Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ ULTA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jul. 14, 2020

Trading Signals: ULTA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Ulta Beauty Inc)
ULTA latest price $192.0100 (-0.47%) ($186.9750 - $193.3350) on Tue. Jul. 14, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.13% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $192.0100(-0.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   ULTA declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   ULTA declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support ULTA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLI(56%)    DIA(52%)    IWD(52%)    IWN(52%)    XAR(52%)
Factors Impacting ULTA price   ULTA will decline at least -1.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-41%)    UUP(-15%)    VXX(-14%)    TLT(-6%)    XLC(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.565% (StdDev 3.13%)
Hourly BBV -1.1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $203.22
5 Day Moving Average   $195.05(-1.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $199.5(-3.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $203.22(-5.52%)
To recent high   -24.6%
To recent low   1.1%
Market Cap   $10.812b

Ulta Beauty, Inc. is a beauty retailer of cosmetics, fragrance, skin care products, hair care products, and salon services. It provides unmatched product breadth, value and convenience in a distinctive specialty retail environment. The company was founded in January 9, 1990 and is headquartered in Bolingbrook, IL.

$. ULTA price fluctuates within 4.9% (three month std-dev: 3.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 30 Average positive next day return: 3.03%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.4%(50%) Sample size 30 Average positive next three day return: 3.65%(70%) Average negative next three day return: -4.03%(30%) Sample size 30 Average positive next weekly return: 5.71%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.03%(37%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200814

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_14_2020	212.09	203.22	199.5	195.05	193.81	192.75	192.01(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-60	-60	-65	-44	1.4	48%	-0.45	-86.5	3.13%	-1.1	-1.1	39	0.9
2	Jul_13_2020	213.05	204.84	200.27	197.22	196.54	194.75	192.92(-1.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-70	-34	-26	1.23	48%	-0.5	-88.1	3.14%	0.5	-1.1	41	0
3	Jul_10_2020	214.13	206.51	200.17	200.43	198.79	194.87	196(1.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-81	-160	-91	-51	1.64	48%	-0.5	-86.2	3.13%	-0.2	-0.9	38	1.2
4	Jul_9_2020	215.21	207.97	200.11	202	202	198.32	192.23(-4.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-92	-130	-100	-68	1.26	48%	-0.49	-88.4	3.15%	-1.6	-1.4	31	0.8
5	Jul_8_2020	216.27	210.22	200.98	204.26	204.47	202.71	202.11(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-56	-60	-55	-59	0.98	70%	-0.46	-81.6	3.09%	-0.9	-0.6	32	0.9

6	Jul_7_2020	217.26	212.23	201.38	204.53	205.08	205.68	202.85(-2.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	30	-2	-51	0.97	70%	-0.07	-70.8	3.21%	-1.4	-0.6	32	0.7
7	Jul_6_2020	217.41	214.65	201.6	203.71	204.68	206.23	208.98(2.54%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	39	70	67	-44	0.98	83%	-0.77	-59	3.19%	2	-0.3	34	1.1
8	Jul_2_2020	219.09	216.65	201.72	199.9	201.68	204.49	203.81(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	20	120	47	-62	0.79	83%	-0.45	-55.7	4.04%	0.2	-0.7	28	0.8
9	Jul_1_2020	220.07	218.77	203.05	198	198.22	203.12	203.53(0.02%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	38	180	72	-64	1.22	71%	-0.42	-55.4	4.04%	0.9	-0.8	29	0.6
10	Jun_30_2020	220.99	221.12	204.85	197.3	195.8	198.88	203.49(2.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	33	90	68	-74	1.46	71%	-0.41	-56.8	4.16%	1.5	-0.9	23	0.3

11	Jun_29_2020	221.9	223.01	206.88	197.98	195.39	193.31	198.72(4.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-42	-110	-17	-118	1.96	71%	-0.44	-56.5	4.16%	1.3	-1.2	16	-0.2
12	Jun_26_2020	222.89	225.09	209.48	199.35	198.23	192.73	189.93(-2.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-112	-210	-96	-159	2.18	60%	-0.47	-53.1	4.22%	-1.3	-1.8	4	-0.9
13	Jun_25_2020	223.95	227.92	213.26	203.8	202.46	197.46	194.32(-2.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-134	-190	-122	-169	2.08	65%	-0.38	-47.2	4.23%	-1	-1.9	8	-0.3
14	Jun_24_2020	224.8	230.49	216.54	208.74	207.65	203.73	200.02(-3.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-102	-150	-87	-148	2.01	74%	-0.33	-35.9	4.33%	-1.3	-1.9	15	-0.7
15	Jun_23_2020	225.55	233.15	220.38	213.46	212.59	207.45	206.89(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-82	-180	-71	-116	1.62	74%	-0.31	-19.5	5.22%	-0.6	-1.8	15	-0

16	Jun_22_2020	226.25	234.84	224.11	217.18	216.98	211.57	205.59(-3.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-100	-180	-95	-115	1.77	74%	-0.28	-5.6	5.25%	-1.4	-2.1	28	-0.2
17	Jun_19_2020	226.89	235.85	228.94	221.14	222.09	217.72	212.2(-3.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-67	-120	-60	-86	2.44	78%	-0.28	10	5.23%	-1.6	-1.9	33	-0.8
18	Jun_18_2020	227.52	236.59	232.91	224.1	223.88	222.39	218.98(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-56	-50	-51	-70	1.07	67%	-0.25	26.8	5.46%	-1.5	-1.5	33	-0.7
19	Jun_17_2020	228.08	236.54	235.82	225.48	225.96	226.46	223.63(-0.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-8	20	3	-40	1.23	65%	-0.23	35.3	5.86%	-0.4	-1.1	36	-0.9
20	Jun_16_2020	228.6	236.09	238.68	228.45	226.34	225.38	225.51(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	-60	-22	-44	1.21	55%	-0.21	39	5.89%	0.2	-0.8	33	-1

21	Jun_15_2020	229.09	235.62	240.38	232.32	229.35	225.46	225.39(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-47	-160	-48	-42	1.05	55%	-0.21	39.2	6.52%	-0.2	-0.7	45	-1.3
22	Jun_12_2020	229.57	234.61	241.94	238.15	235.1	227.31	226.97(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-70	-270	-81	-38	1	53%	-0.2	37.1	6.56%	-0.8	-0.5	58	-1.4
23	Jun_11_2020	230.03	233.52	243.81	243.16	241.57	233.24	225.9(-5.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-88	-260	-107	-30	1.41	51%	-0.21	36.8	6.72%	-1.5	-0.4	56	-2.6
24	Jun_10_2020	230.52	232.33	245.78	247.51	248.21	242.9	238.48(-2.61%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-47	-140	-65	6	1.04	51%	-0.15	35.8	6.75%	-1.1	0.3	67	0.9
25	Jun_9_2020	230.87	231.06	247.12	250.25	250.41	249.9	244.87(-3.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-13	-10	-31	41	0.72	48%		38.1	6.75%	-1.4	0.7	72	1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.