Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 10, 2023

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $529.4700 (1.65%) ($517.1300 - $529.4700) on Mon. Apr. 10, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $529.4700(1.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XRT(46%)    JETS(39%)    IYT(38%)    PEJ(37%)    XHB(36%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-22%)    VIXM(-19%)    EDOC(-18%)    USO(-8%)    TBT(-8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 0.1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $536.42(-1.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $534.32(-0.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $524.79(0.89%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   8.5%
Market Cap   $29.816b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 2.41% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 0.74%(63%) Average negative next day return: -2.84%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 2.04%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -1.84%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 3.87%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.76%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20230510

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_10_2023	498.97	524.79	534.32	536.42	532.29	523.61	529.47(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-278	-140	-359	-33	0.49	43%	0.32	29.9	1.11%	0.1	0.4	62	1.4
2	Apr_6_2023	497.36	524.79	533.02	539.75	538.63	527.53	520.87(-2.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-651	-150	-808	-179	0.74	40%	0.18	38.3	1.08%	-1.3	-0.3	61	0.4
3	Apr_5_2023	496.46	524.34	532.85	542.72	544.97	540.96	534.23(-2.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-322	-40	-431	4	0.73	44%	0.21	45.1	1.03%	-1.3	0.8	63	0.4
4	Apr_4_2023	495.43	523.77	531.02	541.1	545.35	549.73	545.98(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	219	80	208	250	0.63	52%	0.26	45.9	1.01%	0.2	1.8	63	0.3
5	Apr_3_2023	494.14	522.63	527.92	538.25	539.94	548.99	551.55(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	534	130	585	382	0.47	54%	0.26	46.4	1.02%	1.6	2.6	68	0.1

6	Mar_31_2023	492.86	521.05	523.65	532.05	534.2	540.96	546.12(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	628	100	707	391	0.62	54%	0.26	38.2	1.02%	1.7	2.8	68	0.1
7	Mar_30_2023	491.57	519.66	519.52	525.61	527.78	530.88	535.72(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	312	50	351	196	0.53	50%	0.26	25.2	1%	2.2	2.4	58	-0.1
8	Mar_29_2023	490.28	518.81	517.17	521.66	522.33	527.44	526.12(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	209	70	239	119	0.72	46%	0.22	0.9	0.99%	0.9	1.3	53	-0.2
9	Mar_28_2023	489.2	518.29	516.52	519.32	519.35	524.68	531.74(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	430	70	504	207	0.61	48%	0.24	-23.1	0.98%	1.7	2.4	53	-0.3
10	Mar_27_2023	488.01	517.58	514.94	516.08	515.75	517.22	520.54(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	171	20	209	58	0.37	42%	0.22	-50	0.95%	1.7	0.6	44	-0.5

11	Mar_24_2023	486.93	517.66	514.18	513.99	514.75	514.02	513.91(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	4	-10	20	-43	0.39	38%	0.21	-69.1	0.95%	0.4	-0.8	41	-0.6
12	Mar_23_2023	485.9	517.97	514.8	512.38	513.87	514.28	515.99(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-22	10	-7	-67	0.54	38%	0.24	-75.7	0.95%	-0.7	-0.3	45	-0.8
13	Mar_22_2023	484.75	518.76	515.14	511.94	512.15	515.48	514.44(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	76	50	110	-25	0.44	38%	0.2	-66.9	0.95%	-0	-0.7	44	-0.8
14	Mar_21_2023	483.77	519.57	516.04	513.29	511.88	513.45	515.5(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	161	10	205	30	0.66	47%	0.21	-57.5	0.95%	1	-0.7	50	-0.8
15	Mar_20_2023	482.76	520.04	517.02	513.77	513.04	508.82	510.11(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-122	-60	-132	-93	0.86	44%	0.21	-50	1.01%	-0.1	-1.6	43	-1

16	Mar_17_2023	481.77	521.05	518.36	514.44	514.93	510.3	505.87(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-327	-60	-375	-184	0.97	39%	0.23	-38.7	1.07%	-1.4	-2.4	35	-1.3
17	Mar_16_2023	480.68	522.37	520.04	517.41	516.31	517.26	513.77(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-145	10	-166	-82	0.74	42%	0.25	-21	1.05%	-1.3	-1.6	45	-1.2
18	Mar_15_2023	479.48	523.01	520.82	518.67	518.15	519.56	521.18(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	174	20	211	63	0.68	41%	0.28	-13.3	1.03%	1.5	-0.4	38	-1.5
19	Mar_14_2023	478.16	523.19	520.37	519.28	517.83	515.36	517.94(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-110	-40	-120	-79	0.61	41%	0.29	-10.2	1.07%	-1.1	-1	37	-1.6
20	Mar_13_2023	476.76	523.25	520.53	520.92	519.62	516.73	513.46(-1.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-237	-50	-271	-136	0.77	41%	0.29	-1	1.07%	-1.6	-1.9	41	-2

21	Mar_10_2023	475.38	523.43	521.55	522.88	523.1	520.31	520.68(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-112	-40	-124	-74	1.28	44%	0.31	4.2	1.05%	-0.6	-0.6	41	-2.3
22	Mar_9_2023	473.91	523.52	521.5	523.02	523.75	522.5	520.07(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-158	-10	-175	-105	1.01	40%	0.3	7.4	1.06%	-0.6	-0.7	39	-2.6
23	Mar_8_2023	472.5	523.52	522.7	523.18	524.27	525.89	524.27(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	57	30	75	3	0.57	40%	0.27	16.1	1.1%	-0.5	0.1	48	-3
24	Mar_7_2023	471.24	523.71	523.3	521.57	523.21	525	526.11(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	148	30	183	43	0.59	47%	0.28	17.2	1.1%	1.4	0.5	51	-4.4
25	Mar_6_2023	469.94	523.31	523.14	520.18	520.59	522.65	523.29(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	61	30	81	1	0.53	47%		17.7	1.16%	0.7	-0	56	0.3
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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