Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 24, 2015

Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Natural Gas)
UNG latest price $58.5200 (0.27%) ($58.2800 - $60.2800) on Tue. Feb. 24, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.42% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $58.5200(0.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   UNG advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UNG advances 4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UNG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(21%)    XLE(15%)    USO(12%)    VYM(12%)    XLB(12%)
Factors Impacting UNG price   UNG will decline at least -1.71% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-6%)    TLT(-3%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.71% (StdDev 3.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $58.45(0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $57.46(1.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.33(3.89%)
To recent high   -35.2%
To recent low   11.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. UNG price fluctuates within 3.69% (three month std-dev: 3.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150324

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_24_2015	71.69	56.33	57.46	58.45			58.52(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	22	-10000	4	74	1.89	36%	-0.36	-0.5	3.42%	0	1.1	56	0
2	Feb_23_2015	71.95	56.29	56.95	58.1			58.36(-2.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	3	65	3.5	36%	-0.4	-15	3.42%	0	1	60	0
3	Feb_20_2015	72.24	56.34	56.41	57.8			60.12(4.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	-10000	9	58	3.58	35%	-0.37	-27.9	3.45%	0	1.8	65	0
4	Feb_19_2015	72.51	56.21	55.69	56.88			57.8(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	8	-10000	0	32	2.68	35%	-0.4	-60.4	3.41%	0	0.8	56	0
5	Feb_18_2015	72.8	56.3	55.33	56.84			57.44(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-10000	5	23	2.78	35%	-0.44	-56.8	3.45%	0	0.5	47	0

6	Feb_17_2015	73.12	56.34	55.18	56.33			56.76(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	-10000	7	6	2.14	38%	-0.64	-58.3	3.44%	0	0.2	42	0
7	Feb_13_2015	73.59	56.61	54.96	55.62			56.88(2.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	-10000	9	-15	1.77	37%	-0.41	-52.9	3.52%	0	0.1	46	0
8	Feb_12_2015	73.89	56.95	54.71	54.78			55.52(-3.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	-10000	5	-45	3.7	37%	-0.4	-45.6	3.53%	0	-0.5	38	0
9	Feb_11_2015	74.19	57.47	54.7	54.3			57.6(4.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-10	-10000	7	-61	3.17	38%	-0.35	-32.5	3.51%	0	0	47	0
10	Feb_10_2015	74.45	57.56	54.69	53.63			54.88(3.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-23	-10000	-3	-83	4.28	36%	-0.4	-37.2	3.44%	0	-0.7	35	0

11	Feb_9_2015	74.75	57.68	55.07	53.92			53.2(0.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-10000	-3	-80	2.82	36%	-0.43	-39.2	3.4%	0	-1.2	35	0
12	Feb_6_2015	75.07	58.03	55.56	54.22			52.68(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-4	-88	2.38	39%	-0.44	-38.7	3.4%	0	-1.5	27	0
13	Feb_5_2015	75.4	58.41	56.27	54.62			53.12(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-10000	-5	-92	3.37	39%	-0.48	-37.6	3.49%	0	-1.6	25	0
14	Feb_4_2015	75.76	58.7	56.8	55.1			54.28(-3.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-33	-10000	-8	-108	2.4	39%	-0.43	-43.2	3.49%	0	-1.4	24	0
15	Feb_3_2015	76.09	59	57.38	55.88			56.32(3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	-10000	-6	-96	2.96	43%	-0.41	-45.6	3.47%	0	-0.9	46	0

16	Feb_2_2015	76.4	59.17	57.63	56.44			54.68(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-26	-10000	-7	-82	2.58	43%	-0.39	-45.8	3.58%	0	-1.6	50	0
17	Jan_30_2015	76.7	59.45	58.42	57.14			54.68(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-24	-10000	-10	-67	3.21	43%	-0.39	-46.8	3.59%	0	-1.8	45	0
18	Jan_29_2015	77	59.7	59.39	58.18			55.52(-4.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-14	-10000	-5	-39	6.25	43%	-0.4	-49.6	3.59%	0	-1.7	46	0
19	Jan_28_2015	77.31	60.08	60.49	58.72			58.19(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-10000	-4	-10	2.83	46%	-0.39	-53	3.56%	0	-0.8	52	0
20	Jan_27_2015	77.61	60.37	60.69	59.1			59.12(1.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	1	-2	2.61	45%	-0.33	-60.1	3.58%	0	-0.5	51	0

21	Jan_26_2015	77.87	60.51	60.51	59.02			58.2(-2.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-10	-10000	-9	-14	3.6	45%	-0.33	-79.9	3.58%	0	-0.9	50	0
22	Jan_23_2015	78.13	60.72	60.51	59.94			59.88(2.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-6	-10000	-8	1	3.25	45%	-0.31	-94.3	3.57%	0	-0.3	52	0
23	Jan_22_2015	78.37	60.96	60.72	60.86			58.2(-3.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-8	-10000	-15	15	4.52	45%	-0.34	-98.5	3.54%	0	-1.1	51	0
24	Jan_21_2015	78.64	61.31	60.79	62.56			60.08(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-1	10	-10000	1	37	3.16	45%	-0.33	-101.5	3.53%	0	-0.5	46	0
25	Jan_20_2015	78.9	61.81	60.77	62.5			58.76(-6.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.4	10	-10000	4	26	5.45	45%		-107.1	3.51%	0	-1.2	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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