Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 4, 2014

Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Natural Gas)
UNG latest price $104.6000 (7.57%) ($102.4000 - $106.5200) on Tue. Feb. 4, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.95% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $104.6000(7.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   UNG advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UNG advances 8.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UNG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(20%)    XLE(15%)    USO(12%)    OIH(11%)    SPY(8%)
Factors Impacting UNG price   UNG will decline at least -2.975% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-6%)    TLT(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.975% (StdDev 5.95%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $100.5(4.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $96.33(8.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $90.08(16.12%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   32.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. UNG price fluctuates within 9.1% (three month std-dev: 5.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_4_2014	88.27	90.08	96.33	100.5			104.6(7.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	5	92	10.37	60%	0.65	55.7	5.95%	0	1.8	65	0
2	Feb_3_2014	87.7	88.98	94.48	98.92			97.24(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	-10000	11	91	3.39	56%	0.39	54.4	5.91%	0	1.1	63	0
3	Jan_31_2014	87.36	88.3	93.18	95.87			96.72(-0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	17	-10000	-1	71	7.74	56%	0.39	41.9	6.02%	0	1.2	66	0
4	Jan_30_2014	87.02	87.63	92.05	96.22			97(-9.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	4	84	13.65	56%	0.45	43	6.13%	0	1.3	67	0
5	Jan_29_2014	86.63	86.88	90.79	95.06			106.92(10.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	31	-10000	12	88	9.85	63%	0.94	35.8	5.92%	0	2.9	69	0

6	Jan_28_2014	85.82	85.73	88.44	91.68			96.72(17.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	23	-10000	8	68	4.66	57%	0.53	29.1	5.71%	0	2.2	62	0
7	Jan_27_2014	85.37	85.07	87.09	89.57			82(-16.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.8	16	-10000	-1	65	2.89	44%	-0.16	0	4.51%	0	-0.7	51	0
8	Jan_24_2014	85.51	85.34	86.95	89.87			98.44(7.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	42	-10000	21	106	6.6	62%	0.68	0	2.87%	0	3.1	70	0
9	Jan_23_2014	84.93	84.69	84.92	87.2			91.24(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	26	-10000	13	65	3.19	53%	0.35	0	2.45%	0	2.2	64	0
10	Jan_22_2014	84.63	84.48	83.94	85.82			90(4.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	18	-10000	10	40	3.14	53%	0.32	0	2.49%	0	2.2	64	0

11	Jan_21_2014	84.36	84.29	83.27	84.79			86.16(3.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-10000	5	17	1.12	45%	0.12	0	2.35%	0	0.8	48	0
12	Jan_17_2014	84.26	84.29	83	84.32			83.52(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	8	-10000	9	4	1.45	37%	-0.05	0	2.29%	0	34.7	47	0
13	Jan_16_2014	84.3	84.29	83.05	83.46			85.08(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-10000	13	5	2.84	37%	0.05	0	2.32%	0	34.4	44	0
14	Jan_15_2014	84.26	84.29	82.88	82.2			84.32(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	4	-10000	5	2	1.36	37%	0	0	2.38%	0	33.2	43	0
15	Jan_14_2014	84.26	84.29	82.71	81.73			84.88(1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	1	-10000	1	0	1.48	37%	0.06	0	2.45%	0	32.5	42	0

16	Jan_13_2014	84.21	84.29	82.79	81.58			83.8(5.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	-10000	-0	0	2.45	37%	-0.04	0	2.51%	0	31.2	42	0
17	Jan_10_2014	84.24	84.29	82.85	81.59			79.24(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-10	-10000	-12	-5	1.25	17%	-0.46	0	1.95%	0	28.4	50	0
18	Jan_9_2014	84.63	84.29	83.66	82.59			78.76(-3.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-10	-10000	-12	-5	2.99	17%	-0.58	0	1.99%	0	31.4	50	0
19	Jan_8_2014	85.12	84.29	84.52	83.58			81.96(-2.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-2	-10000	-2	-1	1.67	22%	-0.33	0	1.83%	0	42.5	50	0
20	Jan_7_2014	85.4	84.29	85.14	83.74			84.16(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-10000	-6	-2	1.53	27%	-0.15	0	1.8%	0	48.1	50	0

21	Jan_6_2014	85.53	84.29	85.43	84.17			83.84(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2	-10000	-2	-1	0.87	27%	-0.22	0	1.88%	0	46.8	50	0
22	Jan_3_2014	85.72	84.29	85.43	84.34			84.24(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-10000	-7	-3	2.22	27%	-0.21	0	1.99%	0	47.1	50	0
23	Jan_2_2014	85.9	84.29	85.43	84.94			83.72(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7	-10000	-8	-3	1.22	27%	-0.36	0	2.09%	0	46.3	50	0
24	Dec_31_2013	86.21	84.29	85.43	85.62			82.76(-4.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-10	-10000	-12	-5	2.61	27%	-0.67	0	2.13%	0	47.8	50	0
25	Dec_30_2013	86.79	84.29	85.43	86.71			86.28(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2	-10000	-2	-1	2	42%		0	1.7%	0	79.9	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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