Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 30, 2014

Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Natural Gas)
UNG latest price $88.4400 (0.14%) ($87.9200 - $89.1600) on Tue. Sep. 30, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.65% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $88.4400(0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   UNG advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UNG advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UNG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(21%)    XLE(15%)    USO(13%)    OIH(11%)    XLB(11%)
Factors Impacting UNG price   UNG will decline at least -0.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-6%)    TLT(-4%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.825% (StdDev 1.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $86.75(1.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $85.81(3.06%)
20 Day Moving Average   $85.35(3.62%)
To recent high   -10.1%
To recent low   6.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. UNG price fluctuates within 1.87% (three month std-dev: 1.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141030

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_30_2014	91.53	85.35	85.81	86.75			88.44(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	22	-10000	15	41	1.47	41%	-0.11	-3.2	1.65%	0	1.9	56	0
2	Sep_29_2014	91.63	85.35	85.63	85.72			88.32(2.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	14	-10000	13	17	2.65	41%	-0.13	-27.7	1.65%	0	2.1	54	0
3	Sep_26_2014	91.75	85.17	85.32	84.83			86.32(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	5	-10000	7	-2	1.37	37%	-0.17	-30.6	1.62%	0	0.7	56	0
4	Sep_25_2014	91.91	85.25	85.08	84.33			85.96(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-2	-10000	2	-13	1.72	37%	-0.21	-29.3	1.65%	0	0.4	60	0
5	Sep_24_2014	92.1	85.31	84.87	84.21			84.72(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-11	-10000	-8	-19	1.27	37%	-0.24	-22.3	1.64%	0	-0.3	55	0

6	Sep_23_2014	92.32	85.4	85	84.76			83.28(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-8	-10000	-11	1	0.78	33%	-0.24	-10.1	1.63%	0	-1.2	49	0
7	Sep_22_2014	92.54	85.58	85.34	85.51			83.88(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	3	-10000	-5	27	0.84	33%	-0.22	10.4	1.65%	0	-1	47	0
8	Sep_19_2014	92.74	85.65	85.43	85.86			83.8(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.2	5	-10000	-0	20	1.54	33%	-0.23	20.3	1.65%	0	-1.1	36	0
9	Sep_18_2014	92.95	85.74	85.4	85.87			85.36(-2.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	4	-10000	4	2	2.01	34%	-0.24	21.1	1.65%	0	-0.2	41	0
10	Sep_17_2014	93.17	85.7	85.24	85.57			87.48(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-2	-10000	4	-21	0.73	36%	-0.21	16	1.63%	0	1.1	49	0

11	Sep_16_2014	93.37	85.58	84.88	85.3			87.04(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-9	-10000	1	-39	1.69	36%	-0.2	5.9	1.63%	0	0.9	51	0
12	Sep_15_2014	93.56	85.4	84.67	85.22			85.6(2.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	-10000	3	-48	1.68	34%	-0.19	-7.3	1.61%	0	0.1	46	0
13	Sep_12_2014	93.74	85.3	84.96	85.01			83.88(0.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-7	-10000	3	-38	0.92	37%	-0.22	-21.1	1.58%	0	-0.8	49	0
14	Sep_11_2014	93.95	85.4	85.39	84.84			83.84(-2.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-7	-10000	1	-30	2.96	37%	-0.23	-24	1.71%	0	-0.9	47	0
15	Sep_10_2014	94.17	85.44	85.76	84.78			86.16(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	-10000	6	-18	1	38%	-0.21	-32.6	1.69%	0	0.4	57	0

16	Sep_9_2014	94.37	85.49	85.79	84.37			86.6(2.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-3	-10000	4	-24	2.52	36%	-0.19	-34	1.71%	0	0.6	54	0
17	Sep_8_2014	94.55	85.53	85.8	84.1			84.56(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-16	-10000	-13	-25	1.72	33%	-0.11	-30.1	1.68%	0	-0.6	55	0
18	Sep_5_2014	94.65	85.66	85.85	84.99			83.04(-0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-11	-10000	-15	0	1	31%	-0.24	-6.7	1.67%	0	-1.5	52	0
19	Sep_4_2014	94.88	85.81	86.14	86.06			83.56(-0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-2	-10000	-11	26	1.85	31%	-0.19	13.8	1.67%	0	-1.3	45	0
20	Sep_3_2014	95.06	85.98	86.26	86.86			84.08(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.7	7	-10000	-7	48	1.61	31%	-0.19	38.3	1.68%	0	-1.2	52	0

21	Sep_2_2014	95.24	86.07	86.41	87.35			85.24(-4.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	10	-10000	-5	53	3.31	31%	-0.26	54.1	1.68%	0	-0.5	45	0
22	Aug_29_2014	95.49	86.06	86.28	87.68			89.04(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	-10000	12	54	0.86	34%	-0.15	63.3	1.6%	0	1.8	52	0
23	Aug_28_2014	95.63	85.79	85.7	86.84			88.4(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	10	-10000	8	17	1.53	37%	-0.15	54.6	1.59%	0	1.8	51	0
24	Aug_27_2014	95.77	85.58	85.4	86.26			87.52(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	8	-10000	9	4	1.92	40%	-0.15	45	1.62%	0	1.3	55	0
25	Aug_26_2014	95.91	85.36	85.06	85.62			86.56(-0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-3	-10000	4	-23	0.62	40%		34.1	1.64%	0	0.9	49	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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