53.25	52.68			52.4(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-10000	-3	-26	2.04	53%	-0.09	-11.3	2.23%	0	-1.2	44	0
23	Jul_8_2015	54.53	53.97	53.37	52.87			51.6(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-15	-10000	-9	-32	1.79	53%	-0.09	11.3	2.26%	0	-1.9	35	0
24	Jul_7_2015	54.58	54.15	53.52	53.4			52.28(-1.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-12	-10000	-5	-31	1.32	53%	-0.05	36.2	2.26%	0	-1.7	34	0
25	Jul_6_2015	54.61	54.18	53.62	53.71			52.88(-2.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-10	-10000	-1	-35	2.19	53%		49.3	2.25%	0	-1.2	36	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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