Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Natural Gas)
UNG latest price $56.1600 (0.07%) ($54.8004 - $56.2000) on Tue. Jun. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.29% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $56.1600(0.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   UNG advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UNG advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UNG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(20%)    XLE(15%)    USO(12%)    VYM(12%)    XLB(12%)
Factors Impacting UNG price   UNG will decline at least -1.145% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-5%)    TLT(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)    SHY(-3%)    GLD(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.145% (StdDev 2.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.32(1.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.76(4.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.25(3.52%)
To recent high   -5.8%
To recent low   13.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. UNG price fluctuates within 4.65% (three month std-dev: 2.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150716

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_16_2015	54.83	54.25	53.76	55.32			56.16(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	4	75	2.1	64%	-0.04	-28.6	2.29%	0	0.8	51	0
2	Jun_15_2015	54.85	54.39	53.35	55.08			56.12(4.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10000	12	60	2.87	64%	-0.07	-22.5	2.29%	0	0.6	51	0
3	Jun_12_2015	54.89	54.52	52.88	54.35			53.52(-2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	13	-10000	11	18	1.53	62%	-0.09	-23.7	2.21%	0	-0.3	40	0
4	Jun_11_2015	54.94	54.8	52.68	53.68			54.72(-2.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	-10000	13	-31	2.06	64%	-0.09	-21.4	2.23%	0	-0	38	0
5	Jun_10_2015	54.99	54.94	52.45	52.94			56.08(2.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-6	-10000	17	-73	2.25	66%	-0.05	-23.1	2.26%	0	0.4	42	0

6	Jun_9_2015	55.02	54.98	52.28	51.96			54.96(4.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-23	-10000	9	-119	2.84	61%	0	-28.4	2.25%	0	-0	37	0
7	Jun_8_2015	55.02	55.02	52.25	51.43			52.48(4.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-37	-10000	3	-155	1.74	58%	-0.2	-33	2.26%	0	-0.8	24	0
8	Jun_5_2015	55.13	55.23	52.62	51.25			50.16(-1.65%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-50	-10000	-5	-183	1.78	55%	-0.25	-33.2	2.18%	0	-1.6	11	0
9	Jun_4_2015	55.27	55.47	53.41	51.51			51(-0.39%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-50	-10000	-6	-181	2.24	55%	-0.31	-33.1	2.2%	0	-1.5	13	0
10	Jun_3_2015	55.44	55.68	54.08	51.85			51.2(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-54	-10000	-13	-175	1.68	55%	-0.14	-26.8	2.22%	0	-1.6	25	0

11	Jun_2_2015	55.52	55.91	54.8	52.63			52.32(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	-10000	-10	-153	2.06	55%	-0.09	-11.7	2.21%	0	-1.4	32	0
12	Jun_1_2015	55.57	56.1	55.52	53.22			51.56(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-45	-10000	-17	-127	1.03	55%	-0.16	5.6	2.2%	0	-1.9	38	0
13	May_29_2015	55.66	56.29	56.33	54.23			51.48(-2.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-39	-10000	-22	-91	1.93	55%	-0.14	27.8	2.22%	0	-2.2	35	0
14	May_28_2015	55.74	56.45	57.15	55.59			52.68(-4.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-20	-10000	-16	-33	2.47	57%	-0.11	57.3	2.22%	0	-1.9	50	0
15	May_27_2015	55.8	56.42	57.72	56.62			55.12(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-6	-10000	-11	10	1.09	62%	-0.09	65.1	2.16%	0	-0.6	55	0

16	May_26_2015	55.85	56.21	57.97	57.3			55.28(-2.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-10000	-14	37	1.18	56%	-0.14	60.4	2.16%	0	-0.4	54	0
17	May_22_2015	55.93	55.96	58.07	58.16			56.6(-2.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-10000	-9	61	0.79	58%	0.02	57.3	2.25%	0	0.2	56	0
18	May_21_2015	55.92	55.69	58.09	58.74			58.28(0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-10000	-3	89	1.63	61%	-0.02	57.6	2.24%	0	0.8	66	0
19	May_20_2015	55.93	55.34	57.72	58.96			57.84(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	25	-10000	-0	100	0.85	64%	-0.09	56.2	2.26%	0	0.8	68	0
20	May_19_2015	55.98	55.06	57.43	58.98			58.48(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	33	-10000	4	118	2.42	64%	-0.11	56.9	2.31%	0	1.1	78	0

21	May_18_2015	56.04	54.72	57.1	58.74			59.6(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	44	-10000	12	141	0.6	64%	-0.05	57.3	2.3%	0	1.6	85	0
22	May_15_2015	56.07	54.28	56.69	57.94			59.52(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	45	-10000	9	151	0.72	64%	0.07	55.2	2.28%	0	1.8	85	0
23	May_14_2015	56.03	53.93	56.2	57.34			59.36(2.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	52	-10000	16	159	1.52	64%	-0.05	59.4	2.3%	0	2	77	0
24	May_13_2015	56.06	53.62	55.63	56.31			57.92(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	-10000	10	144	1.29	62%	-0.14	60.2	2.3%	0	1.8	74	0
25	May_12_2015	56.14	53.31	54.97	55.66			57.28(2.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	-10000	7	123	1.49	58%		55.4	2.32%	0	1.8	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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