Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jan. 28, 2014

Trading Signals: UNG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Dec. 20, 2013 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(United States Natural Gas)
UNG latest price $96.7200 (17.95%) ($93.7200 - $97.8800) on Tue. Jan. 28, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.71% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $96.7200(17.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   UNG advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   UNG advances 6.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support UNG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XOP(20%)    XLE(15%)    USO(12%)    OIH(10%)    SPY(8%)
Factors Impacting UNG price   UNG will decline at least -2.855% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-6%)    TLT(-3%)    IGOV(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.855% (StdDev 5.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $91.68(5.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $88.44(9.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $85.73(12.82%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   22.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. UNG price fluctuates within 5.88% (three month std-dev: 5.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140228

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_28_2014	85.82	85.73	88.44	91.68			96.72(17.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	23	-10000	8	68	4.66	57%	0.53	29.1	5.71%	0	2.2	62	0
2	Jan_27_2014	85.37	85.07	87.09	89.57			82(-16.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.8	16	-10000	-1	65	2.89	44%	-0.16	0	4.51%	0	-0.7	51	0
3	Jan_24_2014	85.51	85.34	86.95	89.87			98.44(7.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	42	-10000	21	106	6.6	62%	0.68	0	2.87%	0	3.1	70	0
4	Jan_23_2014	84.93	84.69	84.92	87.2			91.24(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	26	-10000	13	65	3.19	53%	0.35	0	2.45%	0	2.2	64	0
5	Jan_22_2014	84.63	84.48	83.94	85.82			90(4.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	18	-10000	10	40	3.14	53%	0.32	0	2.49%	0	2.2	64	0

6	Jan_21_2014	84.36	84.29	83.27	84.79			86.16(3.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-10000	5	17	1.12	45%	0.12	0	2.35%	0	0.8	48	0
7	Jan_17_2014	84.26	84.29	83	84.32			83.52(-1.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	8	-10000	9	4	1.45	37%	-0.05	0	2.29%	0	34.7	47	0
8	Jan_16_2014	84.3	84.29	83.05	83.46			85.08(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-10000	13	5	2.84	37%	0.05	0	2.32%	0	34.4	44	0
9	Jan_15_2014	84.26	84.29	82.88	82.2			84.32(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	4	-10000	5	2	1.36	37%	0	0	2.38%	0	33.2	43	0
10	Jan_14_2014	84.26	84.29	82.71	81.73			84.88(1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	1	-10000	1	0	1.48	37%	0.06	0	2.45%	0	32.5	42	0

11	Jan_13_2014	84.21	84.29	82.79	81.58			83.8(5.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	-10000	-0	0	2.45	37%	-0.04	0	2.51%	0	31.2	42	0
12	Jan_10_2014	84.24	84.29	82.85	81.59			79.24(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-10	-10000	-12	-5	1.25	17%	-0.46	0	1.95%	0	28.4	50	0
13	Jan_9_2014	84.63	84.29	83.66	82.59			78.76(-3.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-10	-10000	-12	-5	2.99	17%	-0.58	0	1.99%	0	31.4	50	0
14	Jan_8_2014	85.12	84.29	84.52	83.58			81.96(-2.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-2	-10000	-2	-1	1.67	22%	-0.33	0	1.83%	0	42.5	50	0
15	Jan_7_2014	85.4	84.29	85.14	83.74			84.16(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	-10000	-6	-2	1.53	27%	-0.15	0	1.8%	0	48.1	50	0

16	Jan_6_2014	85.53	84.29	85.43	84.17			83.84(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2	-10000	-2	-1	0.87	27%	-0.22	0	1.88%	0	46.8	50	0
17	Jan_3_2014	85.72	84.29	85.43	84.34			84.24(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-6	-10000	-7	-3	2.22	27%	-0.21	0	1.99%	0	47.1	50	0
18	Jan_2_2014	85.9	84.29	85.43	84.94			83.72(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7	-10000	-8	-3	1.22	27%	-0.36	0	2.09%	0	46.3	50	0
19	Dec_31_2013	86.21	84.29	85.43	85.62			82.76(-4.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-10	-10000	-12	-5	2.61	27%	-0.67	0	2.13%	0	47.8	50	0
20	Dec_30_2013	86.79	84.29	85.43	86.71			86.28(1.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2	-10000	-2	-1	2	42%	-0.12	0	1.7%	0	79.9	50	0

21	Dec_27_2013	86.89	84.29	85.43	86.89			84.72(-2.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.9	270	-10000	317	127	1.9	22%	-0.62	0	1.53%	0	73	50	0
22	Dec_26_2013	87.43	84.29	85.43	69.94			87.24(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	38.4	570	-10000	671	268	0.64	49%	-0.07	0	0.99%	0	193.9	50	0
23	Dec_24_2013	87.49	84.29	85.43	52.5			87.12(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	69.2	698	-10000	821	328	0.57	49%	-0.22	0	1.21%	0	174.2	50	0
24	Dec_23_2013	87.68	84.29	85.43	35.07			88.2(1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	102.2	0	-10000	0	0	1.23	100%	0.6	0	0%	0	169.6	50	0
25	Dec_20_2013	87.16	84.29	85.43	17.43			87.16(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	0	0	1.15	0%		0	0%	0	0	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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