Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 6, 2014

Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Natural Gas)
UNG latest price $92.6400 (5.46%) ($86.0400 - $93.2000) on Thu. Nov. 6, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.98% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $92.6400(5.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   UNG advances 2.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UNG advances 5.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UNG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(21%)    XLE(15%)    USO(13%)    OIH(11%)    XLB(11%)
Factors Impacting UNG price   UNG will decline at least -0.99% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-6%)    TLT(-4%)    IGOV(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    VIXM(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.99% (StdDev 1.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $87.1(6.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $83.01(11.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $81.84(13.2%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   21.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. UNG price fluctuates within 4.81% (three month std-dev: 1.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_6_2014	86.57	81.84	83.01	87.1			92.64(5.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	67	-10000	30	178	5.47	53%	-0.13	25.8	1.98%	0	2.7	72	0
2	Nov_5_2014	86.68	81.28	81.48	84.62			87.84(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	46	-10000	22	118	2.19	49%	-0.2	7	1.87%	0	2.1	63	0
3	Nov_4_2014	86.85	80.98	80.48	82.93			86.96(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.4	35	-10000	23	70	3.36	49%	-0.2	-14.1	1.87%	0	2.1	61	0
4	Nov_3_2014	87.02	80.81	79.67	81.21			86.96(7.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	28	-10000	29	25	3.36	49%	-0.21	-40.3	1.88%	0	2.3	60	0
5	Oct_31_2014	87.2	80.6	78.78	79.02			81.12(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-6	-10000	11	-56	1.99	42%	-0.27	-71.7	1.66%	0	0.2	38	0

6	Oct_30_2014	87.44	80.84	78.7	78.29			80.24(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-16	-10000	7	-85	1.3	42%	-0.23	-75.4	1.66%	0	-0.2	40	0
7	Oct_29_2014	87.64	81.06	78.8	77.86			79.36(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-24	-10000	3	-104	2.82	42%	-0.24	-76.2	1.66%	0	-0.6	36	0
8	Oct_28_2014	87.85	81.39	78.99	77.66			78.36(3.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-32	-10000	-4	-117	2.1	42%	-0.28	-69.3	1.67%	0	-0.9	33	0
9	Oct_27_2014	88.1	81.88	79.34	77.9			76.04(-1.81%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-39	-10000	-9	-129	1.63	39%	-0.33	-58.4	1.62%	0	-1.7	17	0
10	Oct_24_2014	88.39	82.5	80.12	78.46			77.44(-0.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-38	-10000	-11	-117	1.06	41%	-0.29	-52.2	1.62%	0	-1.6	24	0

11	Oct_23_2014	88.65	82.95	80.66	79.15			78.08(-0.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-37	-10000	-11	-115	3.04	41%	-0.28	-46.2	1.64%	0	-1.6	20	0
12	Oct_22_2014	88.9	83.36	81.16	79.86			78.4(-1.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10000	-10	-108	1.66	40%	-0.27	-42.4	1.64%	0	-1.8	29	0
13	Oct_21_2014	89.14	83.7	81.61	80.52			79.52(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-33	-10000	-8	-106	1.35	38%	-0.26	-44.6	1.65%	0	-1.6	28	0
14	Oct_20_2014	89.37	83.92	82.11	81.02			78.88(-2.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-39	-10000	-15	-112	2.12	38%	-0.25	-50.2	1.67%	0	-2.1	22	0
15	Oct_17_2014	89.59	84.2	82.63	82.02			80.88(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-30	-10000	-5	-105	1.4	38%	-0.22	-48.2	1.64%	0	-1.6	25	0

16	Oct_16_2014	89.79	84.36	83.18	82.39			81.64(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-27	-10000	-4	-94	1.5	38%	-0.23	-46.7	1.69%	0	-1.4	36	0
17	Oct_15_2014	90	84.56	83.53	82.66			81.68(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-10000	-3	-92	1.26	38%	-0.19	-40.5	1.69%	0	-1.5	38	0
18	Oct_14_2014	90.17	84.85	83.98	82.86			82(-2.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-10000	-7	-85	2.89	38%	-0.1	-36.2	1.7%	0	-1.5	44	0
19	Oct_13_2014	90.26	85.11	84.6	83.37			83.88(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-14	-10000	0	-54	1.45	39%	-0.15	-30.2	1.68%	0	-0.7	54	0
20	Oct_10_2014	90.4	85.2	85.02	83.36			82.76(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10000	-11	-43	0.68	39%	-0.15	-27.7	1.67%	0	-1.4	49	0

21	Oct_9_2014	90.54	85.28	85.4	84.11			82.96(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8	-10000	-6	-14	2.6	39%	-0.18	-14.3	1.68%	0	-1.4	50	0
22	Oct_8_2014	90.7	85.35	85.72	84.54			82.72(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-9	-10000	-10	-4	2.77	39%	-0.21	-7	1.69%	0	-1.6	44	0
23	Oct_7_2014	90.89	85.53	85.97	85.25			84.52(0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-8	-10000	-11	2	1.42	38%	-0.15	12	1.67%	0	-0.7	42	0
24	Oct_6_2014	91.03	85.63	85.89	86.03			83.84(-3.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-8	-10000	-12	6	2.54	38%	-0.16	30.9	1.7%	0	-1.2	41	0
25	Oct_3_2014	91.18	85.68	85.94	86.93			86.52(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	-10000	1	26	1.2	41%		33.7	1.68%	0	0.5	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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