Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 5, 2014

Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Natural Gas)
UNG latest price $101.2000 (-1.09%) ($99.7996 - $103.1600) on Wed. Mar. 5, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.12% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $101.2000(-1.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   UNG advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UNG declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UNG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(20%)    XLE(15%)    USO(12%)    OIH(11%)    XLF(10%)
Factors Impacting UNG price   UNG will decline at least -2.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-6%)    TLT(-4%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.56% (StdDev 5.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $100.85(0.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $102.87(-1.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $101.14(0.06%)
To recent high   -8.6%
To recent low   28.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. UNG price fluctuates within 4.59% (three month std-dev: 5.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140405

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_5_2014	93.37	101.14	102.87	100.85			101.2(-1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-1	-10000	1	-7	3.72	61%	0.17	1.5	5.12%	0	0	61	0
2	Mar_4_2014	93.21	101.29	103.51	100.7			102.32(2.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-0	-10000	-1	2	4.47	61%	0.2	8.2	5.17%	0	0.2	59	0
3	Mar_3_2014	93.02	101.05	103.76	100.87			99.52(-2.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-10000	-4	17	2.94	61%	0.15	23.7	5.21%	0	-0.3	64	0
4	Feb_28_2014	92.88	100.94	103.89	101.86			102.04(2.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	-10000	-6	28	4.43	61%	0.2	27.9	5.25%	0	0.2	61	0
5	Feb_27_2014	92.69	100.7	103.82	103.61			99.16(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	6	-10000	-6	42	3.35	61%	0.16	43.6	5.29%	0	-0.3	52	0

6	Feb_26_2014	92.54	101.07	103.55	105.21			100.44(-2.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	8	-10000	-5	47	5.62	61%	0.19	67.5	5.35%	0	-0.1	50	0
7	Feb_25_2014	92.36	100.91	103.28	106.68			103.2(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	12	-10000	-1	51	7.09	61%	0.27	85.7	5.39%	0	0.4	49	0
8	Feb_24_2014	92.11	99.93	102.14	107			104.48(-5.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	15	-10000	3	49	11.65	61%	0.32	68.9	5.45%	0	0.7	58	0
9	Feb_21_2014	91.82	99.61	101.18	106.09			110.76(3.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	-10000	7	44	5.25	64%	0.51	76.4	5.42%	0	1.7	64	0
10	Feb_20_2014	91.35	98.61	99.9	104.1			107.16(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	9	35	6.36	64%	0.43	76.9	5.47%	0	1.4	61	0

11	Feb_19_2014	90.96	97.74	99.2	101.66			107.8(2.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	9	-10000	8	13	11.05	64%	0.47	70.8	5.54%	0	1.7	50	0
12	Feb_18_2014	90.53	96.66	98.72	99.43			104.8(4.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	-10000	11	9	5.79	64%	0.42	62.4	5.6%	0	1.3	57	0
13	Feb_14_2014	90.15	95.62	97.9	96.59			99.92(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	-10000	4	4	3.39	64%	0.29	50	5.63%	0	0.7	66	0
14	Feb_13_2014	89.89	94.9	97.57	95.5			100.8(6.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	-10000	1	-6	7.96	64%	0.35	48	5.7%	0	0.9	54	0
15	Feb_12_2014	89.58	94.1	97.16	95.14			95(-1.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-5	-10000	-5	-5	5.43	62%	0.17	47.3	5.71%	0	0.1	56	0

16	Feb_11_2014	89.43	93.63	98.28	96.39			96.64(6.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	-6	19	6.51	62%	0.24	51.8	5.78%	0	0.4	57	0
17	Feb_10_2014	89.22	93.02	98.33	97.98			90.6(-4.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	6	-10000	-5	40	6.01	60%	0.06	57.3	5.76%	0	-0.3	57	0
18	Feb_7_2014	89.17	92.54	97.73	99.31			94.48(-4.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	11	-10000	-2	50	5.74	60%	0.18	55.9	5.8%	0	0.2	61	0
19	Feb_6_2014	89.01	91.81	98.15	99.76			99(-2.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	1	69	6.32	60%	0.36	52	5.82%	0	0.9	62	0
20	Feb_5_2014	88.69	90.96	97.43	99.36			101.24(-3.21%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	-10000	-4	73	10.04	60%	0.48	50.4	5.89%	0	1.2	64	0

21	Feb_4_2014	88.27	90.08	96.33	100.5			104.6(7.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	5	92	10.37	60%	0.65	55.7	5.95%	0	1.8	65	0
22	Feb_3_2014	87.7	88.98	94.48	98.92			97.24(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	-10000	11	91	3.39	56%	0.39	54.4	5.91%	0	1.1	63	0
23	Jan_31_2014	87.36	88.3	93.18	95.87			96.72(-0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	17	-10000	-1	71	7.74	56%	0.39	41.9	6.02%	0	1.2	66	0
24	Jan_30_2014	87.02	87.63	92.05	96.22			97(-9.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	4	84	13.65	56%	0.45	43	6.13%	0	1.3	67	0
25	Jan_29_2014	86.63	86.88	90.79	95.06			106.92(10.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	31	-10000	12	88	9.85	63%		35.8	5.92%	0	2.9	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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