Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 25, 2021

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $389.4700 (4.17%) ($367.1700 - $389.4700) on Wed. Aug. 25, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.76% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $389.4700(4.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XRT(62%)    XLY(56%)    XHB(54%)    VT(52%)    VUG(52%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -0.88% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-41%)    UUP(-16%)    VXX(-11%)    TBT(-3%)    TLT(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.88% (StdDev 1.76%)
Hourly BBV 2.6 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $372.07(4.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $369.86(5.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $359.62(8.3%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   21.4%
Market Cap   $21.932b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 4.18% (three month std-dev: 1.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.67%(46%) Average negative next day return: -1.55%(54%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 2.93%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -2.89%(56%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 2.89%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.83%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210925

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_25_2021	336.9	359.62	369.86	372.07	372.87	378.49	389.47(4.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	286	110	316	196	1.88	67%	0.22	56	1.76%	2.6	2	78	1.6
2	Aug_24_2021	336.16	356.8	367.42	366.72	366.9	371.54	373.87(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	170	90	181	138	0.73	65%	0.17	47.8	1.7%	1	1.2	78	1.5
3	Aug_23_2021	335.6	354.98	366.19	364.01	364.3	367.25	370.2(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	171	60	181	140	0.55	65%	0.1	45.2	1.69%	0.9	1.1	72	1.5
4	Aug_20_2021	335.25	353.65	364.52	363.89	362.44	362.25	366.81(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-20	0	83	0.44	65%	0.17	54.3	1.7%	1.2	1	75	1.1
5	Aug_19_2021	334.69	352.37	363.18	364.91	363.71	361.36	360(-0.75%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-54	-60	-95	71	0.52	60%	0.15	61.6	1.68%	-0.4	0.6	74	-0.2

6	Aug_18_2021	334.18	351.39	362.5	367.23	366.51	362.63	362.71(0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-86	-80	-142	83	0.31	60%	0.17	67.5	1.71%	0.2	0.9	77	0.5
7	Aug_17_2021	333.62	350.32	360.68	368.12	368.73	366.07	360.32(-2.51%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-78	-50	-138	102	0.4	60%	0.16	69.7	1.71%	-1.2	0.8	76	1.1
8	Aug_16_2021	333.08	349.05	359.38	368.42	369.35	370.39	369.59(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	57	30	16	180	0.32	63%	0.2	64.7	1.69%	-0.1	1.5	81	1.5
9	Aug_13_2021	332.4	346.7	356.16	365.03	367.41	371.39	371.95(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	192	100	182	220	0.51	68%	0.2	53.9	1.73%	0.7	1.9	72	1.6
10	Aug_12_2021	331.74	344.61	352.45	361.15	362.77	368.31	371.6(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	222	120	226	209	0.35	65%	0.21	46.5	1.79%	1.6	2.3	73	1.8

11	Aug_11_2021	331.03	342.92	348.62	357.16	358.16	363.42	367.14(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	233	110	247	190	0.53	61%	0.18	46.8	1.84%	1.4	2.4	72	1.9
12	Aug_10_2021	330.44	341.52	345.21	352.27	354.3	357.22	361.82(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	186	70	202	139	0.54	61%	0.15	40.3	1.89%	1.5	2.4	67	1.7
13	Aug_9_2021	329.96	340.28	342.64	349.08	349.4	352.9	352.62(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	78	70	78	77	0.34	59%	0.1	27.3	1.86%	0.6	1.7	68	1.7
14	Aug_6_2021	329.64	339.71	341.68	345.87	347.71	351.37	352.56(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	202	90	223	137	0.29	59%	0.1	9.8	1.88%	1.1	1.9	75	1.6
15	Aug_5_2021	329.31	339.17	340.45	342.31	343.56	345.9	351.67(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	111	60	119	87	0.41	59%	0.1	-9.6	1.88%	1.6	2.1	64	1.1

16	Aug_4_2021	328.98	338.27	339.17	338.75	339.86	344.05	342.67(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	103	100	115	67	0.51	57%	0.09	-38.6	1.85%	0.3	0.8	51	0.9
17	Aug_3_2021	328.67	338.16	339	337.02	337.78	341.23	345.87(2.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	175	80	202	92	0.48	57%	0.07	-44.4	1.86%	2.2	1.3	52	0.9
18	Aug_2_2021	328.43	338.34	337.83	335.34	334.81	335.68	336.59(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	10	28	10	0.37	55%	0.06	-46.6	1.84%	0.1	-0.3	48	-0.3
19	Jul_30_2021	328.22	339.06	336.59	336.92	335.03	334.32	334.77(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-30	-34	-24	0.39	55%	-0.04	-33.3	1.85%	-0.6	-0.6	44	0.5
20	Jul_29_2021	328.35	339.74	336.34	338.3	337.46	333.94	333.87(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-74	-80	-83	-47	0.43	55%	-0.03	-29.2	1.85%	-1	-0.9	43	0.7

21	Jul_28_2021	328.44	340.33	337.01	339.57	339.32	335.74	334.01(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-147	-80	-172	-71	0.38	55%	-0.02	-21.5	1.85%	-0.6	-0.9	51	0.5
22	Jul_27_2021	328.5	340.85	337.79	341.11	340.88	340.99	337.47(-2.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-55	0	-67	-20	0.41	55%	-0.03	-10.2	1.85%	-0.9	-0.5	48	0.3
23	Jul_26_2021	328.59	341.14	337.95	340.51	341.93	342.91	344.5(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	94	30	112	38	0.37	57%	0.03	-7.2	1.83%	1.8	0.5	44	0.4
24	Jul_23_2021	328.49	341.29	337.67	336.12	339.54	340.77	341.64(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	57	60	78	-8	0.41	57%	0.05	-10.6	1.83%	-0.3	0.1	42	-0.2
25	Jul_22_2021	328.31	341.74	337.76	334.11	334.85	340.96	340.22(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	67	130	95	-17	0.24	57%		-4.3	1.83%	0.3	-0.2	44	-0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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